Sunday, September24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mangonia Park, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 7:14PM Sunday September 24, 2017 4:45 AM EDT (08:45 UTC) Moonrise 10:04AMMoonset 9:25PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 419 Am Edt Sun Sep 24 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday afternoon...
Today..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Period 10 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 4 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..North northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet along the coast and 6 to 8 feet with occasional to 10 feet in the gulf stream. Period 12 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Monday..Along the coast, northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north northeast in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. Period 12 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Monday night..Along the coast, north winds 5 knots becoming northwest after midnight. In the gulf stream, northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. Period 12 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. North northeast swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots becoming west late in the evening. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet along the coast and 6 to 8 feet with occasional to 10 feet in the gulf stream. North northeast swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet along the coast and 6 to 8 feet with occasional to 10 feet in the gulf stream. North northeast swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet along the coast and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet in the gulf stream. North northeast swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Along the coast, west northwest winds around 5 knots becoming south in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 419 Am Edt Sun Sep 24 2017
Synopsis..A reinforcing northeasterly swell from the distant hurricane maria will build seas over the south florida atlantic waters through the day. Hazardous seas are expected to continue through at least the middle part of the upcoming week.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 8 feet today off the palm beach county coast in a long period swell of 12 to 14 seconds. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of sep 23, 2017 at 1200 utc... 2 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 5 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 4 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 3 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mangonia Park, FL
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location: 26.73, -80.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 240815
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
415 am edt Sun sep 24 2017

Discussion
Today and tonight: large, but relatively weak upper level low is
centered across the northern gulf coast this morning while
hurricane maria continues to move to the north well east of the
bahamas. The upper level low is forecast to meander a little west
today, while maria continues it's trek to the north with no threat
to florida. Special 06z mfl sounding shows pwats remaining on the
high side of normal around 1.9" with seasonable midlevel temps
around -6c. However analysis shows a little drier air, the result
of subsidence around maria, just to our east that will advect
across the region later today.

It looks like ongoing isolated activity over the atlantic east coast
will continue through the morning hours, becoming more scattered
over the interior later this afternoon. Best coverage will generally
be just inland from the gulf coast where the diffuse east coast
breeze will collide with the gulf breeze. Overall coverage, as well
as the heavy rain threat will be less than yesterday as instability
and moisture will be lower. Showers and storms diminish over land
after sunset, with isolated activity over the waters tonight.

Upcoming week: hurricane maria will continue moving northwards,
paralleling the us east coast into midweek. Midlevel flow will
become more westerly across the region as the hurricane moves north
of the region on Monday. The mid-upper level low that is currently
meandering around the northern gulf coast is forecast to be absorbed
into the larger circulation around the storm by midweek, leading to
a trailing trough across the florida peninsula.

Models now show this trailing trough digging back across the
southeastern gulf mid-late week, with flow backing southwesterly a
little earlier on Wednesday night. It looks like a pretty sharp
moisture gradient will setup over south florida, with a very dry
airmass from lake okeechobee northwards and higher moisture
lingering across extreme southern florida.

Tuesday and Wednesday are trending towards the driest days of the
week with little, if any, precip north of the i-75 corridor and
only isolated chances further south. More scattered pops are
expected across the area to round out the end of the week.

Marine The main marine concern through the upcoming week will be
a reinforcement of long period northeasterly swell in the local
atlantic waters. As hurricane maria lifts north of the bahamian
islands later today, models show a continuing increase in seas,
building up to 8ft off the palm beach county coast by this
evening and potentially higher into Monday and Tuesday. This will
be with swells reaching 4-7ft at 12-13 seconds. Seas are expected
to peak at 5-7ft for the broward and miami-dade waters on Monday
and Tuesday.

Based on these trends a small craft advisory remains in place for
the palm beach county waters through Monday afternoon, though it may
need to be extended in time as swell continues into midweek. For now
it doesn't look like it will need to be extended further south.

Gulf waters remain 2ft or less through the week. Light
northeasterly winds for all the waters today become more north-
northwest for Monday and Tuesday, then westerly into midweek.

Beach forecast Increasing northeasterly swells will result in
strong rip currents along all the atlantic beaches through much of
the upcoming week. A high risk for rip currents remains in effect
for palm beach county today, which will likely have to be extended
further south into broward and potentially miami-dade later this
afternoon as the higher swells arrive.

With the northeast swell forecast to build to 5 to 7 feet with
periods 12-13sec, there will be the potential for breakers reaching
8-10ft in palm beach county. Current timing has the largest swell
arriving towards daybreak Monday, so have held off on issuing a
high surf advisory. With the recent passage of irma, many
beaches have already seen considerable beach erosion, so more
impacts may been seen even at lower breaker heights.

Aviation Northeast winds of 5 kts or less will continue over all
of south florida TAF sites early this morning before increasing to
around 10 knots during the day hours. The only exception to this is
at kapf TAF site where the winds will become westerly after 18z
today. Vcsh will continue for the east coast TAF sites until 14 15z
then vcts until 00z. Kapf TAF site will see dry weather until 18z
then vcts until 00z today. The ceiling and vis will remain in the
vfr conditions, but could fall down into MVFR conditions with any
shower or thunderstorm passage.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 88 76 92 76 30 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 89 79 92 77 30 10 20 20
miami 90 78 93 77 40 20 30 20
naples 90 76 89 77 40 30 10 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through this evening for flz168.

Am... Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Monday for amz650-670.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 88 alm
marine... 88 alm
aviation... 54 bnb
beach forecast... 88 alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 8 mi45 min NE 12 G 14 83°F 84°F1010.4 hPa (-0.5)76°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 44 mi33 min ESE 6 G 8.9 81°F 1009.4 hPa74°F
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 55 mi45 min NE 11 G 12 83°F 1009 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL5 mi52 minENE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F75°F82%1009.6 hPa

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E5E3NE11NE5NE8NE7N6N4N10NE12N9N12NE16NE13
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1 day agoE3NW3NW3Calm36E9E11SE5CalmE4NE6NE8NE8E10N5NE11
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2 days agoCalmNW3NW4NW3NW4NE3NE6NE5N9NE11NE12NE11NE12NE14NE11NE7NE7NE9NE7E7E6E7E7E6

Tide / Current Tables for Palm Beach, Lake Worth, Florida
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Palm Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:51 AM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:00 PM EDT     3.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:16 PM EDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.32.92.31.610.60.50.81.322.73.23.43.22.72.11.61.10.911.422.52.9

Tide / Current Tables for West Palm Beach Canal, Lake Worth, Florida
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West Palm Beach Canal
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:29 AM EDT     3.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:09 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:59 PM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:35 PM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
332.72.21.610.60.50.61.11.72.42.93.12.92.521.51.10.90.81.21.72.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.