Sunrise 6:35 AM   Sunset 7:57 PM Moonrise 5:03 AM   Moonset 6:45 PM

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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1001 Am Edt Tue May 7 2024
Rest of today - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Tonight - S se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Wed - SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S se 2 ft at 4 seconds and ne 1 foot at 11 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Wed night - S se winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to S se 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds and ne 1 foot at 11 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Thu - Along the coast, S se winds 20 to 25 kt. In the gulf stream, S se winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 20 kt becoming 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and ne 1 foot at 11 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Thu night - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: S se 3 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Fri - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers late in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Sat - SW winds 10 to 15 kt becoming S with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1001 Am Edt Tue May 7 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate east southeasterly wind flow continues to prevail across the atlantic waters with southwesterly flow developing over gulf waters each afternoon through the rest of the week. A few isolated showers and Thunderstorms may be possible at times, particularly over the gulf waters.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 07, 2024 at 12 utc - .
7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles east of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 071423 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 1023 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 1017 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

High pressure continues to remain in control of the weather pattern across South Florida this morning bringing mainly dry conditions to the region. As the sea breezes develop and push inland this afternoon, just enough lower level moisture is present to support isolated shower and thunderstorm activity mainly over interior Southwest Florida. With plenty of mid to upper level dry air in place, this will help to inhibit strong thunderstorm development. However, locally heavy downpours cannot be ruled out with any storm this afternoon into this evening. High temperatures will be on the warm side as they rise into the mid to upper 80s across the east coast metro areas and into the lower 90s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 324 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

High pressure continues to dominate the benign and warm weather pattern across South Florida. This will keep generally easterly to southeasterly flow at the surface for today and Wednesday.
Upper levels remain too dry for strong convection, and today is likely to be mainly sunny and dry outside of a few scattered showers and storms that may impact interior and southwest portions of the area during the afternoon.

A few showers will be possible across eastern areas during the late morning as the sea breeze pushes inland, but the focus of any convection will shift towards the interior areas of South Florida (where the east and west coast sea breeze will meet) by mid afternoon. On Wednesday, drier air moves in at the mid-levels as high pressure builds overhead leading to even lower rain chances for Wednesday afternoon.

High temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday will rise into the mid 80s across the east coast metro areas, and into the lower 90s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 324 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

The Atlantic ridge will shift south as a frontal boundary associated with a low in northeastern Canada pushes into the Atlantic. This will lead to the surface ridge axis sitting over southern Florida from mid to late week period. This will enable a warming trend over several days with widespread 90 degree temperatures save for sea breeze cooled areas closer to the coast. Some inland portions of South Florida could see temperatures reach into the upper 90s, particularly on Thursday and Friday. Rain chances will remain minimal, though some convection cannot be ruled out inland. The risk of heat illness will require monitoring as early as Wednesday as heat index values start entering the triple digits. As drier air aloft mixes to the surface, RHs across interior South Florida could drop into the upper 20% range on Thursday and Friday which could lead to enhanced fire weather conditions.

Late in the week, the next frontal boundary will move across the southeastern United States but it will lack the support to clear South Florida. Increasing moisture will lead to more shower and thunderstorm activity through the weekend as the front settles over south central to southern Florida. Temperatures will cool slightly with the additional cloud cover and rainfall.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 725 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. Winds will increase out of the SE around 15z and will range between 10 and 15 kts through the afternoon. Isolated showers and storms could develop over the interior late this afternoon, however, these storms should remain away from the terminals. At KAPF, winds will shift to the SW in the afternoon as a Gulf breeze develops.

MARINE
Issued at 324 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

A moderate to fresh southeasterly wind flow will remain in place through the middle of the week across the Atlantic waters while gentle to moderate southeasterly winds continue across the rest of the local waters. Winds may become southwesterly each afternoon across the Gulf waters as a Gulf breeze develops. Towards the end of the week, winds across all local waters will gradually become more southerly as a frontal boundary approaches from the north.
Seas across the Atlantic waters will generally remain at 3 feet or less through the middle of the week while they remain at 2 feet or less across the Gulf waters.

BEACHES
Issued at 324 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

A high risk of rip currents will remain in place across the Atlantic Coast beaches through the middle of the week as moderate onshore winds continue.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 87 75 89 76 / 10 10 10 0 West Kendall 87 74 90 73 / 20 10 10 0 Opa-Locka 87 75 89 75 / 10 10 10 0 Homestead 85 74 88 75 / 10 10 10 0 Fort Lauderdale 87 76 87 76 / 10 0 10 0 N Ft Lauderdale 87 75 87 75 / 10 0 10 0 Pembroke Pines 87 75 88 76 / 10 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 87 72 89 73 / 10 0 0 0 Boca Raton 86 75 87 74 / 10 0 10 0 Naples 88 75 91 74 / 20 10 10 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ168.

High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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North Palm Beach, Lake Worth, Florida, Tide feet

Lake Worth Creek
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Tue -- 03:20 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:59 AM EDT     2.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:35 PM EDT     -0.64 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:40 PM EDT     2.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lake Worth Creek, Day Beacon 19, ICWW, Loxahatchee River, Florida, Tide feet

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