Sunday, September23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lely, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:23PM Sunday September 23, 2018 8:53 AM EDT (12:53 UTC) Moonrise 5:52PMMoonset 4:51AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 239 Am Edt Sun Sep 23 2018
Today..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated light showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered light showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms in the evening...then isolated light showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms in the evening...then isolated light showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night through Thursday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 432 Am Cdt Sun Sep 23 2018
Synopsis..Surface high pressure stretching south along the appalachians will bring a light to at times moderate southeast to southerly flow through the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lely, FL
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location: 26.09, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 231204
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
804 am edt Sun sep 23 2018

Aviation Isold tsra just south of ktmb this morn, but
otherwise satellite suggests it may be a few hours for anything
else to develop. Have removed vcsh from all but ktmb and kpbi,
which are a little more inland and closer to moisture pools. East
coast seabreeze gets going around 14z, with tsra developing just
inland of TAF sites. Late seabreeze at kapf firing off storms
just inland, then east winds pushing activity back across through
early evening.

Prev discussion issued 235 am edt Sun sep 23 2018
discussion...

today through Monday... Southeasterly winds aloft will prevail in
response to anticyclonic flow around the building western
atlantic ridge. The upper level low responsible for briefly wetter
conditions will move away into the central gulf of mexico.

Surface ridging will be supported by the upper high as it builds
southwest into south florida while maintaining the prevailing
easterly low-level flow. Subsidence and decreased moisture through
the atmospheric profile should switch us back to a more typical
pattern of late night early morning atlantic and east coast
showers, followed by afternoon sea breeze driven convection mainly
over the interior. Given the easterly low-level winds, the gulf
breeze should have a tough time making it too far from shore,
leading to better convergence just inland from the west coast once
the atlantic sea breeze arrives collides by mid to late
afternoon. This should lead to better coverage of showers and
thunderstorms over the western interior areas during the afternoon
and early evening hours. High temperatures will be seasonal and
in the upper 80s to lower 90s both days.

Tuesday... A broad low pressure area now 200 miles south-
southwest of bermuda will be drawn poleward around the atlantic
ridge to near offshore of the carolinas. While the associated
troughing should extend southwestward towards florida, no
appreciable increase in deep layer moisture is suggested by the
current deterministic model solutions. Therefore expect a similar
pattern to days prior with late night morning atlantic east coast
showers followed by mainly interior west coast thunderstorms along
the sea breeze. With the low- level flow turning more
southeasterly this could favor better thunderstorm coverage from
lake okeechobee south-southwestward towards the naples area.

Wednesday through Saturday... The mid-level ridge will slowly
retrograde across florida and into the western gulf of mexico.

Concurrently, the western atlantic surface ridge will flex
westward ahead of troughing advancing through the southeastern
conus by late week. The easterly flow pattern should be
maintained, along with the diurnal spatial shower and thunderstorm
trends described for the previous days. The deterministic
guidance do show some weak perturbations passing through the mean
flow, and these could lead to the occasional uptick in shower and
thunderstorm coverage at times. Temperatures should remain
seasonal, with values typical of late september.

Marine... Prevailing easterly winds are anticipated over the next
several days, with a gulf breeze along the west coast leading to
afternoon variable or west-southwest winds there. Speeds should
average around 5 to 10 knots. A disturbance south of bermuda will
push a 1-3 ft northeasterly swell into the northeast local
atlantic waters (particularly off palm beach county) through the
early part of this week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
anticipated, with greater coverage favoring the atlantic waters
during the overnight and morning hours, and the gulf and lake
okeechobee waters through the late afternoon and evening.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 90 77 89 77 40 20 30 30
fort lauderdale 90 78 88 78 30 30 30 30
miami 88 77 89 77 30 30 30 20
naples 90 75 90 75 50 30 40 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 88 alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 3 mi35 min 78°F 86°F1015.1 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 6 mi68 min 74°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 22 mi59 min E 5.1 G 6 80°F 1015.7 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 39 mi53 min 85°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 39 mi35 min 78°F 86°F1015 hPa
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 42 mi53 min 86°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL4 mi60 minENE 310.00 miFair77°F73°F90%1014.7 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE7E9E74E4N5S11
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NE7SE6E5NE3E5NE5NE5NE4NE4NE4NE5NE4NE3NE5E4NE3
1 day agoN5NE6NE8NE6E76W4W6W12NE15
G28
E9CalmCalmN4N3NE5NE6NE3NE3NE3NE5NE5E4NE6
2 days agoN3NW4NW5W76SW9W8W8W7SE3E6CalmE5NE4E3E3NE5NE6E6E4E5CalmN3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Gulf Of Mexico, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Marco, Big Marco River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.