Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican Bay, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 8:23PM Thursday June 20, 2019 7:17 PM EDT (23:17 UTC) Moonrise 10:14PMMoonset 8:25AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 357 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
Tonight..South southeast winds 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Friday..South southeast winds 5 knots becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Friday night..South winds 5 knots becoming east southeast after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday..East southeast winds 5 knots becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday night..East southeast winds 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday..NEarshore, variable winds 5 knots or less becoming south southeast around 5 knots in the morning, then becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Offshore, east winds 5 knots in the morning becoming variable winds less than 5 knots, then becoming northwest around 5 knots in the evening. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West northwest winds around 5 knots becoming south 5 knots late in the evening, then becoming east southeast after midnight. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..NEarshore, south winds 5 knots. Offshore, east northeast winds around 5 knots in the morning becoming variable winds less than 5 knots, then becoming north northwest around 5 knots in the evening. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots becoming east southeast 5 knots late in the evening. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds 5 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 359 Pm Cdt Thu Jun 20 2019
Synopsis..A moderate to strong southwest wind flow will persist through early tonight as a weak upper level system continues to slowly track eastward over the northern gulf states, combined with a strong surface ridge of high pressure building west over the eastern and north central gulf. Winds and seas will slowly diminish tonight through early next week as the ridge of high pressure to the east continues to build west. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms will continue over the marine area through tonight with less coverage Friday through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican Bay, FL
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location: 26.21, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 201935
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
335 pm edt Thu jun 20 2019

Discussion
Short term (tonight-Saturday): models show deep high pressure
gradually building across the region, with a mid level ridge axis
extending into the florida peninsula. This will begin to bring a
more stable air mass into soflo, with convection decreasing during
the next few days. In addition, a saharan air layer (sal) will
bring dust intrusion into the caribbean sea, which will further
help in the decreasing trend for convection. Only interior areas
will carry low-end pops for any afternoon sea breeze activity that
could generate some showers. But again, it will be very limited
with pop values in the 10-20 percent range.

The dominant high pressure will also translate into warmer temperatures
with afternoon highs well into the 90s, along with heat indices reaching
105 or higher at times. Therefore, it is strongly recommended to remain
hydrated and avoid outdoor activities for extended periods of time.

Slow down, drink plenty of water, and take be on the look out for early
signs of heat exhaustion.

Long term (Sunday-Wednesday): long range models suggest a series of
short wave disturbances moving across the east us and into the west
atlantic early next week. This will weaken the mid level ridge, and
allows for the sfc ridge axis to push further north, which will translate
into a surge of easterly flow across soflo. In response, temperatures
should moderate a little with high temperatures cooling down a few
degrees for the eastern half of soflo. It also will help in allowing
some moisture advection embedded with the easterly flow, which will
bring a modest increase in rain chances early next week.

Marine
Generally benign boating conditions should prevail through the forecast
period with only a small chance for a shower or storm. S-sw winds are
anticipated through Friday, with light and variable winds by the weekend.

Aviation
Vfr conditions are expected through the period. While a few
isolated showers or thunderstorms may affect portions of interior
south florida eastward to the atlantic coast, confidence in
related impacts at any TAF site is very low.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 76 92 77 92 10 10 0 10
fort lauderdale 78 90 78 90 10 10 0 10
miami 77 91 78 91 10 10 0 10
naples 76 92 76 92 0 0 10 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 17 ar
aviation... Alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 6 mi60 min 1016.7 hPa
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 13 mi84 min WSW 8 G 11 87°F 1017.3 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 14 mi93 min SW 5.1 91°F 80°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 30 mi60 min SW 2.9 G 6 1015.9 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 48 mi78 min 89°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL7 mi25 minSW 810.00 miFair89°F78°F70%1016.4 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL24 mi25 minWSW 810.00 miFair92°F77°F62%1016.1 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9S5S3CalmCalmSE4SE3SE3SE5SE4CalmCalmSE4S4S10SW9S9SW86CalmCalmW8W6SW8
1 day agoSE3CalmCalmE3CalmSE3SE3CalmSE3CalmE3E4SE5SE4SE7S8S11S13S13SW12SW16S12S9SW9
2 days agoE5N8SE5SE8E5SE9S14
G21
SE5CalmSE5CalmCalmE4SE6S7S6NE3SE5S10S5SE7SE8SE3SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida
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Naples
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:00 AM EDT     2.56 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:06 AM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:54 PM EDT     3.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:19 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.61.31.92.42.62.42.11.71.41.31.41.72.22.62.932.92.51.91.30.70.2-00

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:05 AM EDT     1.00 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:46 AM EDT     0.04 knots Min Flood
Thu -- 09:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:43 PM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:25 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:23 PM EDT     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:15 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:54 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.910.90.80.70.60.30.100.20.6110.80.2-0.3-0.8-1.1-1.3-1.5-1.4-1.2-0.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.