Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lochmoor Waterway Estates, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:59PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 2:36 AM EST (07:36 UTC) Moonrise 6:50AMMoonset 5:48PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lochmoor Waterway Estates CDP, FL
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location: 26.65, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 160023
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
723 pm est Mon jan 15 2018

Update
Progressive pattern continues as large upper low spins over
the great lakes region with deep and wide trough down
through the gulf of mexico this evening. Surface high
pressure down the eastern seaboard will move into the w
atlantic as next cold front quickly pushing through the
mississippi river valley. 00z tbw sounding showing very
slight moisture increase to about a half inch. Another
night of clear skies for radiational cooling but enough ne
surface winds to keep us from dropping too cold in central
and southern zones. Light winds over the northern nature
coast to see some patchy frost especially in levy county.

Latest forecasts and grids handle this well.

Aviation
Vrf conditions and NE winds to continue through the night
into Tuesday.

Marine
Still have 4-6 mb gradient over E gulf waters and another ne
evening overnight surge expected to keep scec conditions
offshore and at the mouth of tampa bay. Latest buoy reports
showing seas 3-5 ft offshore with n-ne winds 15-18kts.

Prev discussion issued 235 pm est Mon jan 15 2018
short term (tonight-Tuesday)...

an upper-level closed low will drop southward over the great lakes
region tonight and Tuesday, with a southwest flow aloft over
florida. At the surface, high pressure will generally remain over
the region but get shunted eastward somewhat as a surface low and
associated cold front move into the southeast. This will keep a
north-northeast to northeast low-level flow in place through
tomorrow. Plenty of dry air will remain in place, so we should see
plenty of Sun again except over the interior where a few more clouds
are likely. Temperatures will be several degrees warmer, ranging in
the mid 60s to mid 70s for highs.

Long term (Tuesday night-Monday)...

the start of the period will be under weak surface high pressure
with a front well to the NW and an upper trough digging across the
eastern us. The dry front will move through the area on Wednesday,
with much colder and drier air moving into the area behind the front
under high pressure. Thursday morning will be the coldest, with
models still variable in the depth of the cold air moving in, but
still looking like a good chance for the nature coast and normally
colder locations across the interior to see freezing temperatures.

Winds should also still be around 10 mph, and higher near the coast,
so wind chills are also of concern across much of the area for
Thursday morning. The high pressure center will settle in over the
se us through Friday, with temperatures not as cold Friday morning,
but mainly the nature coast still having freezing temperatures
possible. The high center then continues to shift east out over the
atlantic, through the weekend, with winds shifting to the east and
conditions moderating. A little upper shortwave energy may allow for
a few showers Saturday and Sunday as moisture continues to increase
across the area. Then the next cold front will be approaching the
area for Monday, with some pre-frontal moisture and energy allowing
for some scattered rain chances. Temperatures Tuesday night in the
upper 30s north to the lower 50s south. Wednesday afternoon highs in
the mid 50s north to the upper 60s south. Then the cool down
Wednesday night with lows ranging from the lower 20s north to around
40 south. Highs Thursday around 50 to the lower 60s. Lows Thursday
night in the mid 20s north to the mid 40s south. Friday highs in the
upper 50s to around 70. Friday night lows in the mid 30s to the
lower 50s. Saturday highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Saturday night
lows in the upper 40s north to the upper 50s south. Sunday and
Monday highs in the 70s. Sunday night lows in the mid 50s to lower
60s.

Aviation...

vfr conditions are expected to prevail through the forecast period.

Marine...

high pressure north of the region will keep a north-northeast wind
flow in place across the waters through the next couple of days. Wind
speeds will increase into the 15 to 20 knot range tonight and then
increase again Wednesday and Wednesday night behind a passing cold
front.

Fire weather...

although dry air remains in place, relative humidity values should
remain above critical levels, with no red flag concerns. No
significant fog is expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 47 69 50 63 0 10 0 0
fmy 51 73 52 69 0 0 0 0
gif 46 70 48 66 0 0 0 0
srq 49 69 49 64 0 10 0 0
bkv 40 68 40 61 0 0 0 0
spg 49 68 51 63 0 10 0 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Update aviation marine... 25 davis
upper air... 18 fleming
decision support... 14 mroczka


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 0 mi49 min NNE 8.9 G 9.9 54°F 64°F1025.7 hPa
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 36 mi49 min NNE 4.1 G 8 63°F1025 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 42 mi37 min NE 13 G 16 51°F 60°F1026.2 hPa (-1.1)46°F
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 42 mi112 min 56°F 51°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL5 mi44 minNE 99.00 miFair53°F48°F83%1025.8 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL10 mi44 minNE 810.00 miFair52°F48°F89%1025.5 hPa
Punta Gorda, Charlotte County Airport, FL20 mi44 minNE 910.00 miFair50°F46°F86%1026.7 hPa

Wind History from FMY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11N9NE9NE9N13NE8NE13NE14N12NE11N7N10NE12NE11NE11NE11NE9NE8NE13NE11
G17
NE13NE13NE10NE9
1 day agoN10N12N9N11N11N9NE12NE10NE10N10N10NE8
G15
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N9N11NE9N7N9NE8N8N7N9N8N6
2 days agoSW4CalmS3NW3CalmNW7NW6NW9NW10
G19
NW14NW14NW14NW14N14
G21
NW11NW14N12N9N9N10N9N13N10N8

Tide / Current Tables for Fort Myers, Florida
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Fort Myers
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:16 AM EST     1.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:02 AM EST     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:55 PM EST     0.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:48 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:57 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:10 PM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.811.110.90.70.50.30-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.20.10.30.40.50.40.40.30.20.20.4

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:51 AM EST     -1.54 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:12 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:12 AM EST     1.12 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:30 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:44 PM EST     -0.19 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:49 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:58 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:51 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tue -- 09:53 PM EST     1.04 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-0.5-0.9-1.2-1.4-1.5-1.3-0.8-0.10.511.11.10.90.70.50.2-0.1-0.20.10.50.910.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.