Sunday, September23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Jupiter Inlet Colony, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 7:16PM Sunday September 23, 2018 8:21 AM EDT (12:21 UTC) Moonrise 5:46PMMoonset 4:43AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 239 Am Edt Sun Sep 23 2018
Today..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then isolated light showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. Isolated light showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then isolated light showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday through Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Scattered light showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 239 Am Edt Sun Sep 23 2018
Synopsis.. Prevailing easterly winds are anticipated over the next several days, with a gulf breeze along the west coast leading to afternoon variable or west-southwest winds there. Speeds should average around 5 to 10 knots. A disturbance south of bermuda will push a 1-3 ft northeasterly swell into the northeast local atlantic waters (particularly off palm beach county) through the early part of this week. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms are anticipated, with greater coverage favoring the atlantic waters during the overnight and morning hours, and the gulf and lake okeechobee waters through the late afternoon and evening.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of sep 20, 2018 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 19 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 9 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jupiter Inlet Colony, FL
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location: 26.95, -80.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 230740
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
340 am edt Sun sep 23 2018

Discussion
Today-tonight... Band of deeper moisture and low level convergence in
the onshore flow will continue to generate scattered showers and
possibly a few storms over the coastal waters through the morning
hours. Hrrr local WRF concentrate any onshore moving showers and
isolated storms across brevard county and the treasure coast, with
any persistent showers or storms having the potential to produce
localized totals around 1-2 inches this morning. Into the afternoon
coastal showers and storms should weaken, with greatest rain chances
(up to 40-50 percent) shifting inland along and ahead of the east
coast sea breeze. Skies will range from partly to mostly cloudy
today, with highs in the upper 80s along the coast to around 90
degrees over the far interior.

An area of drier air building in from the east may initially keep
rain chances out of the forecast this evening. However after
midnight another surge in low level moisture in the easterly flow
will again produce a slight chance for onshore moving showers
along the coast overnight. Lows will range from the low to mid 70s
for most locations.

Monday... Onshore flow will persist and the GFS still shows a slight
low level wind surge with a band of enhanced moisture over the
coastal waters moving ashore and inland. This moisture band is
evident on satellite and there isn't much deep convection associated
with it. However, as the moisture convergence reaches the local
area, temps aloft will be cooler compared to where the band is at
now. Expect some flare up of convection over the coastal waters
early in the morning and inland with daytime heating. MOS pops,
which have been too high of late, are 40-50% and will trend them
down to 40% which is still above climo for late september.

Tuesday-Saturday... Little change from the pattern that has been
previously advertised. Low pressure currently south of bermuda is
still shown moving west beneath atlantic ridge and then curving
north as it approaches the eastern seaboard, while gradually
weakening into an inverted trough. A weak southern extension of the
low trough may affect the local area on Tue and keep moisture at or
above normal with pops 30-40%.

The models still show an overall moisture decrease wed-sat as a mid
level high pressure ridge builds over the region. The GFS shows
ribbons of more moist and drier air embedded in a southeast east
wind flow, so will stay close to MOS and climo with pops no greater
than 30% by late week.

Little change in temperatures is indicated. The onshore flow will
continue to keep min temps mostly in the mid 70s with a few upper
70s along the coast. High temps will be a few degrees above normal,
mostly in the upper 80s along the coast and lower 90s inland.

Aviation Tempo ifr MVFR conditions will be possible with
scattered onshore moving showers and isolated storms, mainly across
coastal TAF sites from ktix-ksua this morning. Greatest rain chances
then shift inland into the afternoon, with isolated to scattered
showers and storms potentially producing additional cig vis
reductions for inland TAF sites. This activity should shift into
west central florida into the evening, with only a slight chance for
onshore moving showers along the coast past midnight.

Marine
Today-tonight... Ridge north of the area will maintain an easterly
flow across the waters, with speeds around 10 knots. Swells will
keep seas up to 5 feet offshore, while nearshore seas will range
from 3-4 feet.

Monday-Thursday... East flow will persist on mon, likely at 10-15
knots as a weak surge pushes across the waters. A 40% coverage of
showers with a slight chance of storms is indicated. The pressure
gradient should weaken Tue as a weak inverted trough moves across
the waters. On wed, the winds will become southeast-south, then
southeast-east on Thu with speeds continuing around 10 knots. Drying
should decrease the coverage of showers storms. Seas will continue
3-5 feet mon-tue as a northeast swell persists, then become 3-4 feet
wed-thu.

Climate
Melbourne tied its record warm low for Sat sep 22nd (80 degrees
previously set in 2009).

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 87 76 88 76 20 20 40 20
mco 90 75 91 76 40 10 40 10
mlb 89 79 89 76 40 20 40 20
vrb 88 76 89 74 40 20 40 20
lee 91 75 92 75 50 10 40 10
sfb 89 75 91 75 40 10 40 10
orl 90 76 91 76 40 10 40 10
fpr 88 74 89 74 40 20 40 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Weitlich
long term... .Lascody


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 23 mi34 min 83°F 86°F1015.6 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 42 mi22 min 84°F3 ft
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 59 mi22 min SSE 4.1 G 4.1 82°F 1014.8 hPa (+0.7)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 59 mi40 min E 4.1 G 6 83°F 1014.5 hPa72°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL18 mi35 minN 07.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity79°F75°F89%1014.9 hPa
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL19 mi29 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds78°F77°F97%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNE5NE10NE10E10NE10
G15
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E8--E8E6E9E8E6E4E4SE3CalmCalmSW8CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmE6E6E8E10
G18
E10E10E15
G24
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E9--E8E14E11E10E11E5E6E4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days ago444E4E4E8E8E8E8E8E8E7E5E5E6E5E5E4S3CalmS3W3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Jupiter Inlet, south jetty, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Hobe Sound, Jupiter Island, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.