Sunrise 6:50 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 2:13 AM   Moonset 1:29 PM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

GMZ132 Expires:202405030215;;492048 Fzus54 Kbro 021359 Cwfbro
coastal waters forecast for the lower texas coast national weather service brownsville tx 859 am cdt Thu may 2 2024
lower texas coastal waters from baffin bay to the mouth of the rio grande out 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz130-132-135-030215- laguna madre from the port of brownsville to the arroyo colorado- laguna madre from the arroyo colorado to 5 nm north of port mansfield tx- laguna madre from 5 nm north of port mansfield to baffin bay tx- 859 am cdt Thu may 2 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Rest of today - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay. Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Choppy on the bay becoming a moderate chop after midnight. Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Light chop on the bay becoming a moderate chop in the afternoon. Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. A moderate chop on the bay becoming light chop after midnight. Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. A moderate chop on the bay becoming choppy in the afternoon. Saturday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay. Sunday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay. Sunday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. Monday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay. Monday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay.

GMZ100 859 Am Cdt Thu May 2 2024
Synopsis - Moderate to fresh southeast winds and moderate to sometimes high seas will prevail along the lower texas coast through the forecast.

FXUS64 KBRO 021129 AAA AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 629 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

A somewhat more calm weather pattern is expected during this portion of the total forecast. After largely dry weather today, a 500 mb disturbance will approach the western portion of the BRO CWFA late Friday. Showers/thunderstorms will develop at that time over neighboring Mexico, and isolated convection may ease into Zapata, Starr, and Jim Hogg counties for Friday afternoon and evening. Indeed, for this time period, the Storm Prediction Center indicates a general risk of thunderstorms, and additionally, no severe weather is anticipated.

Additionally, slightly above normal to above normal daytime high and overnight low temperatures will occur, thankfully tempered by mostly cloudy skies. A moderate to breezy onshore flow is also probable.

Finally, elevated seas will result in a MODERATE RISK of rip currents at the local beaches today through Friday.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

A nearly zonal flow aloft with a series of mid-level shortwaves will prevail through period. This pattern will continue to support warm, humid, and generally rain-free conditions. Temperatures Friday night through Sunday will be above normal with overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s and highs generally in the upper 80s to the upper 90s, except for the lower 80s near the coast.

Late in the weekend into the middle part of next week, the 500mb sub- tropical ridge will build north into Deep South Texas leading to hot and humid conditions across the region. Highs on Monday will range from the lower 90s to around 100 degrees, except for the 80s at the beaches, across the CWA Heat indices of 100 to 107 degrees are expected Monday afternoon. Temperatures will be hotter Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 90s near the coast and in the 100s elsewhere. An expanding Major HeatRisk area by Tuesday and Wednesday will prevail across the area, mainly west of I-69C. Heat indices between 100 to 110 degrees will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon. A Heat Advisory may be needed for portions of the Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley by Wednesday.

The rip current risk will remain moderate to occasionally high through the period.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

MVFR to VFR will continue at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours.

MARINE
Issued at 338 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

Today through Friday: An enhanced pressure gradient along the Lower Texas Coast today will ease slightly on Friday, as the typical high pressure and low pressure interaction weakens a bit.
Moderate seas and moderate to breezy winds are anticipated, and while Small Craft Advisory is not likely to be needed, Small Craft Exercise Caution is probable for portions or all of the lower Texas coastal waters during the period.

Friday night through Wednesday...Moderate to occasionally strong southeast winds will prevail along the Lower Texas Coast through the period. Small craft caution conditions will be the dominant hazard.
However, marginal Small Craft Advisory conditions will be possible at times, on the Laguna Madre and across the nearshore Gulf waters, due to the enhanced pressure gradient early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 90 78 90 76 / 10 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 92 75 92 73 / 10 0 10 0 MCALLEN 94 78 94 76 / 10 0 10 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 96 76 95 75 / 10 0 20 10 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 82 77 82 76 / 10 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 88 76 87 74 / 10 0 0 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Padre Island (South)
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:11 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:54 AM CDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:05 PM CDT     1.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:28 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Padre Island (South), Texas, Tide feet

Padre Island (South)
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:11 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:41 AM CDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:23 PM CDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:28 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:20 PM CDT     1.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:02 PM CDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Padre Island (South), Texas (2), Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Brownsville, TX,