Monday, December10, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lely, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 5:37PM Monday December 10, 2018 7:58 PM EST (00:58 UTC) Moonrise 9:44AMMoonset 8:39PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 423 Pm Est Mon Dec 10 2018
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet offshore. Period 8 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots nearshore and north around 15 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet offshore. Period 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet offshore. Period 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and west southwest 10 to 15 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet nearshore and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Saturday..Winds northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet nearshore and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 352 Pm Cst Mon Dec 10 2018
Synopsis..A light to moderate northerly wind flow will persist over the marine area through early Tuesday as high pressure continues to build east over the north central gulf. A light east to southeast wind flow is expected by mid week as high pressure shifts east. Southerly winds and seas will build later in the week as a deep area of low pressure and associated cold front approach from the west. Showers and Thunderstorms area expected ahead and along the front with the best coverage occurring late Thursday through early Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lely, FL
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location: 26.09, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 110005
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
705 pm est Mon dec 10 2018

Aviation
Conditions remain cloudy, butVFR behind a cold front. The wind is
forecast to remain between 5 and 10 kts out of the NW through the
night. Then tomorrow, skies are forecast to clear, and wind to
pick up to around 12 kts across the region.

Update
No changes needed to be made to the previous forecast as
everything looks on track. It will be a dry night across the
region and a chilly one as well. Low temperatures tonight will
drop into the lower 40s across the northwestern interior sections
to the lower 50s across the east coast metro areas. The dry air
mass will remain in place on Tuesday and there will be less cloud
cover as well. Due to the northwesterly wind flow and the cold
air advection still taking place, high temperatures will only rise
into the 60s across south florida during the afternoon hours.

Tuesday night will be another chilly night as low temperatures
will range from the upper 30s across the northwestern interior to
the 50s across the east coast metro areas.

Prev discussion issued 355 pm est Mon dec 10 2018
discussion...

a cooler and drier air mass has moved into south florida behind a
cold front that passed through the area last night. As the sun
sets this evening and the heating of the day stops, low
temperatures will fall into the lower 40s across the northwestern
interior sections to the lower 50s across the east coast metro
areas. More in the way of sunshine is expected across south
florida on Tuesday. A reinforcing cold front will move through
during the day, however, it will have no moisture to work with so
it will move through the region dry. This will also keep the high
temperatures across south florida on the cool side as they will
struggle to rebound and they will remain in the 60s throughout
the area. Another cold night is expected on Tuesday night as low
temperatures will drop into the upper 30s across the northwestern
interior sections to the 50s across the east coast metro areas.

Wind chill values could drop into the mid to upper 30s across
portions of glades and hendry counties on Tuesday night.

By Wednesday an area of high pressure will begin to build back
into the region which will allow for a zonal flow returning aloft.

As this area of high pressure slides eastward into the atlantic,
it will bring a return of easterly flow to south florida. This
return of easterly flow will allow for an increase in lower level
moisture as well as moderating temperatures through the end of the
week. By the end of the week the next frontal boundary should be
moving through the southeastern portion of the country and towards
south florida. Both of the GFS and the ECMWF continue to show good
agreement on timing and position with the parent low over the
south central portion of the country on Friday, but they still
differ in timing and location after that. The GFS continues to
show a faster frontal passage through south florida then the
ecmwf. This gap in timing leads to low forecast confidence beyond
Friday and could create some variability in the weekend forecast
as the week continues. The strong to severe storm potential with
this next low pressure system late in the period is too far in
time to discern right now, but the forecast evolution should be
monitored through the week in case a threat emerges.

Marine...

persistent northwesterly winds will continue tonight and through
tomorrow and they will increase in speed as well. A small craft
advisory will go into effect later tonight and will last through
the day on Tuesday for the atlantic waters due to increasing wind
speeds and building seas. Winds and seas will slowly start to
improve across the atlantic waters towards the middle portion of
the week.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 48 64 51 73 0 0 10 10
fort lauderdale 53 66 54 74 0 0 10 10
miami 52 67 52 74 0 0 0 10
naples 51 65 46 73 10 10 0 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from midnight tonight to 7 pm est Tuesday
for amz650-651-670-671.

Gm... None.

Update... 55 cwc
discussion... 55 cwc
marine... 55 cwc
aviation... 13
beach forecast... 55 cwc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 3 mi40 min N 12 G 13 65°F 70°F1020.2 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 6 mi73 min 65°F 56°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 39 mi40 min NNW 7 G 9.9 60°F 70°F1020.5 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 39 mi58 min 73°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 42 mi58 min 74°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL4 mi65 minN 610.00 miOvercast65°F53°F66%1019.8 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W6W7NW9NW8NW7NW8W8NW11
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1 day agoSE7SE8E5E7E7SE7SE10SE8SE7SE6SE6SE7S11S9
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2 days agoNE6NE7E6E5E6NE5NE5NE5NE7NE7NE5NE6E7E8E7E8E8SE9
G15
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Tide / Current Tables for Naples (outer coast), Florida (2)
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Naples (outer coast)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:32 AM EST     2.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:00 AM EST     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:44 PM EST     2.27 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:51 PM EST     1.43 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.92.92.72.21.710.3-0.2-0.4-0.20.311.622.22.32.221.71.51.41.61.92.3

Tide / Current Tables for Marco, Big Marco River, Florida (2)
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Marco
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:38 AM EST     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:46 AM EST     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:15 PM EST     2.01 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:24 PM EST     0.83 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.22.221.71.10.60.1-0.2-0.2-0.10.30.91.41.821.91.71.310.80.91.11.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.