Sunrise 6:44 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 4:34 AM   Moonset 5:46 PM

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GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 211 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots late this evening, then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Friday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 211 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis -
southeasterly flow continues, with a shift onshore as the afternoon seabreeze develops. No major marine concerns through the week as high pressure dominates conditions.

FXUS62 KTBW 061811 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 211 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Above average temperatures with moderately dry conditions continue today as a high pressure system situated in the Atlantic keeps the southeasterly flow over the area. Isolated showers and thunderstorms could develop later this afternoon/evening as the west coast sea breeze and east coast sea breeze finally collide.
However, rain chances still remain low overall, with best chances east of I75. Storms that do develop will remain largely stationary as the steering flows aloft remain light. This means, localized heavy rainfall could occur. If there is enough lift, and storms are able to develop a stronger core, small hail could be possible with 500mb temps right around -9 degrees. Conditions will begin to settle overnight, with tomorrow much of the same expected.

Heat remains the major concern this week with a stronger ridge likely to build in, and the Atlantic Surface ridge axis shifting further south over the area. Widespread low to mid 90s expected each afternoon. Wednesday and Thursday look to be the hottest of the week, with limited rain chances and mostly sunny skies. Remember to drink plenty of water and take frequent breaks when doing any outside activities. Moving towards the weekend, a weak frontal boundary approaches the area increasing rain chances slight Friday night into Saturday.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

VFR conditions prevail through the period. SE breeze shifts onshore with sea breeze development. Only concern would be the chance of isolated showers/thunderstorms. However, these will likely develop further inland and remain stationary. Much the same tomorrow. By mid week, even less shower development expected.



MARINE
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Southeasterly flow continues, with a shift onshore as the afternoon seabreeze develops. No major marine concerns through the week as high pressure dominates conditions.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Warm, dry conditions expected through the week, with no major fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 74 89 74 90 / 10 10 0 0 FMY 72 92 74 94 / 10 20 0 10 GIF 71 93 72 95 / 20 30 0 10 SRQ 72 87 72 88 / 10 10 0 0 BKV 66 91 66 91 / 10 10 0 0 SPG 76 88 77 89 / 10 10 0 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Captiva Island
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Mon -- 12:57 AM EDT     1.58 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:40 AM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:16 PM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:54 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Captiva Island, Pine Island Sound, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:19 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:43 AM EDT     -0.67 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:50 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:53 AM EDT     1.27 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:57 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:57 PM EDT     -1.76 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:44 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:18 PM EDT     1.37 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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