Tuesday, October16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manalapan, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 6:46PM Tuesday October 16, 2018 2:45 PM EDT (18:45 UTC) Moonrise 12:52PMMoonset 11:47PM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manalapan, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 26.3, -77.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmfl 161741
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
141 pm edt Tue oct 16 2018

Aviation
Vfr through the TAF period. East-southeast winds around 15 knots
(with occasional gusts up to 25 knots) will decrease to around
10-12 knots tonight. Only isolated showers are anticipated
through the remainder of the afternoon. Shower chances will then
increase slightly at the eastern terminals tonight, so added vcsh
from late tonight through Wednesday morning. Expect similar
weather conditions for Wednesday, however with a slightly greater
coverage of showers and a few thunderstorms.

Prev discussion issued 1130 am edt Tue oct 16 2018
update...

expansive subtropical ridging spanning from the central gulf to
the western atlantic will remain the prevailing feature aloft,
with surface ridging nosing in from the northeast. These features
will promote drier conditions along with a persistently breezy
east-southeast flow in the low levels. While we can't rule out a
stay shower or storm, most locations should remain dry. For this
evening, the meso models are keying in on a slightly better chance
for a shower storm over southern miami-dade and mainland monroe
counties. Thereafter, a few showers will be possible later tonight
across the atlantic waters with these potentially brushing the
east coast at times.

Beach forecast...

a moderate (to borderline high) risk for rip currents continues
for the atlantic beaches today. A moderate to high risk is
expected to continue for much of this week. Swimmers should
exercise extreme caution given these expected conditions.

Climate...

several locations observed record warmth yesterday, and given
fairly rain-free conditions, additional records may be threatened
this week. For this afternoon, naples may approach its daily
record high maximum temperature of 94 degrees set in 2007.

Prev discussion... Issued 737 am edt Tue oct 16 2018
aviation...

vfr through the TAF period. East-southeast winds will increase to
around 15 knots later this morning through this evening, before
decreasing to around 10 knots tonight. A few light and brief
showers are possible today, but coverage will be limited
precluding a vcsh mention. Shower chances may increase slightly at
the eastern terminals tonight, and will consider adding vcsh
during this time with the 18z update depending upon forecast
trends.

Prev discussion... Issued 241 am edt Tue oct 16 2018
discussion...

short term (today through Thursday)
wv loop early this morning shows expansive upper level ridge
dominating florida and much of the SE conus, gulf of mexico, and
adjacent atlantic. These feature will remain anchored overhead the
region through the week, helping to provide an extended period of
relatively tranquil weather.

With the surface ridge centered to the east, moderate easterly
winds will prevail, with spotty showers and possibly a
thunderstorm or two spreading inland off the atlantic from time to
time. Late Tuesday into Wednesday, a plume of moisture and
vorticity MAX will spread westward along the southern periphery of
the ridge, mainly south of south florida. This should be close
enough to increase rain chances just slightly over southern areas
during this period. Temperatures beneath the ridge will be warmer
than normal for mid-october and some records may be threatened.

See climate section below for details.

Long term (Thursday night through Monday)
some signs of changes in the overall weather pattern as we get
into next weekend, as the persistent ridge weakens, allowing mid-
latitude troughs to pass closer to the region. Most likely, for
florida, only a zonal flow will form with the main impacts of the
trough remaining north of the area. At the surface, a front will
approach over the weekend, but it appears to be rather weak. For
now, will forecast temperatures to only drop a degree or two
over the weekend, with wind shift to northeast and slightly better
shower thunderstorm chances.

Marine...

moderate east flow will prevail through the week with high
pressure centered east of the waters. Speeds may build to levels
where small craft operators should exercise caution, and by
Wednesday a small craft advisory may be necessary for atlantic
waters as a surge of wind is possible.

Aviation...

vfr conditons across the region with partly cloudy skies and
southeast winds around 10 knots. East southeasterly winds will
increase to around 15 knots later this morning through the
afternoon and evening. A few light and brief showers are possible
this afternoon but, coverage will be limited enough to not
include vcsh in this forecast cycle.

Beach forecast...

east wind 15 to 20 mph will cause a moderate risk of rip currents
on atlantic beaches today, and there is a chance this risk will
increase to high. A moderate to high risk of rip currents will
likely continue through much of the week, as the high pressure
remains anchored in place.

Climate...

several locations observed record warmth Monday. Naples tied a
daily record high maximum of 90 degrees, last set in 2007. The low
temperature at fort lauderdale only fell to 81 degrees, which
broke 2007s daily record warm minimum of 79 degrees. West palm
beach tied a daily record warm low temperature, also last set in
2007, of 79 degrees. With fairly rain-free conditions, decent
onshore flow, and high pressure dominating this week, additional
records may be threatened.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 89 78 89 78 20 20 20 20
fort lauderdale 89 80 88 80 20 30 30 20
miami 89 78 89 78 20 30 20 20
naples 93 75 90 73 20 10 30 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 34 spm
discussion... 23 sbk
marine... 23 sbk
aviation... 34 spm
beach forecast... 23 sbk


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 94 mi46 min ESE 11 G 12 85°F 1018.3 hPa (-2.3)

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL149 mi59 minE 12 G 1810.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F75°F66%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from BCT (wind in knots)
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last 24hrSE10
G15
E11
G16
SE10
G18
SE10E10E8E8------------------SE6
G12
E8SE10E10
G18
E10
G18
E13
G20
E15
G20
E12
G18
1 day agoE8E10E10E10E6E6SE8------------------E5E8SE7E6
G14
E7
G15
E10
G15
E12
G18
E10
2 days agoE7E5E6--E5E5E4E3E4--------------CalmCalmCalmE6SE6SE6E6E6

Tide / Current Tables for Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:58 AM EDT     3.12 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:58 AM EDT     1.46 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:02 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tue -- 02:24 PM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:01 PM EDT     1.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.733.132.72.31.91.61.51.61.92.42.93.33.53.43.22.82.41.91.61.51.61.9

Tide / Current Tables for Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas (2)
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:02 AM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:01 AM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:02 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tue -- 02:28 PM EDT     2.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:07 PM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
22.32.42.321.61.20.90.80.91.21.72.22.62.82.82.52.21.71.310.80.91.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (14,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.