Sunrise 6:40 AM   Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 1:21 AM   Moonset 12:10 PM

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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Tonight - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers through the night. Thu - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon Thu night - E winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Fri - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Fri night - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt along the coast to E 15 to 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - E se winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A slight chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Sun and Sun night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight. Mon - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Mon night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly wind flow will prevail over the local waters through the end of the work week. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms will be possible during this time frame.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 30, 2024 at 12 utc - .
18 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 011846 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 246 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

New LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1259 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

We will continue to see a teaser of the upcoming wet season in the short term period, with showers and a few afternoon thunderstorms possible each day. Thursday will generally be less active, as drier air starts to filter in with a mid-level ridge building over the area in the wake of a trough passing through today. Convective activity will generally initiate along East Coast sea breeze boundaries before moving inland and over the Gulf Coast areas later in the day. The primary hazards with any thunderstorm would be heavy downpours and gusty winds. Other than the convective activity, conditions will be pleasant with an easterly breeze and mostly clear skies.

Temperatures will range from the low to mid 80s over the East Coast metro areas to the upper 80s and near 90 over the interior sections today and tomorrow.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 244 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

As we wrap up the week, the trough will make it's exit eastward into the Atlantic as a mid-level ridge gradually moves into the Southeast. With easterly flow and remnant moisture, there is a chance for isolated light showers late Thursday before a dry day on Friday. Through the majority of the long term, a weak body of surface high pressure will have an influence on the conditions over the Peninsula, thus keeping it drier and warm. The high will be situated over the western Atlantic which will lead to consistent easterly flow near the surface. With the E/SE flow and a quick moving shortwave trough, there will be a chance (15-30%) for isolated to scattered showers over the weekend, due to modest moisture advection and pooling. By late Monday, strong, mid-level ridging builds back in over the Gulf of Mexico and Southeast. There is potential for daily isolated showers and storms enhanced by gulf and sea breezes as we move into the new week. At this point, however, ensembles indicate that next week will begin mostly dry as we quickly move towards the wet season which begins mid-month.

Temperatures will be near to just above normal through the extended period. The highs will rise into the upper 80s across SW FL and interior, while remaining in the low to mid 80s along the Atlantic Coast. The overnight lows will be in the 60s, except for low to mid 70s across the east coast metro areas.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1259 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm activity will be possible near the east coast terminals early this afternoon, before shifting towards the interior later in the afternoon.
TEMPOs may be needed for brief periods of MFVR or IFR conditions at impacted terminals. Winds around 10 knots out of the SE to E, weakening this evening and overnight. At KAPF, winds increase later this afternoon out of the SW as a Gulf breeze develops.

MARINE
Issued at 1259 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Mostly benign conditions will continue through the end of the week. There will be chances for showers and a few thunderstorms each day, which could create locally hazardous conditions. Other than the convective threat, there is not expected to be concerns for marine conditions. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less in the Gulf waters.
Winds will be around 10-15 kts out of the east.

BEACHES
Issued at 1259 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

A high risk of rip currents will be present for the Palm beaches today with a lingering swell and onshore flow. The rest of the coast will see a moderate risk and it is likely that at least an elevated risk continues for all beaches along the Atlantic coast through the end of the week as breezy onshore flow continues.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 73 84 73 84 / 20 20 10 10 West Kendall 70 86 70 85 / 20 20 10 10 Opa-Locka 72 86 72 86 / 20 20 10 10 Homestead 72 85 72 84 / 20 20 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 73 83 73 83 / 20 20 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 73 84 73 83 / 20 20 10 10 Pembroke Pines 72 87 72 87 / 20 20 10 10 West Palm Beach 70 84 71 83 / 20 20 10 0 Boca Raton 72 85 72 85 / 20 20 10 10 Naples 71 89 70 88 / 20 20 10 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday morning for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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