Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Jupiter Inlet Colony, FL
May 15, 2024 12:31 AM EDT (04:31 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:30 AM Sunset 8:02 PM Moonrise 12:18 PM Moonset 1:08 AM |
AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Tue May 14 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday evening - .
Rest of tonight - S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 30 kt along the coast to S 20 to 25 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: S se 5 ft at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening.
Wed - S sw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: S se 5 ft at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: S sw 4 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the evening. A chance of tstms through the night. Showers likely after midnight.
Thu - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: W sw 4 ft at 5 seconds and N ne 2 ft at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Thu night - Along the coast, W nw winds 10 to 15 kt. In the gulf stream, W nw winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt becoming nw in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and N ne 2 ft at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Fri - Along the coast, W sw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming se 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, S se winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night - Along the coast, S se winds 15 to 20 kt becoming S around 10 kt in the morning. In the gulf stream, S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sat - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night - S sw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun - S sw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt becoming W sw in the morning. Gusts up to 25 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Tue May 14 2024
Synopsis -
hazardous marine conditions will continue across the atlantic waters as a fresh to strong southerly wind flow tonight shifts and become southwesterly late Wednesday. These winds will slowly decrease heading into the later portion of the week. Across the gulf, a moderate to fresh south southwesterly wind flow will continue into the later portion of the week. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible across all local waters each day.
gulf stream hazards: south to southwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt through Wednesday.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 14, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
hazardous marine conditions will continue across the atlantic waters as a fresh to strong southerly wind flow tonight shifts and become southwesterly late Wednesday. These winds will slowly decrease heading into the later portion of the week. Across the gulf, a moderate to fresh south southwesterly wind flow will continue into the later portion of the week. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible across all local waters each day.
gulf stream hazards: south to southwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt through Wednesday.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 14, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
FXUS62 KMLB 150310 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1110 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
New UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 1108 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Another active weather day today, with activity moving in from the Gulf earlier in the day with showers and storms developing along the east coast sea breeze into the afternoon and early evening.
Scattered storms are ongoing across the Atlantic this evening, mainly north of Sebastian Inlet. This activity is moving eastward around 15 mph. Any lingering activity will dissipate or move out of the local area over the next hour. The next frontal boundary is shifting eastward across the Gulf States, and will reach the Florida Panhandle tonight. This will bring an increase chance for showers and storms once again overnight and into the early hours on Wednesday, with activity reaching northern FL overnight, brining the threat for strong to isolated severe storms across our northern areas before sunrise. Highest rain and storm chances (PoP 30-60 percent) tonight will be from a Titusville to Lake Kissimmee northward just before sunrise. Main storm threats will be gusty winds of 40-50 mph with isolated up to 60 mph, hail up to 1 inch, and heavy downpours. A tornado can not be ruled out, especially along and north or the I-4 corridor. Temperatures will be warm and muggy tonight, with overnight lows in the low 70s under partly to mostly cloudy skies.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 1108 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Another round of showers and storm are expected later tonight and into Wednesday morning. Have VCSH starting 10Z for most TAF sites, however having it start at 8Z at LEE. VCTS starting at 13/14Z.
MVFR/IFR conditions in stronger storms possible. Have included TEMPOs for 3SM TSRA BKN030 from VRB northward with most sites starting at 14Z, however LEE starts at 13Z and VRB starts at 16Z.
Wind gusts of 35 KT or greater will affect some terminals.
Otherwise, VFR conditions expected. Gusty winds will develop Wednesday by mid morning, with southwest winds increasing to 10-15 KT with gusts up to 20-25 KT. Latest CAMs suggest convection will clear out starting across the north around 21Z and progressing southward to around 23Z. Winds will decrease once again after sunset, with southwest winds decreasing to 5-10 KT overnight.
