Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Punta Rassa, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 7:23PM Saturday September 23, 2017 7:09 AM EDT (11:09 UTC) Moonrise 9:19AMMoonset 8:54PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 335 Am Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
Today..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northeast winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots toward morning. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming north around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..North winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming south around 5 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming west around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots toward morning. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated showers.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated showers in the evening.
Wednesday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 335 Am Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
Synopsis.. High pressure will continue to ridge across the waters through the period with nighttime easterly wind surges increasing winds to just below headline criteria. Otherwise, rather benign winds and seas should continue, except in the vicinity of Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Punta Rassa, FL
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location: 26.5, -82.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 230734
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
334 am edt Sat sep 23 2017

Short term (today - Sunday)
A similar pattern from Friday will remain in place across
the area today. High pressure will continue to ridge
southward from the northeast u.S. While hurricane maria
moves north well east of the florida peninsula. This pattern
will keep an east to northeast flow in place across the
region. Sufficiently deep atmospheric moisture is expected
with pws remaining around 2 inches. This should support
high-end sct coverage of showers and storms with rain
chances around 50 percent. Low-level flow will keep storms
again moving from east to west across the peninsula.

Afternoon temperatures will top out near 90s with overnight
lows in the low to mid 70s. Sunday will feature more of the
same with rain chances perhaps just a tad lower compared to
Saturday.

Long term (Sunday night through next Saturday)
The dominant weather features across the CONUS at the start
of the medium to long range period will be a potent upper
trough extending over the rockies and hurricane maria off
the southeast u.S. Coast.

The surface weather pattern will evolve substantially
through the medium range as maria lifts northward, and
surface high pressure is nudged westward. This will place
much of the region within light northerly flow. One last day
of widely scattered showers and storms is expected Monday,
before drier air advects southward. The intrusion of drier
air coupled with weak subsidence to the west of hurricane
maria will generally prevent any shower or thunderstorm
development from Tuesday through the end of the week. Recent
long range models show maria will become nearly stationary
off the mid- atlantic coast, thus reinforcing the potential
for a relatively long dry spell as the surface and upper air
pattern remains fairly stagnant.

Temperatures look to remain near seasonal normals with highs
in the lower to possibly mid 90s, and lows in the low to
mid 70s. Depending on the extent of dryness, a couple of
days could see highs near record levels, as we have seen
this past week. ...

Aviation
Vfr expected outside of any showers and storms. Light winds
overnight will become more NE to E after day break but
generally below 10 kts. Vcts mentioned area wide by early
afternoon as sct thunderstorms will begin to develop across
the area with a motion towards the gulf coast. As always,
localized MVFR ifr will be possible in and around
thunderstorms with localized gusty winds.

Marine
The east to northeast flow will continue with an evening
surge expected tonight but winds should remain around 15
knots or less. Then during Sunday through Tuesday the flow
will diminish some as maria moves by well to the east of
florida with the west coast sea breeze developing near the
coast each afternoon.

Fire weather
No fire weather concerns for the next few days.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 89 75 91 75 50 10 30 20
fmy 90 74 91 75 50 10 40 30
gif 89 73 91 73 50 10 30 10
srq 90 73 90 75 50 20 30 30
bkv 89 72 91 71 50 10 30 10
spg 89 76 89 76 50 20 30 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... 11 mckaughan
mid term long term decision support... 84 austin


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 13 mi52 min NNE 4.1 G 7 77°F 88°F1010.2 hPa
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 28 mi52 min NNE 2.9 G 5.1 85°F1010 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 35 mi85 min 75°F 74°F
VENF1 - Venice, FL 46 mi70 min NE 5.1 G 8 76°F 84°F1011 hPa (-0.0)74°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL10 mi77 minNE 410.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1010.2 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL14 mi77 minNNE 510.00 miFair76°F73°F91%1009.9 hPa

Wind History from FMY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE7NE53N543NE10N7N10N9NE11E3E3NE6E6NE6NE5E4E4NE5NE5NE4NE6
1 day agoNE5NE7E66E46NE9NE7NE9NE7NE9NE7E8E7E6E6E5E5E3NE4NE6NE5NE4NE5
2 days agoE4E3SE3SE43S35W5W9SW96N9NE8E10E6E5NE4E3E5CalmE3NE5E3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Punta Rassa, San Carlos Bay, Florida
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Punta Rassa
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:48 AM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:22 AM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:06 PM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:08 PM EDT     1.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.92.22.42.52.321.61.10.70.50.60.81.11.51.82.12.12.11.91.61.41.31.31.5

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:45 AM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:43 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:50 AM EDT     -1.05 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:41 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:25 PM EDT     1.12 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:32 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:35 PM EDT     -0.60 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 09:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:39 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.10.80.4-0.1-0.5-0.8-1-1-0.9-0.40.20.81.11.10.80.50.1-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.30.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.