Monday, October22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Naco, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 5:57PM Monday October 22, 2018 8:36 PM PDT (03:36 UTC) Moonrise 4:55PMMoonset 4:23AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naco, AZ
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location: 26.7, -109.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 222207
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
307 pm mst Mon oct 22 2018

Synopsis Scattered afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms continuing through Tuesday. A few thunderstorms
could become quite strong on Tuesday. Temperatures will hover
within a few degrees of normal through much of the forecast period
with warmer than normal high temperatures expected this weekend.

Discussion The radar scope is rather quiet this afternoon in
wake of short wave that moved through early this morning. Still
looking at isolated to scattered thunderstorms mainly east of
tucson during the remainder of this afternoon into this evening.

Hail and gusty winds will be main threat from any thunderstorm
that gets frisky enough.

Our focus after this evening will be on Tuesday as a strong short
wave trof, currently seen nicely on water vapor imagery this
afternoon approaching the southern ca northern baja, moves through
the base of the main upper level trof associated with an upper
low just north of las vegas. Dynamics from this system will
develop a few thunderstorms during the overnight hours, mainly
from tucson south with areal coverage of storms expanding during
the day. Due to the strong upper forcing from this system, strong
to severe thunderstorms are likely. Once again main threat will
be large hail, gusty winds, blowing dust and localized heavy rain.

Spc has half of the forecast area under marginal severe risk.

As the upper level trof moves east across the area Tuesday night
into Wednesday storms will be ending from west to east with a few
lingering storms continuing near the az nm border Wednesday
afternoon. A trailing and weaker upper level trof will keep a
slight chance of showers on Thursday but mainly over the higher
terrain east of tucson.

Dry northerly flow over the area on Friday as eastern pacific
upper ridge starts to build into the desert southwest. This ridge
will continue to build over the desert southwest bringing much
warmer temperatures to the region with low 90s returning to the
low desert locations. MOS guidance is running warmer than the bias
corrected gthe ongoing easterly breeze will finally ease up this
morning with uidance this weekend and have leaned toward MOS which
has support from local thickness study. Thus the tucson intl
airport could see the first 90 of the month either Saturday or
Sunday. Just for reference the last the tucson intl airport
didn't record a 90 degree high in october was back in 1984.

Aviation Valid through 24 00z.

Sct-bkn clouds 5-8k agl from ktus eastward with sct-bkn cirrus as
well. Isolated to scattered shra tsra will continue into early this
evening before diminishing overnight but will then redevelop Tuesday
morning through afternoon from ktus eastward. Sely surface winds
near 10-15 kts will decrease this evening and then remain less
than 12 kts, with gusty outflows possible near tsra. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

Fire weather A slow moving weather system continues to generate
showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday. Some storms will be
capable of producing localized heavy rainfall and small hail. Storm
coverage generally extends from central pima county toward the east.

By Wednesday precipitation gradually pushes east, drying out for
Thursday and beyond. 20-ft winds remain below 15 mph throughout the
forecast period.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for Yavaros, Sonora, Mexico
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Yavaros
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Mon -- 02:24 AM MST     0.05 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 04:23 AM MST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:21 AM MST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:38 AM MST     1.13 meters High Tide
Mon -- 02:50 PM MST     0.04 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 04:54 PM MST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:43 PM MST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:52 PM MST     1.05 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.20.10.10.20.40.711.11.110.80.50.30.100.10.30.60.81110.8

Tide / Current Tables for Topolobampo, Sinaloa, Mexico
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Topolobampo
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Mon -- 03:24 AM MDT     0.14 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 05:21 AM MDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:18 AM MDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:34 AM MDT     1.18 meters High Tide
Mon -- 03:46 PM MDT     0.11 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 05:52 PM MDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:42 PM MDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:54 PM MDT     1.15 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.50.30.20.20.30.50.811.21.210.80.60.30.20.10.20.40.70.91.11.21.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.