PREVIOUS MARINE
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Tonight/Wed...Will continue the marginal SCA across the offshore waters tonight for S/SE winds up to 20 knots and a Caution for the BRevard and Treasure coast nearshore waters. AN even earlier onset of storms is forecast Wednesday, many strong and some severe pushing offshore. Seas 3-4 FT, up to 5 FT offshore.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Current-Tonight...The strong storms across the north/central sections earlier have long pushed well offshore and the debris cloudiness has diminished allowing reheating. But do not see anything imminent that would spark additional convection through the evening there. While no severe weather was reported, there were a number of classic tree cleaners, storms containing 45-55 mph wind gusts. Isolated sea breeze storms will develop near the coast south of the Cape and around Lake Okeechobee through the early evening. Will need to watch these storms for isolated severe potential into early evening. The next convective cluster seen on hi-res sat over the northern Gulf will reach north FL overnight and could bring a strong/marginal severe threat to northern areas before sunrise.
Wed...Scattered lightning storms will redevelop during the morning ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. Conditions will be favorable for another round of strong to severe storms that could begin even earlier than today. Convection should initiate along the differential heating boundary between the debris canopy and sfc heating and develop E/SE from there. Strong mid level flow and cold temps aloft look to produce a better chance for severe storms from mid morning through mid aftn. Large hail and damaging winds appear to be the primary threats with a few tornadoes possible.
Think a watch box (probably a Tornado watch) is more likely tomorrow than it was today for much of EC FL. Max temps should hold in the mid to upper 80s Orlando northward but reach the mid 90s across the south prior to onset of convection.
Thursday-Friday...Mid-level ridging is forecast to set up over the Florida peninsula late this week, with the lingering weak front remaining draped across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County area on Thursday. A plume of moisture will remain situated over this area, with isolated to scattered showers possible. Model guidance does not currently indicate large support for severe storm development, especially with decreasing offshore flow aloft and warming 500 mb temperatures, but some modest instability may be enough to kick off a few isolated strong storms across southern portions of the forecast area. North of the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee area, conditions are forecast to remain mostly dry as a dry air mass with PWATs less than an inch filters in, though a few stray showers still cannot be ruled out across Brevard and Osceola counties. Decided to further decrease PoPs with this forecast package based on model guidance and increasing confidence that the front will sit a bit further south than previously thought. Any showers and storms that do develop will move offshore across the local Atlantic waters and diminish into the overnight hours.
By Friday, the boundary is forecast to lift northward across east central Florida as a weak warm front. Guidance continues to indicate the potential for isolated showers and storms, due to the modest moisture return associated with the front. As a result, kept PoPs around 20 percent for now across east central Florida, but would not be surprised if this continues to trend lower, especially if the Euro trends more towards the GFS (the drier solution). Any activity that develops is expected to diminish during the evening and overnight hours.
Afternoon temperatures will continue to be 5 to 10 degrees above normal across east central Florida through the end of the work week, with highs climbing into the 90s both Thursday and Friday afternoon.
Heat indices in some areas may reach to right around 100. Overnight temperatures will remain in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Saturday-Tuesday...Moisture is forecast to continue increasing across the peninsula this weekend as the mid-level ridge shifts eastward out over the Atlantic. Troughing aloft accompanied by a surface low and its attendant cold front will move towards the Florida peninsula on Sunday, with the front expected to move south of the forecast area late Sunday into Monday. The GFS continues to indicate a cleaner frontal passage compared to the Euro. Model discrepancies continue into Tuesday, with the Euro indicating drier conditions than the GFS. In general, stuck with the NBM as a good middle ground between the models, with PoPs in the 30 to 50 percent range this weekend into early next week. Isolated storms will also be possible. The heat will persist across the peninsula, with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Saturday could be particularly toasty, with some areas south of the Orlando metro climbing into the upper 90s and heat indices reaching the 100 to 105 range. Overnight lows will remain in the upper 60s to low 70s.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 71 87 69 91 / 50 70 10 0 MCO 74 87 71 92 / 40 70 20 10 MLB 72 90 72 90 / 20 70 30 20 VRB 72 94 72 93 / 20 70 40 20 LEE 74 85 72 90 / 60 70 20 0 SFB 74 87 72 92 / 50 70 20 10 ORL 74 87 73 92 / 40 70 20 10 FPR 72 94 71 93 / 20 60 40 30
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ570-572-575.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1110 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
New UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 1108 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Another active weather day today, with activity moving in from the Gulf earlier in the day with showers and storms developing along the east coast sea breeze into the afternoon and early evening.
