Saturday, November17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 5:31PM Saturday November 17, 2018 11:19 PM EST (04:19 UTC) Moonrise 2:16PMMoonset 1:17AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 938 Pm Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Rest of tonight..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Sunday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Monday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 938 Pm Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Synopsis..Moderate northeast to east flow will continue across the local atlantic and gulf waters through the remainder of the weekend. Dry conditions are expected through the weekend, with isolated showers possible into the first half of the upcoming week. No significant boating hazards are expected the next few days.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 17, 2018 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east of port everglades. 12 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 17 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, FL
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location: 26.18, -80.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 180044 aaa
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
744 pm est Sat nov 17 2018

Update
A quiet weather evening across south florida tonight as a blanket
of remaining low to mid level clouds remains across portions of
the region. For portions of south florida not under the deck of
clouds, temperatures tonight may dip into the 50s as the wind
decouples. The forecast appears to be on track with no updates
anticipated. Have a great Saturday evening!

Prev discussion issued 621 pm est Sat nov 17 2018
aviation...

some periods of bkn040-060 can still happen tonight, but mainly
shallow CU clouds. NE winds become light and maybe variable at
times overnight withVFR prevailing. Winds increase into the 10 kt
range Sunday afternoon while turning more ene, along with returning
cloud decks of bkn030-040.

Prev discussion... Issued 408 pm est Sat nov 17 2018

Dry end to the weekend expected
Discussion...

surface high pressure will remain over the coming days with a
persistent northeasterly to easterly flow. Overnights, a light
northerly drainage flow is possible as well. This pattern will
keep things generally drier and cooler until around Tuesday when a
mid-level trough pushes across the region with additional cloud
cover and the potential for some moisture building back in that
could allow some low end rain chances to return to the forecast.

As mid-week rolls around, a mid-level disturbance over texas will
push eastward across the gulf of mexico towards the peninsula of
florida for the thanksgiving holiday. Both the 12z GFS and 12z
ecmwf have similar depictions of this feature and timing of a
Thursday entry into the region. This will bring more cloud cover,
increasing rain chances, and the potential for thunderstorms.

After this, things begin to diverge with the GFS showing the
disturbance moving east into the bahamas by Friday morning with
drier air moving into south florida. On the other hand, the ecmwf
shows more remnant moisture and a more disrupted pattern aloft. As
the weekend kicks off, the ECMWF also tries to develop a surface
low or trough in the eastern gulf that will traverse the peninsula
on its northeastward journey. Due to the divergence between
guidance solutions and the uncertainty that comes with the
extended forecast period, confidence on the weather forecast for
thanksgiving and beyond is low.

Marine...

a northeasterly to easterly flow will persist through the week. A
mid-level disturbance later in the week could bring increasing
rain and thunderstorms chances for the thanksgiving holiday and
Friday.

Beach forecast...

a persistent easterly component to the wind flow will keep an
elevated risk of rip currents along the atlantic beaches into the
week. The current moderate risk of rip currents may have to be
monitored as it could easily develop into a high risk on Sunday or
Monday.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 68 82 68 83 10 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 71 82 72 83 0 10 10 10
miami 69 83 70 84 0 10 10 20
naples 63 83 66 83 0 10 10 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 02 rag
discussion... 02 rag
marine... 02 rag
aviation... 17 ar
beach forecast... 02 rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 6 mi38 min ENE 12 G 16 77°F 1018.7 hPa64°F
PEGF1 7 mi38 min ENE 15 G 19 77°F 1018.6 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 30 mi32 min E 8.9 G 15 76°F 80°F1020.2 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 31 mi32 min NE 8 G 13 77°F 78°F1018.4 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 41 mi20 min NE 14 G 15 77°F 79°F1019.2 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL4 mi27 minENE 610.00 miFair75°F62°F64%1018.9 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL5 mi27 minENE 710.00 miA Few Clouds76°F61°F60%1018.7 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL8 mi27 minENE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F64°F71%1018.5 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL14 mi33 minE 1010.00 miA Few Clouds75°F60°F61%1019 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL14 mi27 minENE 610.00 miFair75°F63°F66%1019.2 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL21 mi27 minENE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F63°F66%1019.2 hPa

Wind History from FXE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7NW5NW7NW7N6NW6N5N6NW6N4N5N11
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1 day agoNW6NW11NW10
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2 days agoSE6SE7SE6SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmS3S6S10SW7NW7NW55NW6NW8NW8NW9NW7NW12
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Tide / Current Tables for Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, Anglin Fishing Pier, Florida
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Lauderdale-by-the-Sea
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:16 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:06 AM EST     2.74 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:40 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:16 AM EST     1.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:28 PM EST     2.90 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:49 PM EST     0.94 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.32.62.72.72.421.61.31.11.11.41.82.32.72.92.92.62.21.81.310.91.1

Tide / Current Tables for Hillsboro Inlet Marina, Florida
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Hillsboro Inlet Marina
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:16 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:34 AM EST     2.53 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:40 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:53 AM EST     0.97 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:56 PM EST     2.68 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:26 PM EST     0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.92.32.52.52.321.71.3111.11.41.92.32.62.72.62.31.81.41.10.90.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.