Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 8:02 PM Moonrise 2:03 PM   Moonset 2:07 AM

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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Fri May 17 2024
Today - Along the coast, sw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, W sw winds around 5 kt becoming S se in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 ft. Wave detail: W sw 1 foot at 5 seconds and N ne 1 foot at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Tonight - S winds 10 to 15 kt along the coast to S sw 10 to 15 kt in the gulf stream. Seas less than 2 ft. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Sat - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Sun - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and ne 1 foot at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Sun night - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt becoming W sw in the morning. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and ne 1 foot at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. Showers with a chance of tstms. Mon - SW winds around 10 kt becoming S sw in the evening. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Mon night - S sw winds around 10 kt becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less along the coast and 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers with a chance of tstms. Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt becoming ne in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 ft along the coast and 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. Showers likely. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis -
a gentle to moderate southwesterly to southerly wind flow will prevail across the local waters today and over the weekend as a slow- moving low-pressure system tracks across the southeast us. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible over the local waters each day through the weekend.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 16, 2024 at 12 utc - .
1 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 171102 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 702 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 257 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Overall, hazardous heat will continue to be the main weather headline across South Florida over the next few days with afternoon heat index values well into the triple digits. Today, a mid-level ridge over the southeastern Gulf will start to build over the Florida Peninsula, which will help stabilize the environment and keep conditions generally drier, but there will remain chances for a few showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon along sea breeze boundaries. While conditions will be less favorable for strong to severe storms than they have been in recent days, there could still be a storm capable of producing damaging wind gusts and small hail along the sea breeze.

On Saturday, the mid-level ridge will remain over South Florida, while a trough pushes into the northern Gulf states and Southeast US.
This setup will allow the airmass over the area to warm a bit more under south-southwest flow, and support isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms along sea breeze boundaries.

High temperatures today will peak in the low to mid 90s for most locations, with heat index values ranging from 103 to 107. A Heat Advisory has been issued for Miami-Dade County for heat index values above 105. On Saturday, high temperatures will be a few degrees warmer, reaching the mid to upper 90s across South Florida, with heat index values up to 110 possible. Additional heat advisories or warnings may be needed for several counties on Saturday afternoon.
Overall, whether advisories or warnings are issued or not, anyone sensitive to heat should plan to avoid extended time outside or take cooling breaks and stay hydrated if required to be outside.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 257 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

The long term period will start off with one more day of hazardous heat as the hot and humid airmass remains over most of South FL on Sunday with south-southwest flow. Throughout the day, a frontal boundary associated with a mid-level trough over the Southeast US will gradually push across Central FL and into our area. Along and ahead of this frontal boundary there will be scattered showers and thunderstorms, some of which could be strong. With the front not reaching our area until later in the day, high temperatures will be able to reach the low to mid 90s, with heat index values in the triple digits and potentially reaching advisory levels.

As the front continues to slowly pass through the region on Monday, there will be chances for showers and thunderstorms, with some strong storms possible to start the new week. With a cooler airmass and more cloud coverage, high temperatures will be lower than on Sunday, generally in the upper 80s to low 90s, with heat index values near 100. After the front clears the area Monday night, a slightly cooler airmass will settle in through at least mid-week, providing relief from the recent stretch of heat with high temperatures likely in the upper 80s to low 90s across the area, and low temperatures in the 70s. With a drier airmass in place, shower and thunderstorm chances will be on the low side, but we could still see a few each afternoon along sea breeze boundaries.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 700 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Generally VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible at the east coast terminals between 18 to 00Z but low confidence in storm overage keeps only VCSH with this package. Light and variable winds will trend W-SW at most sites, with the east coast sites seeing a shift to the SE in the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 257 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Mainly benign conditions today and over the weekend with light to moderate southwesterly to southerly flow. There will be some scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly over the Atlantic waters today and tomorrow, which could create locally chaotic seas at times and gusty winds.

BEACHES
Issued at 257 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Light winds will lead to a low rip current risk along both the Atlantic and Gulf coasts today and over the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 94 81 94 80 / 20 0 20 10 West Kendall 96 77 96 78 / 10 0 20 10 Opa-Locka 95 79 95 80 / 30 0 20 10 Homestead 95 79 94 80 / 10 0 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 92 80 93 80 / 30 10 20 20 N Ft Lauderdale 93 80 94 80 / 30 10 30 20 Pembroke Pines 96 80 96 80 / 30 10 20 10 West Palm Beach 93 76 94 77 / 20 10 30 20 Boca Raton 93 79 94 78 / 30 10 30 20 Naples 91 79 93 79 / 0 0 10 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ073-074-173-174.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Hillsboro Inlet (ocean)
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Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:35 AM EDT     2.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:10 PM EDT     2.28 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:20 PM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hillsboro Inlet (ocean), Florida, Tide feet

Boca Raton
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Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:21 AM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:06 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:56 PM EDT     1.97 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Boca Raton, Lake Boca Raton, Florida, Tide feet

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