Sunrise 6:38 AM   Sunset 7:45 PM Moonrise 9:30 PM   Moonset 7:05 AM

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AMZ075 Northern Bahamas From 24n To 27n- 1026 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2024
Today - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.Tonight - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft atlc exposures, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere. Wed - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft atlc exposures, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Wed night - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft atlc exposures, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere. Thu - S to sw winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Thu night - NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Fri - N to ne winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Fri night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Sat - NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

FXUS62 KMFL 261355 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL Issued by National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 955 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 949 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Quiet conditions continue this morning across South Florida as an easterly flow prevails. In this flow, the Cu field is beginning to develop along the East coast, slowly making its way inland. The 12Z MFL sounding shows just a slight bit of moisture right a 4kft where clouds are occurring, but the atmosphere above that layer quickly dries and stabilizes with a sharp decrease in the dew point temperature and a noted inversion. This suggests a quiet day overall across the region on land. However, marine and beach hazards continue with the easterly flow and are likely to increase as the winds pick up later this evening and tonight.

The forecast remains on track.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 122 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Mid-lvl ridging will build towards the area over through Saturday maintaining the dry and stable airmass over South Florida. Strong high pressure over the NE US will build southward Friday into Saturday tightening the pressure gradient and resulting in breezy easterly flow developing over our area. The dry mid-lvls and dynamic subsidence should keep us mostly dry through the period, although some quick moving shallow showers will be possible over the east coast and Atlantic waters, particularly on Saturday as easterly flow/coastal convergence increases. Temperatures today through Saturday will be characteristic of a strong easterly regime with the warmest highs (generally upper 80s) over the Interior/west coast with cooler highs (generally low to mid 80s) over the east coast. The reverse will be true with overnight lows with milder readings (low 70s) over the east coast and 60s over the Interior/west coast.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 122 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Mid-lvl ridging will establish itself over the eastern CONUS this weekend into early next week, displacing the storm track well north of the area.
At the surface (initially strong) high pressure over the western Atlantic will be the main feature of interest supporting breezy easterly winds through the period, although the high will gradually be weakening into next week with winds . Generally dry conditions will prevail given the influence of the ridge, although some quick-moving shallow coastal convergence generated showers can't be ruled out over the east coast and Atlantic waters through the period. Temperatures will be fairly static Sunday/Monday (similar to Saturday), and then increase a couple degrees into the mid-week period as easterly flow weakens somewhat.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the 12Z TAF cycle at all sites. Easterly winds increase to 10-15 KTs with gusts of 20-25 KTs from the late morning through the afternoon hours. A westerly Gulf sea breeze is expected at KAPF after 20Z.

MARINE
Issued at 122 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Easterly winds and seas will increase today into the weekend as high pressure builds southward into the western Atlantic. Hazardous conditions will likely develop tonight and persist through the upcoming weekend, particularly over the Atlantic waters.

BEACHES
Issued at 122 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Increasing easterly (onshore) flow and surf will result in a high risk of rip currents for the east coast beaches today through the upcoming weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 81 72 81 72 / 0 0 10 10 West Kendall 83 68 82 70 / 0 0 10 0 Opa-Locka 83 70 82 71 / 0 0 10 10 Homestead 81 71 81 72 / 0 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 80 72 80 72 / 0 0 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 81 71 81 72 / 0 0 10 10 Pembroke Pines 84 70 84 72 / 0 0 10 10 West Palm Beach 81 70 81 69 / 0 0 10 10 Boca Raton 81 70 82 71 / 0 0 10 10 Naples 88 67 87 69 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ630-650-651-670-671.

GM...None.

Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:39 AM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:32 AM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:27 PM EDT     0.99 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:45 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas, Tide feet

Eleuthera Island (west coast)
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:40 AM EDT     1.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:22 PM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:23 PM EDT     1.10 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Eleuthera Island (west coast), Bahamas, Tide feet

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