Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Limestone Creek, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 7:13PM Monday September 25, 2017 8:14 PM EDT (00:14 UTC) Moonrise 10:57AMMoonset 10:06PM Illumination 28% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 447 Pm Edt Mon Sep 25 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday evening...
Tonight..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Period 12 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Scattered showers through the night. Isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..West northwest winds 5 knots becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Period 12 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Isolated showers in the morning...then scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. Period 11 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms in the evening... Then isolated showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east northeast in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. Period 11 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 4 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Scattered showers
isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon
Wednesday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. North northeast swell 3 to 4 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers through the night.
Thursday and Thursday night..South southeast winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. North northeast swell 3 to 4 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. North northeast swell around 3 feet in the morning. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 447 Pm Edt Mon Sep 25 2017
Synopsis..Northeasterly swell from hurricane maria will lead to hazardous seas mainly off palm beach county through midweek. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms are expected, with increasing rain chances late week.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas of up to 8 feet off palm beach county. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of sep 23, 2017 at 1200 utc... 2 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 5 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 4 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 3 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Limestone Creek, FL
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location: 26.94, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 251909
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
308 pm edt Mon sep 25 2017

Discussion
Rip current risk expected to remain high into mid week...

current-tonight... Dry mid level air is taking a toll on vertical
convective development with some towering cumulus along the east
coast sea breeze and lake breeze boundaries inland but have not seen
much in the way of showers today. Will lean away from the wetter gfs
and NAM into the evening and trend closer to the hrrr which has some
isolated showers at best into this evening which should dissipate
into the late evening hours. Light nw-nnw flow at the h9 layer and
dry mid levels in the wake of maria moving well away from the area
should allow skies to become mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows are
expected in the lower to mid 70s.

Tuesday... Moisture levels on Tuesday look similar to today when we
did see much convection at all with pwats ~1.7 inches. Low level
wind are forecast to be NW with fairly dry air lingering in the mid
levels. Overall should be fairly dry but will continue a slight
shower chance across the south where GFS does show some higher
moisture values and perhaps a mid level impulse in the SW wsw flow
at 500 mbs. High temps will remain warm around 90 coastal to lower
90s interior.

12z guidance did not necessitate any substantive changes to
weather pops through the mid and extended time ranges. Previous
discussion follows...

Wednesday-Thursday... Anomalously dry air filtering down the backside
of maria will keep prospects for precipitation quite low for late
september. Should any showers manage to form, they would likely
occur over southern areas where slightly better atmospheric moisture
will exist in the presence of sea lake breeze interactions. Thunder
was kept out of the forecast through Wednesday, with a slight chance
advertised Thursday as deeper moisture encroaches into the treasure
coast and okeechobee county. High temperatures will be several
degrees above their late september averages, even along the coast
where light westerly flow will warm temps to 90-91 before the sea
breeze provides some mid late afternoon relief.

Friday-Sunday... Guidance indicates a gradual uptick in moisture from
south to north late this week. At the same time, shortwave energy
aloft will try to cut off into a weak low over the peninsula,
providing both lift and instability. Will show a steady increase in
pops, initially 30-40% on Friday with higher chances across the
south, building to 50% areawide this weekend. Increased cloud cover
and developing onshore flow will drop temperatures from their mid-
week highs, still near 90 over inland areas on Friday, otherwise mid-
upper 80s expected.

Aviation
Appears any isold shra will be meager at best across east central fl
into the early evening hours.VFR conds expected through 18z Tuesday.

Marine
Tonight... Small craft advisory headlines will transition to a small
craft for hazardous seas as winds continue to decrease through the
overnight hours though large ene NE swells will continue to affect
the near shore and offshore waters. Seas up to 7-9 ft nearshore and
10-12 ft well offshore.

Tue-fri... Swells from hurricane maria will gradually subside from
mid to late week, though advisory headlines for seas greater than 7
feet will be required through at least Wednesday afternoon
(especially offshore). Winds remain at or below 10 knots, starting
from the west each morning before turning onshore near the coast as
the atlantic sea breeze develops. Abnormally dry air will keep
precipitation chances quite low through at least Thursday.

Hydrology
Single creek at campbell has fallen below action stage and a slow
fall of the creek level is expected into mid week.

A river flood warning remains in effect for the st johns river near
cocoa, above lake harney near geneva, near sanford, near deland and
at astor.

River levels remain high over the middle st johns river basin with
all forecast points above flood stage. The river stage at all
forecast points along the river will remain steady over the next
couple of days, with a very gradual decline beginning in the middle
part of this week.

Major flooding also continues above lake harney near geneva.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 72 89 72 92 0 10 10 10
mco 73 93 73 94 10 10 10 10
mlb 74 91 73 91 10 10 10 10
vrb 72 90 72 91 20 20 20 10
lee 73 91 73 94 10 10 10 10
sfb 74 93 73 95 10 10 10 10
orl 75 93 75 95 10 10 10 10
fpr 71 91 71 91 20 20 20 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... High surf advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for coastal
volusia county-indian river-martin-northern brevard county-
southern brevard county-st. Lucie.

Am... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for flagler
beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-
60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20
nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas from 10 pm this evening
to midnight edt Tuesday night for flagler beach to volusia-
brevard county line 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter
inlet 0-20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian
inlet 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas from 10 pm this evening
to 4 pm edt Wednesday for flagler beach to volusia-brevard
county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60
nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short mid long term... Volkmer
aviation impact weather... Glitto


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 23 mi45 min SSE 8.9 G 9.9 84°F 86°F1011.6 hPa75°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 42 mi45 min 83°F6 ft
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 59 mi51 min S 4.1 G 6 85°F 1010.5 hPa75°F
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 63 mi75 min WNW 5.1 G 6 84°F 1010.9 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL17 mi28 minVar 57.00 miClear84°F78°F84%1011.2 hPa
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL18 mi22 minSSE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F75°F77%1010.8 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE6N3NW3NW3W3W3W3W3NW3NW4NW5NW5N5NW4NW5NE7NE8NE5E5NE7E645
1 day agoNE6NE7NE11NE6E11NE10E9NE10NE9NE8NE7NE8E5E5E8E8E8E8NE11NE10NE10NE8NE8NE8
2 days ago--E13
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E10E7E4E7NE6E5E6E6NE9NW10N10N5E8E9E10
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--E4

Tide / Current Tables for Southwest Fork (spillway), Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Southwest Fork (spillway)
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Mon -- 01:12 AM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:02 AM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:46 PM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:29 PM EDT     1.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.22.32.32.11.71.310.80.70.81.21.622.32.32.221.71.41.21.11.11.31.6

Tide / Current Tables for Hobe Sound, Jupiter Island, Florida
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Hobe Sound
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:36 AM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:29 AM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:10 PM EDT     2.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:56 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.8221.91.61.30.90.70.60.60.81.21.61.9221.81.61.31.10.90.911.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.