Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 7:37PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 3:16 PM EDT (19:16 UTC) Moonrise 7:29AMMoonset 8:28PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 941 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Rest of today..West southwest winds around 5 knots becoming east southeast. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday..Winds south southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday night..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds becoming 4 seconds after midnight. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to southwest 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Sunday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 941 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Synopsis..Today, generally good boating conditions under light east- southeast winds through Thursday. Stronger south- southeast winds are expected Thursday night and Friday ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. The front will also bring the threat for showers and Thunderstorms over the waters as it moves into the region. Winds will decrease for the weekend as the front washes out, though the threat for a few showers may linger.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of mar 28, 2017 at 1200 utc... 13 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Ridge, FL
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location: 26.54, -80.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 291756
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
156 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Aviation
Ese winds around 10 kt will persist along the east coast through
29/2300z, then decrease with the loss of diurnal heating. Few/sct
fair weather cumulus will continue to pass over the peninsula
with bases 3500-4500 ft msl, but not expecting any precipitation.

Expect light SE winds and mainly clear skies tonight.

Along the gulf coast, the SW sea breeze will diminish by this
evening.

Prev discussion /issued 1027 am edt Wed mar 29 2017/
update...

the 12z mfl sounding indicated shallow moisture and light winds
near the surface, consistent with the patchy fog observed over
the interior this morning, and drier air in the mid and upper
levels. High pressure over south florida will continue to bring
mainly sunny skies and light southeast winds through this
afternoon. With an easterly flow pattern in place, maximum
temperatures should top out highest in the western interior,
where upper the 80s may reached. Made slight adjustments to the
short term winds and dewpoints to account for latest trends.

Otherwise, the forecast appeared on track.

Prev discussion... /issued 404 am edt Wed mar 29 2017/
discussion...

today-Thursday: surface high center will slide just to our east
today, before weakening on Thursday ahead of the next system moving
east. Weak mid-upper level ridge sliding across the peninsula the
next two days will also help keep the overall atmosphere dry and
suppressed with continuing fair weather across south florida.

Weak pressure gradient will allow both sea breezes to push inland
both afternoons, though as low level flow becomes more southeast
Thursday the gulf sea breeze is not expected to push as far inland
as previous days. Can't rule out a shower or two with the sea breeze
collision given the warm afternoon temperatures, but chances look to
low for a mention in the forecast as of now. Patchy overnight fog is
possible over interior sections.

Highs will be in the low to mid 80s for east and gulf coasts, and
upper 80s to near 90 for the interior. Lows will generally be in the
60s, though some east coast locations may linger closer to 70.

Friday-Saturday: the GFS and ECMWF have come into better agreement
in the handling of the upper level low that is expected to cross
through the central plains today, and lift out through the tn/oh
valley and mid-atlantic late week. Both models have trended weaker
with the southern stream of this system, keeping a more robust
surface low further north. The net result is a slower and weaker
front that slides into the fl peninsula Friday and Saturday.

The bulk of activity associated with the front itself looks to hold
off until later in the day on Friday. However, gusty southerly
flow will increase low level moisture across the region, which
along with a robust 90-100kt jet crossing the peninsula, and above
normal daytime highs in the mid 80s will help generate a few
afternoon showers and storms. While models show the bulk of
activity over the gulf of mexico weakening substantially as it
nears south florida later on Friday, will have to watch for
potential of more organized convection holding together.

With the boundary slowing down, the threat for isolated showers and
a storm or two will linger into Saturday.

Early next week: models are now trending towards the frontal
boundary washing out across the region by Sunday rather than pushing
through, leaving some lingering low level moisture across the
region. However, Sunday does look to be the driest day of the
weekend with only isolated showers.

The southern stream jet remains active into next week with the next
upper level low swinging through the southern tier of the us with a
robust surface low expected to move into the tn/oh valleys Monday-
Tuesday. Though timing differs between the models, especially this
far out, it looks like we can expect unsettled weather as increasing
south-southeast flow brings deeper moisture back into the region.

Marine... Generally good boating conditions will continue with
east-southeast winds less than 10 kts today, then picking up out
of the southeast 10-15kts on Thursday. Gulf coast breeze will be
more active this afternoon, bringing winds around to the west-
northwest, with the stronger offshore component limiting, though
completely prevent the development of the gulf coast breeze
Thursday.

The approach of a frontal boundary on Friday will allow winds to
increase out of the south-southeast to 15-20kts over most of the
local waters. This will briefly bring seas up to 3-4ft over both the
gulf and atlantic, along with bringing the threat for showers and
storms Friday and Saturday.

Winds over the weekend look light and variable as the boundary
washes out in the vicinity, before increasing again by early next
week ahead of the next low pressure system.

Fire weather... With dry air in place and little, if any
precipitation expected across the region through Thursday,
afternoon rh values are expected to drop below 40% across the
interior for several hours both this afternoon and again Thursday
afternoon. For glades, hendry, and interior collier counties,
several hours of rh values below 35% can be expected. Although
fuels are quite dry, erc values remain below thresholds for most
areas and overall wind speeds are expected to remain less than 10
mph. However, a red flag warning will be needed in locations that
currently have lowered criteria due to enhanced fire concerns.

Preliminary point temps/pops
West palm beach 67 84 67 85 / 0 0 10 30
fort lauderdale 71 82 71 85 / 0 0 10 20
miami 69 84 70 85 / 0 0 10 20
naples 66 84 66 84 / 10 0 0 30

Mfl watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... Red flag warning until 7 pm edt this evening for flz070.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 27/jt
discussion... 88/alm
marine... 88/alm
aviation... 27/jt
fire weather... 88/alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 5 mi53 min SE 11 G 12
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 31 mi35 min ESE 2.9 G 7 80°F 1017 hPa64°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL10 mi24 minESE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F59°F46%1016.6 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL11 mi90 minESE 610.00 miFair84°F57°F40%1017.3 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL20 mi24 minESE 1010.00 miFair82°F62°F51%1016.6 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL24 mi24 minESE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F55°F36%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E10E10E10E7E8E7SE6E7E7E7SE6SE5SE4CalmW3CalmW3S5SW5N5E9E9SE11
1 day agoE11
G19
NE10E9NE9NE9E8E7E9E8E9E5CalmCalmW3NW4CalmNW5NW33N34E11E10E9
G17
2 days agoE12E12E11E10E11E8E11E10E10E8E8E10E8E6E8E6E5E10E8E8E8E9
G15
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G17

Tide / Current Tables for Boynton Beach, Lake Worth, Florida
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Boynton Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:56 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:29 AM EDT     2.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:16 PM EDT     -0.63 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.92.41.70.90.2-0.2-0.4-0.10.71.52.32.82.82.51.810.2-0.4-0.6-0.50.21.122.7

Tide / Current Tables for South Delray Beach, ICWW, Florida
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South Delray Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:35 AM EDT     2.96 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:08 PM EDT     -0.68 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
32.51.80.90.2-0.3-0.4-0.10.61.52.42.92.92.61.910.2-0.4-0.7-0.50.21.12.12.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.