Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Naples Park, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 8:25PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:04 AM EDT (07:04 UTC) Moonrise 10:22AMMoonset 11:21PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 939 Pm Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
Rest of tonight..North winds around 5 knots becoming southeast after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms before midnight.
Wednesday..South winds around 5 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..West northwest winds around 5 knots becoming east southeast after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening...then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East southeast winds around 5 knots becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night and Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1009 Pm Cdt Tue Jun 27 2017
Synopsis..Surface ridge of high pressure over the midwest will shift over the eastern seaboard and western atlantic by midweek, with light southerly flow setting up over the local marine area by Wednesday. Southerly winds then continue through the remainder of the week as the surface ridge to the north shifts east. Increasing chances for showers and storms will accompany increased moisture Wednesday through the latter half of this week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples Park, FL
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location: 26.28, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 280533
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
133 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Aviation
Although isolated showers cant be ruled out through late morning,
expected coverage and confidence in timing are not high enough to
warrant inclusion in 6z TAF issuance. By midday, atlantic and gulf
sea breezes will begin to penetrate inland, and scattered showers
and thunderstorms should develop in association with these
boundaries. Thus, vcts in place through 0z, and brief restrictions
are quite possible in near any convection. Activity should
diminish in intensity by late evening, but guidance suggests
gradually moistening atmosphere, so have placed vcsh for eastern
terminals through the end of the period.

Light winds through mid-morning, then SE wind around 10 kt,
calming again after sunset.

Prev discussion issued 804 pm edt Tue jun 27 2017
update...

ir satellite imagery shows convection dwindling across the cwa
with cloud tops slowly warming. However, leftover boundaries from
this evenings storms may trigger a few showers and storms during
the next several hours. Another feature of interest is the line of
thunderstorms pushing northward off of the cuban coast. Short
term models show outflow from this activity possibly interacting
with boundaries near our coast early Wednesday morning. If this
occurs, additional thunderstorms may develop over the atlantic
waters. Will continue to monitor through the night. Previous
forecast package appeared on track, so besides loading in the
latest wind and sky guidance, did not have to teak other forecast
parameters.

Prev discussion... Issued 358 pm edt Tue jun 27 2017
discussion...

latest water vapor imagery loop shows a cyclonic spinning low
over new york state with a longwave trough draped along the
the mid-atlantic. Surface analysis indicates a east- west
oriented stationary boundary sitting stagnant across north-
central florida. This feature has managed to push the bermuda high
eastward, away from our region, resulting in near natural flow.

Thus, well established sea breezes have already developed and
continue to push inland, towards the interior. Satellite derived
pwat values range from 1.7 inches in the southern peninsula to
near 2.0 inches further north. These values are slightly higher
than climo and more than sufficient for heavy, slow moving storms.

With a modified dcape of 1,400 j kg, wet microbursts producing
strong wind gusts are also a possibility. Short term model
guidance progs convection to propagating across the interior
through the early evening. After diurnal heating ceases, activity
should begin to wane. SPC has placed a marginal risk of severe
weather from west palm beach to lake okeechobee, so will continue
to monitor for the remainder of the day. Tomorrow should be a
similar set up, with not much changing synoptically. Light flow
will again lead to sea breeze convergence inland from the coasts.

As the day progresses, outflow boundaries will shift most of the
convection towards the interior. Maximum temperatures tomorrow
are forecast to hover in the upper 80s along the coasts, with
lower 90s inland. These values are around normal to slightly above
normal for this time of year.

Late next week into the weekend: by Thursday, both the GFS and
ecmwf prog the aforementioned front to wash out and retreat
northward. This will allow surface high near bermuda to once again
increase in strength. Stronger southeast flow will begin to
concentrate afternoon convection back towards the western
interior, as sea breeze collision shifts west. Friday into this
weekend, a more typical summertime regime reestablishes itself.

Long range models show an elongated high building aloft over the
peninsula with surface high building near bermuda. This pattern
typically brings persistent southeast flow. Afternoon convection
will most likely occur in the western interior and gulf coast with
night showers affecting the east coast metro region. Pwats
decrease slightly below climo during this time frame, so not
anticipating much in the way of significant heavy rain events.

Marine... Winds and seas should remain below small craft advisory
criteria across the local waters through the forecast period with
mainly light southeasterly flow prevailing. Sea breezes may
enhance winds near the coast to 10-15 knots at times each
afternoon. Only exception will be with any thunderstorm that
forms, which will bring brief periods of strong gusty winds and
rough seas. Waterspouts are also possible, especially in the
morning hours, mainly over the atlantic waters. Seas will be 3
feet or less heading into the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 91 78 91 78 50 30 50 40
fort lauderdale 90 79 91 80 50 30 40 30
miami 92 79 91 79 50 30 40 30
naples 91 76 91 76 40 20 50 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 27 jt
discussion... 27 jt
marine... 27 jt
aviation... 23 sk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 10 mi47 min E 4.1 G 7 88°F1016.1 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 17 mi80 min NE 2.9 76°F 73°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 26 mi47 min Calm G 1.9 76°F 90°F1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL9 mi72 minNE 410.00 miFair78°F73°F87%1016 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL18 mi72 minN 010.00 miFair76°F73°F94%1015.8 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL21 mi72 minSSE 410.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1016 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6SE3NE3E3CalmCalmCalmSW3W9W9W11W10CalmW8NW7W9NW6NW4CalmE7NE6NE5NE4E4
1 day agoE3E4NE3NE3NE4E5SE8SE5SW5SW11SW9NE8CalmSW7NW5W6W4W4S7SE9NE4CalmNW4Calm
2 days agoCalmNE3E5NE4E4E7SE7SE6SE6SE7SW11W11W11W8W9NE14NW5CalmCalmCalmE4NE4E3NE3

Tide / Current Tables for Cocohatchee River, U.S. 41 bridge, Florida
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Cocohatchee River
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:07 AM EDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:22 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:49 AM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:21 PM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.20.10.61.11.51.71.91.81.61.31.10.80.811.41.722.12.11.91.61.10.70.3

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:17 AM EDT     1.09 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:39 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:08 AM EDT     -0.24 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:30 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:21 PM EDT     0.83 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:10 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:01 PM EDT     -1.25 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.30.40.91.11.10.90.70.50.2-0.1-0.2-0.10.20.60.80.80.50.1-0.3-0.6-0.9-1.1-1.2-1.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.