Sunrise 6:50 AM   Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 10:49 PM   Moonset 8:12 AM

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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Rest of tonight - E ne winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E 15 to 20 kt well offshore. NEar shore, seas 2 to 3 ft. Well offshore, seas 2 to 3 ft building to 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft after midnight. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sat - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt near shore - .except E 15 to 20 kt well offshore. Seas 2 to 3 ft near shore and 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft well offshore. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Sat night - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt near shore - .except E 20 to 25 kt well offshore. Seas 2 to 3 ft near shore and 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft well offshore. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sun - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt near shore - .except E 15 to 20 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft well offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sun night - E winds 15 to 20 kt near shore - .except E 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Mon - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E se 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Mon night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Tue - E se winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E se 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Tue night - E winds 10 to 15 kt near shore - .except E 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S se with gusts to around 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Wed night - E winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 1 foot. Bay and inland waters a light chop.

GMZ600 1007 Pm Cdt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis - Southeasterly winds are expected to strengthen this weekend, along with building seas. Winds and seas gradually subside early next week.

FXUS62 KMFL 270509 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 109 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 702 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Bumped up PoPs slightly for Saturday across the east coast for some spotty showers off the Atlantic and also along and off the Gulf coast later in the day where some convergence will likely kick off some showers over there. Otherwise, the rest of the near term forecast remains on track.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

An upper-level ridge is situated across the FL Big Bend and NE Gulf region as a sprawling surface high remains situated off the NE Atlantic coast. The 12mb gradient from the center of this feature to S FL is driving a breezy easterly flow across the region. However, the overall atmospheric profile remains on the dry side. Daytime heating has created a shallow well-mixed layer, and there is enough low-level moisture to continue supporting a low-level Cu field.
However, there is no sufficient depth to this layer. Throughout the column, ACARS soundings are only showing a PWAT value of 0.5in currently. Even the 12Z sounding only had a PWAT value of 0.9inches.
This is right on the border of the lowest 10th percentile.

Warm, breezy conditions will continue today and tonight in response.
Winds over the waters are likely to increase overnight as well as the gradient tightens even further. Overall, though, there is very little change in conditions for the next few days. A dry, stable airmass persists with a strong upper-level ridge locked in through early next week.

Throughout this time-frame, the surface high will gradually sink south, eventually settling off the FL coast. The prevailing easterly flow should veer more ESE at that point, and a slight increase in moisture is expected. A few more shallow showers are possible across Atlantic waters, perhaps making it into the east coast. However, the overall synoptic pattern will continue to support a mostly dry and stable airmass through the entirety of the period.


AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 107 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

VFR prevails for the next 24 hours. Steady easterly winds will be in place with gusts up to the 25-30kt range for all sites. There is no threat for rain.

MARINE
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Winds and seas are expected to continue increasing across Atlantic and Gulf waters this afternoon and evening, with hazardous conditions expected for small craft. This is expected to last through the weekend and potentially into early next week, especially across Atlantic waters. A few isolated showers are also possible across Atlantic waters, especially closer to the Gulf Stream.

BEACHES
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

A gusty easterly flow continues to favor a high risk of rip currents at beaches along the Atlantic Coastline through the weekend.
Remember, if caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Dry weather continues into next week as a breezy easterly flow prevails. While soils are drying out, RH values are expected to remain above critical thresholds. There are no significant rain chances for the next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 81 72 80 72 / 10 10 10 10 West Kendall 82 69 81 69 / 10 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 82 71 82 71 / 10 10 10 10 Homestead 81 71 80 71 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 80 72 79 72 / 10 10 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 81 72 80 72 / 10 10 10 10 Pembroke Pines 83 71 82 71 / 10 10 10 10 West Palm Beach 81 70 80 69 / 0 0 0 10 Boca Raton 81 70 81 71 / 10 10 10 10 Naples 87 69 87 67 / 10 0 10 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for FLZ168-172.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ630-650-651- 670-671.

GM...None.

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Cocohatchee River, U.S. 41 bridge, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:18 AM EDT     1.18 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:05 AM EDT     0.09 knots Min Flood
Fri -- 08:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:27 PM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 02:56 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:47 PM EDT     -1.60 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:19 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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