Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 5:54 AM   Moonset 8:02 PM

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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 355 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest late. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 3 seconds, becoming south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday night - West winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Saturday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning. Saturday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sunday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 355 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - High pressure will ridge across florida into the eastern gulf of mexico today through Thursday night, with south and southeast winds turning onshore near the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze. A cold front will approach the waters Friday and clear the area on Saturday, bringing in a brief increase in winds Friday, and higher rain chances Friday through Saturday.

FXUS62 KTBW 081308 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 908 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 906 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Another clear and mild morning across West Central Florida. We will once again see dry conditions and temperatures warming up quickly. Highs are expected to get into the mid to upper 90's in the interior of the state. No changes needed to the forecast at this time.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Today and Thursday, high pressure will dominate the weather pattern, with broad ridging building in over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and Florida Peninsula, and a strong surface ridge extending from the Atlantic across central Florida. This stacked ridging will favor warm and dry conditions, with afternoon high temperatures running several degrees above normal, and rain free conditions holding. Apart from the heat, the main weather concern will be for some patchy fog this morning over the Nature Coast.

On Friday, a shortwave trough will swing through the northeastern US, followed quickly by another shortwave Saturday night and Sunday.
At the surface, this will result in a cold front pushing into northern Florida Friday and temporarily stalling out, then getting a secondary push Saturday and Saturday night to clear the forecast area. This will cause increasing rain chances early Friday through Saturday morning, then drier air fills in for the rest of the weekend. The frontal boundaries will also moderate temperatures.

Monday and Tuesday, another shortwave will eject out of the southern plains and into the southeastern US, allowing a surface low to develop over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Southerly low level flow ahead of this system will result in building moisture and increasing rain chances Monday and Tuesday.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 801 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

VFR conditions expected through the period with a seabreeze setting up in the afternoon for all terminals.

MARINE
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Atlantic high pressure will ridge into the eastern Gulf of Mexico through Thursday night, with south and southeast flow less than 15 knots, turning onshore with the afternoon seabreeze. Dry air will prevent significant rain chances. The ridge will shift south Friday through the weekend as a couple of fronts push southeast into the waters. This will result in winds briefly increasing on Friday to around Exercise Caution levels and turning to westerly and then northerly. Rain chances will also increase on Friday and Saturday with the frontal passages.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Relative humidity will drop to near critically low levels this afternoon. Even drier air is forecast to fill in on Thursday afternoon with a few hours of relative humidity percentages below 35 expected over the interior. However, wind speeds are not forecast to be fast enough to cause Red Flag conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 76 89 77 / 0 0 0 10 FMY 93 74 91 75 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 96 74 96 74 / 10 10 0 0 SRQ 89 74 88 76 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 93 69 92 71 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 89 77 87 79 / 0 0 0 10

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Matlacha Pass (bascule bridge)
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:44 AM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:09 AM EDT     1.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:36 PM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:19 PM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Matlacha Pass (bascule bridge), Florida, Tide feet

Boca Grande Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:24 AM EDT     2.94 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:07 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:08 AM EDT     -0.22 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:09 AM EDT     2.64 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:04 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:07 PM EDT     -3.86 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:03 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current, knots

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