Saturday, February23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Naples Manor, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 6:26PM Saturday February 23, 2019 10:15 AM EST (15:15 UTC) Moonrise 10:56PMMoonset 9:58AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 930 Am Est Sat Feb 23 2019
Rest of today..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and southeast 10 to 15 knots offshore. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots becoming north northeast after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East winds around 10 knots nearshore and east 10 to 15 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely.
Tuesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 427 Am Cst Sat Feb 23 2019
Synopsis..A moderate southerly wind flow will continue over the marine area through this evening ahead of a cold front approaching from the west. The cold front is expected to move across the marine area late tonight and early Sunday leading to a moderate to occasionally strong offshore flow Sunday through late Monday. Dense fog will continue over the near shore waters, including all inland bays and sounds through mid morning today, lingering over the near shore waters of alabama and northwest florida generally west of pensacola through this evening. Showers and Thunderstorms are expected ahead and along the cold front with the best coverage occurring this evening and overnight.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples Manor, FL
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location: 26.06, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 231420 aab
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
920 am est Sat feb 23 2019

Update
Ridge of high pressure over the western atlantic waters will
remain nearly stationary through today keeping an southeasterly
wind flow in place over south florida. The east and west coast sea
breezes will also develop and push inland with the east coast sea
breeze being the main sea breeze. Therefore, the isolated showers
over the atlantic waters should slowly dissipate through the
morning hours, but one or two of the showers could still work into
the east coast metro areas this morning before the showers
dissipate. Therefore, kept the slight chance of showers in the
forecast for the east coast metro areas through the morning hours.

Isolated showers are also possible this afternoon especially
over the western interior areas late this afternoon into the early
evening hours where the east and west coast sea breeze collide.

Therefore, a slight chance of showers have been added for these
areas for this afternoon into the early evening hours.

Highs today should warm up to into the mid 80s over the east coast
metro areas to the upper 80s to around 90 degrees over the
interior and west coast metro areas. The high temperatures over
the interior and west coast metro areas will be close to the
record highs for this time of year, and naples could tied the
record high temperature for today which is 87 degrees set back in
2018.

The high risk of rip currents will also continue for the east
coast beaches of south florida today, due to the easterly winds
and low tide late this afternoon.

Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other change
are planned.

Update 54 bnb

Prev discussion issued 627 am est Sat feb 23 2019
aviation...

vfr conditions are expected to prevail through the
period. Isolated showers will be possible, but overall coverage is
expected to be pretty low. Otherwise, SE flow continues through
tonight with winds becoming a little gusty in the afternoon
today. Winds begin to shift more to the S tomorrow.

Prev discussion... Issued 406 am est Sat feb 23 2019
discussion...

today and tonight: today will be similar to the past few days as we
remain under the influence of the large mid and upper level ridge
just to our southeast with the low level ridge axis just to our
north. Patchy morning fog across the interior will give way to
another partly sunny and very warm day. Highs will remain in the mid
to upper 80s, or just below records.

Prevailing breezy southeasterly flow will bring morning showers
across the atlantic and east coast, with the focus shifting across
the interior into the afternoon hours. Modest seabreeze collision
will lead to a few more showers just inland from the gulf coast
late in the day, but coverage is expected to remain isolated at
best.

Overnight lows remain warm and muggy in the upper 60s and 70s,
with a few late night showers moving through as flow veers out of
the south-southwest. Patchy interior fog will be a concern again
tonight.

Sunday and Monday: the mid-upper level ridge that has been driving
our weather for the past week will slide further southeast and
weaken enough to allow a frontal boundary to progress south into
the region by Monday.

Overall moisture is expected to remain low on Sunday ahead of the
boundary, but enough to squeeze out a few showers along the
seabreezes. With the ridge axis suppressed south of the region,
prevailing south-southwest flow will push the gulf breeze across
the peninsula and focus more scattered showers towards the
atlantic coast later in the day. Sunday will likely be the last
well above normal day, still in the mid to upper 80s across the
region. Temps currently look to remain just below record highs,
but if the atlantic seabreeze or any showers develop later, temps
may approach the record values of 88-89f along the east coast.

The front itself will drop into the region late Sunday night,
gradually sinking south of the region early on Monday. Mid level
flow will quickly become zonal, with low level flow already expected
to come around to the east-northeast by midday. This highlights the
diminishing lift aspects of the front, though the lingering moisture
boundary will be enough for widely scattered showers along wherever
the front ends up during the day.

Remainder of the week: fairly zonal slight troughing pattern will be
in place across the region in the mid-levels into mid week. With no
significant mid-level push, the frontal boundary will halt its
southward progress across the florida straits on Tuesday. Best
rain chances for the week, along with the potential for a few
storms will be as the boundary slowly lifts back across the region
on Tuesday.

Beyond Wednesday, the GFS and ECMWF differ considerably in exactly
where the front ends up as it moves north of the areas. Both show
the potential for a late week vort MAX shortwave to move through,
kicking off some degree of cyclogenesis along the boundary.

However, the exact timing and nature of this is still very much
unclear given the vast model differences. Model consensus suggests
a continuing moist pattern with a chance of showers each day to
end the week.

Marine... Moderate southeasterly flow will continue across all the
waters today, veering south-southwesterly on Sunday ahead of a
cold front that is forecasted to push through our area late Sunday
into Monday.

A strong east-northeast wind surge is expected behind the front
into Monday afternoon as the front stalls across the florida
straits, with the gusty winds continuing into Tuesday. Conditions
may approach advisory levels as winds across the atlantic approach
20 knots with 15-20kts over the gulf. Seas may build to 6-7ft in
the atlantic through midweek.

Winds subside and become south-southeasterly into Wednesday as the
boundary lifts back to the north.

Beach forecast... The high risk for rip currents continues along
the atlantic beaches today under continuing breezy southeasterly
flow. Veering winds will limit the threat along the atlantic
beaches to start the week, with a high risk likely returning
behind the front into mid week with stronger east-northeast winds.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 86 72 87 68 20 10 30 30
fort lauderdale 85 74 86 70 20 10 30 30
miami 86 74 86 70 20 10 30 20
naples 87 71 85 67 10 10 10 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 7 pm est this evening for flz168-172-
173.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 54 bnb
marine... 88 alm
aviation... 54 bnb
beach forecast... 59 rm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 5 mi28 min ESE 9.9 G 15 78°F 75°F1021 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 5 mi91 min ESE 7 74°F 74°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 24 mi82 min ESE 5.1 G 8.9 76°F 1021.8 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 38 mi76 min 79°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 41 mi76 min 80°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 41 mi28 min ESE 6 G 14 78°F 78°F1020.9 hPa
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 48 mi76 min 78°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL6 mi83 minESE 910.00 miFair76°F72°F88%1020.6 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Naples (outer coast), Florida
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Naples (outer coast)
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Sat -- 02:44 AM EST     2.55 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:56 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:57 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:01 PM EST     2.63 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:25 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:33 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:55 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.22.52.52.31.91.40.80.30.20.411.72.22.52.62.52.11.610.4000.4

Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida
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Naples
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:12 AM EST     2.43 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:13 AM EST     0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:57 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:15 PM EST     2.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:25 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:02 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:55 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.72.22.42.321.50.90.50.30.40.71.31.92.32.52.52.11.610.40-0.10

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.