Sunrise 6:38 AM   Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 2:10 PM   Moonset 2:15 AM

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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 809 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Sunday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 7 seconds and west 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 809 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis - Southwest to west winds will continue through the weekend ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, which will bring increasing rain chances to the waters starting Saturday and continuing through Sunday and even into early next week. Rain chances then diminish for the rest of the week as high pressure builds in. Overall, no headlines are expected, just higher winds and seas within storms.

FXUS62 KTBW 172334 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 734 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

New AVIATION


AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 729 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

VFR conditions should prevail through most of the period across terminals. However, there is a non-zero chance for MFVR ceilings that could develop during the early morning hours due to the potential for patchy fog. If this materializes, it should dissipate after sunrise. Southerly winds are expected to gradually become breezy into the afternoon hours and shifting from the southwest. Wind speeds decrease towards the end of the period.

DISCUSSION
A weakened MCS responsible for some early storms continues to shift eastward away from the region this afternoon as a frontal boundary remains draped across the central peninsula. With low- level southwest winds in place, expect any remaining rainfall to generally shift inland through the rest of the day, though overall chances are low. The boundary continues to lift northward tonight into Saturday, with southwest winds continuing ahead of another front moving into the southeast. With this setup in place, we can expect more showers and storms for Saturday afternoon, with the best chances north and then inland. By Saturday night into Sunday, the front will move over the peninsula, with higher rain chances through the day. The boundary lingers over south Florida for Monday, keeping a chance for some showers and storms in the forecast, but then high pressure builds in and keeps rain chances lower through the rest of the week.


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 90 79 92 78 / 10 0 20 50 FMY 92 78 94 78 / 10 0 10 30 GIF 94 75 96 75 / 20 10 30 40 SRQ 91 77 93 76 / 10 0 10 40 BKV 92 72 93 72 / 20 0 30 50 SPG 89 81 89 79 / 10 0 20 50

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

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Matanzas Pass (fixed bridge) Estero Island
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Fri -- 03:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:17 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:34 AM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:41 PM EDT     1.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:55 PM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Matanzas Pass (fixed bridge) Estero Island, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:00 AM EDT     -0.84 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:36 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:02 AM EDT     0.75 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:31 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:49 PM EDT     -0.63 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:21 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:43 PM EDT     0.36 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:58 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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