Sunrise 5:49 AM   Sunset 7:11 PM Moonrise 2:40 AM   Moonset 2:24 PM

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PMZ019 Central Gulf Of California- 150 Pm Pdt Fri May 3 2024
Tonight - S winds 10 kt, shifting to sw to W late. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 15 seconds. Sat - Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 14 seconds.Sat night - SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds. Sun - Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming S to sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 17 seconds. Sun night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. Mon - NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. Mon night - W to nw winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 10 seconds. Tue - Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. Wed - S to sw winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 11 seconds. Wed night - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 11 seconds.

FXUS65 KTWC 032205 AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 305 PM MST Fri May 3 2024

SYNOPSIS
Sunny, warm, and dry to start the weekend. A dry weather system will bring stronger breezes to windy conditions with possible blowing dust on Sunday. Cooler Monday than temperatures warm up the remainder of next week with continued afternoon breezes.

DISCUSSION
Sunny warm early May day with afternoon temperatures and breezes similar to Thursday. Mostly clear tonight with some patches of high clouds, currently to our SW, moving across the area.

A little uptick in winds tomorrow in advance of a Pacific weather system, currently approaching the Pacific NW, as it moves inland.
This feature will continue to move east on Sunday, bringing a tighter pressure gradient and strong gusty SW winds to the area.
Wind speeds will be just below advisory criteria, in the 20-30 mph range with gusts 40-45 mph, so no wind headlines at this time.
What we do have headlines for is fire weather related which is addressed in the fire weather section below. Blowing dust also possible Sunday afternoon.

Monday: Not as windy but cooler. There is a 25% chance that the highs could be 2-3 degree cooler than currently forecast.

Tuesday: Warmer, by 3-5 degrees versus Monday, with afternoon breezes continuing.

Wednesday thru Friday: Above normal high temperatures continue with typical afternoon breezes.

AVIATION
Valid through 05/00Z.
Clear skies/SKC conditions thru much of the forecast cycle, with just a FEW clouds at 8k-11k ft AGL north of a KTUS to KSAD line thru 04/03Z and then FEW-SCT clouds AOA 20k ft AGL aft 04/20Z. SFC wind less than 12 kts thru 04/19Z, favoring a SWLY/WLY direction thru 04/03Z and then variable in direction between 04/03Z and 04/19Z. Aft 04/19Z, SWLY/WLY SFC wind at 10-16 kts and gusts up to 24 kts, with the strongest SFC wind east of KTUS in the vicinity of KDUG and KALK. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER
High temperatures will be 2-5 degrees above normal through Sunday and then within a couple of degrees of normal next week. 20-ft winds will generally be less than 15 mph through tonight and then 15-20 mph on Saturday. A dry weather system will move to our north on Sunday, resulting in windy southwest winds of 20-30 mph and gusts to 40-45 mph across most of southeast Arizona. Breezy afternoon and early evening conditions then persist much of next week, especially to the east of Tucson. Min RHs values in the valleys will be in the single digits to lower teens, with values generally in the teens for the mountains.

On Sunday, the combination of strong and gusty southwest winds, low relative humidity levels and a high fire danger rating will result in near critical to critical fire weather conditions from the late morning through early evening hours. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for all of southeast Arizona from 11 am to 7 pm MST Sunday.

TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for AZZ150>154.

Yavaros
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:16 AM MST     0.45 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:41 AM MST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:37 AM MST     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:25 AM MST     0.85 meters High Tide
Fri -- 12:52 PM MST     0.01 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:24 PM MST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:52 PM MST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:35 PM MST     1.10 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Yavaros, Sonora, Mexico, Tide feet

Topolobampo
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:55 AM MST     0.37 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:37 AM MST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:37 AM MST     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:25 AM MST     0.85 meters High Tide
Fri -- 12:56 PM MST     -0.12 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:23 PM MST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:48 PM MST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:37 PM MST     1.01 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Topolobampo, Sinaloa, Mexico, Tide feet

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