Scattered storms are ongoing across the Atlantic this evening, mainly north of Sebastian Inlet. This activity is moving eastward around 15 mph. Any lingering activity will dissipate or move out of the local area over the next hour. The next frontal boundary is shifting eastward across the Gulf States, and will reach the Florida Panhandle tonight. This will bring an increase chance for showers and storms once again overnight and into the early hours on Wednesday, with activity reaching northern FL overnight, brining the threat for strong to isolated severe storms across our northern areas before sunrise. Highest rain and storm chances (PoP 30-60 percent) tonight will be from a Titusville to Lake Kissimmee northward just before sunrise. Main storm threats will be gusty winds of 40-50 mph with isolated up to 60 mph, hail up to 1 inch, and heavy downpours. A tornado can not be ruled out, especially along and north or the I-4 corridor. Temperatures will be warm and muggy tonight, with overnight lows in the low 70s under partly to mostly cloudy skies.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 1108 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Another round of showers and storm are expected later tonight and into Wednesday morning. Have VCSH starting 10Z for most TAF sites, however having it start at 8Z at LEE. VCTS starting at 13/14Z.
MVFR/IFR conditions in stronger storms possible. Have included TEMPOs for 3SM TSRA BKN030 from VRB northward with most sites starting at 14Z, however LEE starts at 13Z and VRB starts at 16Z.
Wind gusts of 35 KT or greater will affect some terminals.
Otherwise, VFR conditions expected. Gusty winds will develop Wednesday by mid morning, with southwest winds increasing to 10-15 KT with gusts up to 20-25 KT. Latest CAMs suggest convection will clear out starting across the north around 21Z and progressing southward to around 23Z. Winds will decrease once again after sunset, with southwest winds decreasing to 5-10 KT overnight.
PREVIOUS MARINE
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Tonight/Wed...Will continue the marginal SCA across the offshore waters tonight for S/SE winds up to 20 knots and a Caution for the BRevard and Treasure coast nearshore waters. AN even earlier onset of storms is forecast Wednesday, many strong and some severe pushing offshore. Seas 3-4 FT, up to 5 FT offshore.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Current-Tonight...The strong storms across the north/central sections earlier have long pushed well offshore and the debris cloudiness has diminished allowing reheating. But do not see anything imminent that would spark additional convection through the evening there. While no severe weather was reported, there were a number of classic tree cleaners, storms containing 45-55 mph wind gusts. Isolated sea breeze storms will develop near the coast south of the Cape and around Lake Okeechobee through the early evening. Will need to watch these storms for isolated severe potential into early evening. The next convective cluster seen on hi-res sat over the northern Gulf will reach north FL overnight and could bring a strong/marginal severe threat to northern areas before sunrise.
Wed...Scattered lightning storms will redevelop during the morning ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. Conditions will be favorable for another round of strong to severe storms that could begin even earlier than today. Convection should initiate along the differential heating boundary between the debris canopy and sfc heating and develop E/SE from there. Strong mid level flow and cold temps aloft look to produce a better chance for severe storms from mid morning through mid aftn. Large hail and damaging winds appear to be the primary threats with a few tornadoes possible.
Think a watch box (probably a Tornado watch) is more likely tomorrow than it was today for much of EC FL. Max temps should hold in the mid to upper 80s Orlando northward but reach the mid 90s across the south prior to onset of convection.
Thursday-Friday...Mid-level ridging is forecast to set up over the Florida peninsula late this week, with the lingering weak front remaining draped across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County area on Thursday. A plume of moisture will remain situated over this area, with isolated to scattered showers possible. Model guidance does not currently indicate large support for severe storm development, especially with decreasing offshore flow aloft and warming 500 mb temperatures, but some modest instability may be enough to kick off a few isolated strong storms across southern portions of the forecast area. North of the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee area, conditions are forecast to remain mostly dry as a dry air mass with PWATs less than an inch filters in, though a few stray showers still cannot be ruled out across Brevard and Osceola counties. Decided to further decrease PoPs with this forecast package based on model guidance and increasing confidence that the front will sit a bit further south than previously thought. Any showers and storms that do develop will move offshore across the local Atlantic waters and diminish into the overnight hours.
