Sunrise 6:45 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM Moonrise 3:58 AM   Moonset 4:38 PM

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GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 1032 Am Edt Sun May 5 2024
Rest of today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south late. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Tonight - South winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 1032 Am Edt Sun May 5 2024
Synopsis - High pressure is expected across the region for the upcoming week leading to minimal weather concerns. Easterly winds will turn onshore each afternoon remaining below 15 knots with seas of 2 feet and under. A few showers and storms are possible each afternoon and evening with the sea breeze.

FXUS62 KTBW 051319 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 919 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 917 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

Another warm and humid day is expected today. The moist air today with the seabreeze setting up late in the afternoon will bring us some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms for this evening. No changes needed to the forecast at this time.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

Ridging will continue to build across the region today and will dominate the weather pattern through much of the upcoming week. For today, adequate moisture lingers across the peninsula with PWs generally in the 1.5 inch range. This moisture, combined with our persistent easterly flow will lead to rain and thunderstorm chances mainly across the interior portion of the state. As the surface high centers over the area, precipitation chances continue to diminish to begin the work week. By mid week, substantial ridging will lead to drier air and near zero rain chances. The next chance for rain doesn't look to materialize until the end of the forecast period as a trough sweeps across the eastern U.S. This feature is still 7 days out, so we'll continue to monitor it for any rainfall potential.

The main story for the upcoming week will be the warming temperatures. As previously mentioned, plenty of moisture will be present over the next couple of days which will act to keep temperatures within a couple degrees of normal. But as moisture wanes and upper level heights build through the week, temperatures will climb. By Tuesday, everyone away from the immediate coast will see afternoon highs reach into the lower 90s. For Wed-Fri, locations across interior portions of the state will see temperatures reach into the middle to upper 90s. Overnight lows will fall into the upper 60s to lower 70s. Relief from the heat may arrive next weekend with the aforementioned trough, but we don't want to get our hopes up just yet.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 802 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

VFR conditions expected throughout the period outside of thunderstorms. All sites except LAL should see a seabreeze wind shift by the late afternoon hours. Some isolated thunderstorms will be possible today at most TAF sites in the late afternoon and evening hours.

MARINE
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

High pressure is expected across the region for the upcoming week leading to minimal weather concerns. Easterly winds will turn onshore each afternoon remaining below 15 knots with seas of 2 feet and under. A few showers and storms are possible each afternoon and evening with the sea breeze.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

A few afternoon and evening showers and storms are expected across interior portions of the state today and tomorrow. Then drier air is expected as high pressure builds over the area. Critically low RH values are expected, but winds will remain below red flag criteria.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 88 72 89 74 / 40 20 20 10 FMY 90 69 91 72 / 40 40 20 10 GIF 90 70 91 70 / 50 40 30 10 SRQ 87 70 89 72 / 30 20 10 10 BKV 90 67 91 65 / 40 20 20 10 SPG 87 74 87 76 / 30 20 20 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Matanzas Pass (fixed bridge) Estero Island
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Sun -- 04:57 AM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:32 AM EDT     2.58 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:49 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Matanzas Pass (fixed bridge) Estero Island, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:04 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:55 AM EDT     -0.90 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:27 AM EDT     1.21 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 12:47 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:22 PM EDT     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:29 PM EDT     1.23 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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