Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 10:26 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM

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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1000 Pm Edt Sun May 12 2024
Rest of tonight - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds and N ne 2 ft at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Mon - SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E se 2 ft at 3 seconds and N ne 2 ft at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Mon night - SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E se 4 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Tue - S se winds 20 to 25 kt along the coast to S se 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 25 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S se 3 ft at 5 seconds and N 1 foot at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Tue night - S se winds 20 to 25 kt along the coast to S se 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 25 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S se 3 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Wed - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S se 3 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Wed night - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight. Thu - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Thu night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms through the night. Fri - S winds around 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Fri night - S se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Sun May 12 2024
Synopsis -
moderate easterly flow will continue through Monday. Cautionary conditions return late Monday through mid week as the flow becomes more se and the pressure gradient tightens across the area.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 11, 2024 at 12 utc - .
1 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 122310 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 710 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 701 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

Quiet conditions prevail across South Florida this evening.
Another dry overnight period is expected with lows in the mid to upper 70s. No significant changes with this update.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1210 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

Winds continue to veer NE, then E by late this afternoon and early evening in the wake of a FROPA. The boundary and attached weak meso low linger just south of the southern tip of the peninsula.
If model solutions prevail, the decaying boundary should begin lifting north and back across Soflo from Monday through Tuesday.
This will bring back the warmer sector right over the area, which may provide enough additional moisture for sea breeze showers (and maybe a thunderstorm) to develop with peak heating in the afternoons and evenings. Best POPs remain over the interior spine of the state, with chances increasing into the 30-40 percent by Wednesday.

Temperatures are expected to remain warm, with much of the area hitting the low 90s each afternoon. Sea breezes may keep coastal areas a bit cooler. Triple digit heat index values, particularly by Monday afternoon, point towards a developing heat illness threat for early in the work the week.

LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 211 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

The H5 ridge will move overhead on Tuesday before temporarily flattening Wed/Thu in response to a shortwave trough moving through the eastern US. The ridge is then progged to rebuild northward over the area Friday into the upcoming weekend.
Generally southerly low-lvl flow will prevail on Tuesday before the flow veers more southwesterly Wednesday/Thursday ahead of a cold front which is expected to stall in the vicinity of north- central Florida. The flow late this week into the weekend will likely favor the southerly half of the compass but the zonal component will likely be largely sea-breeze driven (i.e.
southwesterly near the west coast, and southeasterly near the east coast).

Rain chances on Tuesday will be limited to isolated showers and storms near the sea-breeze boundary intersection over the interior. Storm chances on Wednesday/Thursday will be dependent upon how far south the front is able to make, and will likely be focused primarily over the northern half of the area (closer to the boundary). Additionally as the synoptic SWrly flow decreases on Thursday the east coast sea breeze may provide a secondary forcing mechanism. Can't completely rule some stronger storms each day given that flow aloft will be seasonably strong, however this risk will largely depend upon how much forcing there is to actually generate storms. A drying trend is expected Friday into the weekend as the ridge builds overhead.

Hot temperatures will prevail through the period, generally in the low to mid 90s near the coast, and mid to upper 90s over the Interior. Peak heat indices will likely push or exceed 105 degrees on Wednesday with these high values then likely persisting through the period, as any significant relief due to frontal passages or widespread rain events looks unlikely. Given the magnitude and duration of the heat (combined with warm overnight lows) heat advisories may be needed for parts of the area over the mid-late week period.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 701 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

VFR conditions and easterly flow prevail through the period. A few showers and storms may be possible around sites in Broward and Palm Beach County Monday evening, although not quite enough confidence to include in TAF at this time.

MARINE
Issued at 1215 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

Northerly winds will continue to shift east through this afternoon and evening as a decaying cold front lingers near the Keys. There might be enough lingering moisture for a few showers to develop this afternoon and evening, mainly over the Atlantic waters. The high building back in for much of the week should lower rain chances for the most part of the waters.

BEACHES
Issued at 1215 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

An elevated risk for rip currents continues today for the Palm Beaches. The risk for rip currents will likely extend into the rest of the Atlantic beaches on Monday as easterly flow becomes stronger.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 208 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024

A relatively dry air mass will remain in place with minimum relative humidity values around 30 to 40 percent over the interior portions of South Florida. This combined with the lack of recent wetting rainfall could lead to enhanced fire weather conditions even with winds forecasted to remain below critical thresholds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 78 89 80 90 / 10 20 10 10 West Kendall 75 91 78 92 / 10 20 10 10 Opa-Locka 76 91 78 92 / 10 20 10 10 Homestead 77 89 79 90 / 10 20 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 78 87 80 89 / 10 30 10 20 N Ft Lauderdale 77 87 79 90 / 10 30 10 20 Pembroke Pines 78 92 79 92 / 10 20 10 10 West Palm Beach 75 87 78 91 / 10 40 10 30 Boca Raton 76 89 78 91 / 10 30 10 20 Naples 75 92 78 92 / 0 20 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Baha Mar Yacht Club, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, Tide feet

Hollywood Beach
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Sun -- 01:34 AM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:59 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:40 PM EDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hollywood Beach, West Lake, north end, Florida, Tide feet

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