Tuesday, June27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belle Glade, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 8:21PM Tuesday June 27, 2017 1:29 PM EDT (17:29 UTC) Moonrise 9:17AMMoonset 10:34PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 940 Am Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
Rest of today..South southwest winds around 5 knots becoming west. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tonight..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the evening.
Wednesday..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 940 Am Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
Synopsis..Winds and seas are expected to remain below highlight criteria across the local waters through the forecast period with mainly light southeasterly flow prevailing. SEa breezes may enhance winds near the coast to 10-15 knots at times each afternoon. Only exception will be with any Thunderstorm that forms, which will bring brief periods of strong gusty winds and rough seas. Waterspouts are also possible, especially in the morning hours, mainly over the atlantic waters. Seas will be 3 feet or less heading into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 24, 2017 at 1200 utc... 13 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 18 nautical miles east of port everglades. 14 nautical miles east of lake worth. 17 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Glade, FL
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location: 26.75, -80.54     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 271323
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
923 am edt Tue jun 27 2017

Update
A few showers were moving northward across broward and palm beach
counties during the late morning hours with only light rain
associated with them. Modified kmfl sounding suggest potential
cape values near 4k and good microburst index values this
afternoon. Best chances for thunderstorms remain over interior
areas, but a few strong storms could affect coastal metro areas at
times. Inherited forecast package remains on track and no
significant changes are required for the morning update.

Prev discussion issued 802 am edt Tue jun 27 2017
aviation...

vfr prevails this morning at all sites, except mia with a tempo
for periods of MVFR CIGS through 14z. Then showers and
thunderstorms could bring periods of MVFR after 18z as sea
breezes push inland. Tempos may be included in the update package
for the atlantic terminals as convection develops in the
afternoon. Winds will remain generally light with 5-10kt through
the evening hours.

Prev discussion... Issued 306 am edt Tue jun 27 2017
discussion...

near term through 6 pm Tuesday evening ...

as of 305 am edt... A weak frontal boundary continues to remain
draped across north central florida, with broad longwave troughing
across much of the eastern third of the conus. A ridge of high
pressure extends southwestward from bermuda across south florida
helping to keep a light east southeasterly flow in place. Earlier
overnight thunderstorms over the gulf waters and portions of the
gulf coast continue to dwindle, with isolated to widely scattered
showers over the atlantic waters and portions of the east coast.

This trend will continue through daybreak, with areas primarily
west of the florida turnpike trending dry, with the best chances
for showers storms east and over the atlantic waters.

For today, the aforementioned frontal boundary to the north will
move little, with the longwave trough and a secondary upper-level
low gradually breaking down the bermuda ridging across the region.

This pattern will keep south florida relatively void of any major
synoptic features and allow for local mesoscale sea breeze effects
to drive the day's weather. With light flow in place, expect both
the atlantic and gulf sea breezes to fully develop and be the
primary foci for scattered showers and thunderstorms beginning in
the late morning hours and persisting through much of the afternoon.

Latest mesoscale and cam guidance depicts two areas of convective
initiation, one across the far southern interior and the second
along the leading edge of the gulf sea breeze. While initiation may
not necessarily occur in these areas, much of the convective
activity will be focused across the interior, with a trend towards
portions of the east coast metro with a light southwesterly steering
flow. Mid-level temps will be around normal for this time of year,
so expecting most of the activity to be general thunder, although
some storms may briefly be strong along enhanced boundary
collisions. The main threats will be frequent lightning and locally
heavy rain, with brief gusty winds also possible with the stronger
storms.

High temperatures will reach 90 for most areas, with lower to mid
90s in the interior. The summer heat will be on with heat indices
likely reaching into the lower 100s across many areas as well,
especially south.

Short term 6 pm Tuesday evening through Thursday night ...

the short term period will continue to see the frontal boundary to
the north gradually wash out with time, as upper-level energy across
the northeast helps keep the bermuda high suppressed and a weak flow
pattern dominated by sea breezes in place across south florida.

Other than some minor surges in moisture through the period, the
pattern will generally remain stagnant across the immediate region,
with scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms
primarily focused in interior areas during the afternoon and evening
hours. By Thursday, the bermuda high will begin to restrengthen and
mark a transition to a more moderate easterly flow regime.

Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal with highs in the
upper 80s near 90 along the coasts to lower and mid 90s in the
interior. Low temperatures will generally be in the 70s.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

the long term period will continue to see the reestablishment of the
bermuda high, along with a predominately summertime easterly flow
regime. This pattern will feature typical sea breeze development
during the afternoon hours, with scattered showers and thunderstorms
favored over the interior and gulf coast, with nighttime activity
favored over the atlantic waters and east coast. With the bermuda
high becoming well established, subsidence in the mid-levels will
lead to near of slightly below normal pwats for this time of year,
helping to keep rain chances towards seasonal norms. Temperatures
will be near normal during the long term period.

Marine...

generally good boating conditions will prevail across the local
waters for the next several days with light southeasterly flow.

Local sea breezes may briefly enhance winds near the coast to 10-15
knots during the afternoon, from the southeast along the atlantic
coast and west southwest along the gulf coast. Additionally, locally
erratic winds along with lightning will be possible in and around
thunderstorms which are expected to be isolated to widely scattered
in coverage. Seas will be 3 feet or less heading into the
weekend.

Aviation...

decaying convection should lead to -ra at naples until 630-8z,
otherwise only isolated showers not worthy of TAF mention
expected through noon. Thereafter, expect scattered showers and
some thunderstorms through sunset. Risk of thunder isn't
exceptionally high, so considered converting vcts to vcsh at
east-coast terminals. At kapf, where rain chances are lowest, did
maintain only vcsh for now. Dont think there will be entire 6-10
hour period of vcts, but right now, timing uncertainties preclude
a narrower window.

Light winds possibly drainage AOB 5 kt through sunrise, then
generally SE at 8-12 kt. Wind will calm again by midnight.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 92 76 91 79 50 50 50 40
fort lauderdale 92 78 91 80 50 50 40 30
miami 93 78 92 79 60 40 50 30
naples 91 76 91 76 30 20 40 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 17 ar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 28 mi41 min SE 8.9 G 11 83°F 83°F1017.4 hPa77°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 51 mi47 min SE 8 G 9.9 86°F 1016.4 hPa74°F
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 73 mi41 min SE 8.9 G 12 84°F 87°F1015.8 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL23 mi36 minSE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F73°F59%1016.2 hPa

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE13SE14SE12SE125SE11SE12SE9SE7SE7SE9SE6S4CalmW3CalmCalmS4SW3SW7446SE7
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G21
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2 days agoSE12SE14SE13SE12SE11SE11SE12SE11SE10SE7SE8SE7SE8SE5SE3CalmCalmSE3SE6SE7SE9SE7SE9SE12

Tide / Current Tables for Southwest Fork (spillway), Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Southwest Fork (spillway)
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:38 AM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:18 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:56 PM EDT     2.23 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:33 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.42.11.610.4-0.1-0.3-0.20.30.91.522.22.11.610.4-0.1-0.5-0.5-0.10.51.2

Tide / Current Tables for PGA Boulevard Bridge, ICWW, Loxahatchee River, Florida
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PGA Boulevard Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:06 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:57 AM EDT     2.96 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:25 PM EDT     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.22.92.21.40.5-0.1-0.3-0.10.51.32.12.732.72.21.40.6-0.1-0.5-0.40.10.91.82.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.