By Friday, the boundary is forecast to lift northward across east central Florida as a weak warm front. Guidance continues to indicate the potential for isolated showers and storms, due to the modest moisture return associated with the front. As a result, kept PoPs around 20 percent for now across east central Florida, but would not be surprised if this continues to trend lower, especially if the Euro trends more towards the GFS (the drier solution). Any activity that develops is expected to diminish during the evening and overnight hours.
Afternoon temperatures will continue to be 5 to 10 degrees above normal across east central Florida through the end of the work week, with highs climbing into the 90s both Thursday and Friday afternoon.
Heat indices in some areas may reach to right around 100. Overnight temperatures will remain in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Saturday-Tuesday...Moisture is forecast to continue increasing across the peninsula this weekend as the mid-level ridge shifts eastward out over the Atlantic. Troughing aloft accompanied by a surface low and its attendant cold front will move towards the Florida peninsula on Sunday, with the front expected to move south of the forecast area late Sunday into Monday. The GFS continues to indicate a cleaner frontal passage compared to the Euro. Model discrepancies continue into Tuesday, with the Euro indicating drier conditions than the GFS. In general, stuck with the NBM as a good middle ground between the models, with PoPs in the 30 to 50 percent range this weekend into early next week. Isolated storms will also be possible. The heat will persist across the peninsula, with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Saturday could be particularly toasty, with some areas south of the Orlando metro climbing into the upper 90s and heat indices reaching the 100 to 105 range. Overnight lows will remain in the upper 60s to low 70s.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 71 87 69 91 / 50 70 10 0 MCO 74 87 71 92 / 40 70 20 10 MLB 72 90 72 90 / 20 70 30 20 VRB 72 94 72 93 / 20 70 40 20 LEE 74 85 72 90 / 60 70 20 0 SFB 74 87 72 92 / 50 70 20 10 ORL 74 87 73 92 / 40 70 20 10 FPR 72 94 71 93 / 20 60 40 30
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ570-572-575.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL | 23 mi | 43 min | S 14G | 82°F | 83°F | 29.94 | ||
| 41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) | 42 mi | 35 min | 78°F | 4 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSUA WITHAM FIELD,FL | 18 sm | 16 min | S 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 75°F | 84% | 29.91 | |
| KPBI PALM BEACH INTL,FL | 19 sm | 38 min | S 08 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 84°F | 75°F | 74% | 29.93 |
Jupiter Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:32 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:03 AM EDT 2.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:01 AM EDT 0.69 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:22 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:20 PM EDT 2.11 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT 0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:32 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:03 AM EDT 2.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:01 AM EDT 0.69 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:22 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:20 PM EDT 2.11 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT 0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Jupiter Inlet, south jetty, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2 |
| 1 am |
| 2.3 |
| 2 am |
| 2.4 |
| 3 am |
| 2.3 |
| 4 am |
| 2 |
| 5 am |
| 1.5 |
| 6 am |
| 1.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 0.8 |
| 10 am |
| 1 |
| 11 am |
| 1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 2 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.2 |
Hobe Sound
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:32 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 03:29 AM EDT 1.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:22 AM EDT 0.49 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:22 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 03:46 PM EDT 1.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 10:36 PM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:32 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 03:29 AM EDT 1.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:22 AM EDT 0.49 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:22 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 03:46 PM EDT 1.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 10:36 PM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Hobe Sound, Jupiter Island, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.8 |
| 1 am |
| 1.1 |
| 2 am |
| 1.5 |
| 3 am |
| 1.7 |
| 4 am |
| 1.7 |
| 5 am |
| 1.5 |
| 6 am |
| 1.3 |
| 7 am |
| 1.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.8 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.4 |
Melbourne, FL,
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