Thursday, August17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mangonia Park, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 7:55PM Thursday August 17, 2017 3:28 PM EDT (19:28 UTC) Moonrise 1:34AMMoonset 3:25PM Illumination 21% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1048 Am Edt Thu Aug 17 2017
Rest of today..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Isolated showers in the morning.
Tonight..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to east southeast 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday night..Winds southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday and Sunday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to east around 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1048 Am Edt Thu Aug 17 2017
Synopsis.. High pressure over the region will keep light to moderate east to southeast flow over the coastal waters, as well as the slight chance for showers and Thunderstorms. An upper level low pressure system approaching from the east are forecast to bring a higher chance for Thunderstorm activity Saturday into Sunday. Seas are forecast to run less than 2 feet until the weekend, then slowly build to 2 to 4 feet, under a strengthening easterly wind.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of aug 17, 2017 at 1200 utc... 7 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mangonia Park, FL
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location: 26.73, -80.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 171728
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
128 pm edt Thu aug 17 2017

Aviation
Easterly flow has been stronger today, as forecast. Convection
that has developed is moving westward, and largely staying away
from the east coast TAF sites. The hrrr model is still showing the
active weather should be in the interior. Given the lowered
chances of any TS affecting the east coast, have dropped the vcts
and went with vcsh for now. However, TS may still need to be added
back in if things begin to play out differently. For apf, kept the
vcts as convection should move into that area of south florida.

Prev discussion... Issued 354 am edt Thu aug 17 2017
discussion...

latest water vapor imagery shows a large dome of high pressure
dominating the florida peninsula, with little in the way of
synoptic features to note. Surface high pressure continues to sit
stagnant, stretching from the eastern gulf of mexico to the
western atlantic. The mfl 00z mfl sounding displayed light
easterly winds from the surface to above 300 mb with pwat values
just shy of 1.70". As with the past several nights, short range
models indicate mostly dry conditions with a slight chance of
showers over the atlantic waters. Not much change is expected in
the synoptic pattern today, leading to a very similar setup as
yesterday. Light south easterly flow will allow both the atlantic
and gulf sea breezes to develop. These breezes should once again
trigger isolated scattered garden variety showers and
thunderstorms inland from the coasts, moving towards the interior
through the afternoon. Maximum temperatures will range from the
low to mid 90s across the region, a couple degrees warmer than
average for this time of year. On Friday, southeast flow will
continue with a pocket of drier air advecting in from the
southeast. GFS forecast pwat values drop to below 1.50" by the
late afternoon. Thus, expecting less thunderstorms coverage,
especially over the south and eastern portion of the cwa.

Saturday through early next week: on Saturday, both the GFS and
ecmwf agree in pushing an upper level low pressure system towards
south florida from the east. Pwats associated with this feature
are forecast to increase over 2.00" by Saturday afternoon. Deeper
moisture, along with various impulses of positive vorticity
advection, will bring more of a widespread rain threat to the east
coast metro region than previous days. Conditions stay favorable
for elevated shower and thunderstorm activity through Sunday,
before decreasing slightly on Monday. Long range models are
indicating yet another tropical wave to affect south florida late
Tuesday into mid next week, elevating the threat for heavier and
more widespread showers and thunderstorms.

Marine...

high pressure over the region will keep light to
moderate east to southeast flow over the coastal waters, as well
as the slight chance for showers and thunderstorms. An upper
level low pressure system approaching from the east will bring a
higher chance for thunderstorm activity Saturday into Sunday.

Seas are forecast to run less than 2 feet until the weekend, then
slowly build to 2 to 4 feet, under a strengthening easterly
wind.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 80 94 80 91 10 20 20 50
fort lauderdale 81 92 82 90 20 30 20 60
miami 81 93 80 90 20 20 20 60
naples 77 94 77 93 50 40 20 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 27 jt
marine... 27 jt
aviation... 13


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 8 mi40 min ESE 8.9 G 9.9
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 44 mi46 min E 6 G 8.9 88°F 1017.8 hPa74°F
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 55 mi28 min S 7 G 8 86°F 1018.1 hPa (-1.4)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL5 mi35 minESE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy93°F75°F58%1017.4 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL24 mi1.7 hrsSE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F75°F63%1018.3 hPa

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8NW7CalmE4E3SE6SE6SE4S3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmE4E8E6E9E11E10
1 day agoSE9SE12SE10SE9S7SW6CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3SW5Calm33E9SE13E15
G19
2 days agoSE7SE9SW7W8S5NW4S3CalmCalmCalmSW4SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW43CalmW43SE6SE11

Tide / Current Tables for Palm Beach, Lake Worth, Florida
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Palm Beach
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Thu -- 02:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:44 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:14 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:39 PM EDT     3.11 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:49 PM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.81.422.52.82.92.72.21.40.70.2-0.10.10.61.322.633.12.82.31.610.6

Tide / Current Tables for West Palm Beach Canal, Lake Worth, Florida
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West Palm Beach Canal
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:04 AM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:43 AM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:33 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:38 PM EDT     2.84 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.71.11.72.22.62.72.521.40.80.3-0-00.411.72.32.82.82.62.11.51

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.