Monday, February18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hobe Sound, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 6:15PM Monday February 18, 2019 4:37 PM EST (21:37 UTC) Moonrise 5:22PMMoonset 6:08AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 327 Pm Est Mon Feb 18 2019
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 327 Pm Est Mon Feb 18 2019
Synopsis..A weak cold front will reach central florida and the adjacent atlantic waters this evening and become stationary on Tuesday. The front will lift north of the waters by Wednesday with a prevailing south to southeast flow through late week.
Gulf stream hazards..Winds becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots north of the cape tonight behind a cold front. Seas building 5 to 6 feet by daybreak. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday february 14th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 27 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 19 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hobe Sound, FL
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location: 27.09, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 182055
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
355 pm est Mon feb 18 2019

Discussion
Warm weather pattern will continue into late february...

tonight-Tuesday... Satellite imagery shows a clear cloud line marking
the approaching weak cold front. This boundary looks to reach
lake volusia counties near to just after sunset, and then will
settle southward and stall just south of the CAPE late tonight into
Tuesday. Winds will switch to the N NE as front moves through with
isolated to scattered showers possible especially along the coast,
with pops tonight ranging from 20 percent over much of the interior
and up to 30-40 percent along the coast and into okeechobee county.

Another mild night expected with increasing stratus and low clouds
overnight as front stalls with lows ranging from the low 60s across
northern lake inland volusia counties to upper 60s across coastal
locations south of the cape.

Stalled front across the area will begin to lift back north as a
warm front later into Tuesday afternoon. Skies will generally remain
cloudy to mostly cloudy north of okeechobee and the treasure coast,
with the potential for isolated to scattered showers continuing
across the area. Greater cloud cover north of orlando should limit
highs to the mid to upper 70s, while farther south MAX temps in the
low to mid 80s still expected.

Wed-fri (modified)... Large mid-upper level ridge will remain
anchored over florida and the bahamas through late week. At the
surface, atlc ridge axis will develop over central fl and produce
deep southerly flow. Lingering moisture and late day sea breeze
convergence over the interior will produce scattered showers late
wed aftn into the eve. Considered adding thunder but dry mid
levels and persistent cap at 700 mb should prevent deep
convection. Pops drop back to AOB 20 percent as the ridge aloft
strengthens thu-fri. With the ridge remaining the dominant wx
feature through the end of the week, both daytime and nighttime
temperatures will continue well above normal through late week.

Next weekend (previous)... The persistent mid level ridge over
florida will gradually weaken flatten as a pair of northern stream
short wave troughs initiate a more zonal pattern aloft across the
conus. The atlantic surface ridge, which gets reinforced from the
north Friday night into Saturday, will shift east into the
atlantic ahead of an approaching cool front, which is forecast to
slow as it reaches the florida panhandle. This would have the
potential to increase pops over the northern and central CWA early
next week. However, given the extended time frame (d7-8), will
only introduce slight to low chance for showers for Sunday-Monday.

Temps will remain well above normal.

Aviation Vfr conditions generally expected into the evening, with
any isolated showers producing brief MVFR conditions. A weak cold
front moving into central florida will stall south of the CAPE into
late tonight, with stratus and patchy fog developing, mainly along
and north of the front. This will lead to predominant ifr conditions
with lowering cigs, mainly after 6z. This stratus will be slow to
lift into Tuesday over northern TAF sites, north of kmlb, with
ifr MVFR conditions possible even into the afternoon.

Marine
Tonight-Tuesday... Weak front settles south across the waters
tonight, stalling just south of the CAPE late. Winds will become ne
behind the passing front with speeds increasing to 15-20 knots
offshore of volusia county, while south of the front winds will
remain out of the south-southeast around 10-15 knots. Winds become
e SE into tomorrow, with wind speeds remaining around 15-20 knots
offshore of volusia county, with seas building up to 7-8 feet into
the afternoon. A small craft advisory GOES into effect over this
portion of the coastal waters late Tuesday morning for these
hazardous boating conditions.

Wed-sat... High pressure along the eastern seaboard Wed will settle
over its climatological position over the SW atlc with a ridge axis
extending westward across central fl. This will produce S SE winds
around 15 knots through Saturday. The combination of wind waves
and swell will produce seas of 6 to 7 feet offshore wed, subsiding
4 to 5 feet fri-sat.

Climate
Currently all (6) primary climate sites are set to tie or break their
warm minimum temperature records today.

Melbourne, vero beach, and fort pierce have already broken their
record highs for today.

Temperatures to remain above normal through much of the work week,
with the potential for additional record highs as well as some warm
minimum temperature records to be tied or broken across east central
florida.

Feb 18 feb 19 feb 20
loc hi-max hi-min hi-max hi-min hi-max hi-min
dab 87 1944 66 1990 86 1990 66 1994 85 1988 69 2018
mco 87 1975 65 1995 88 1962 67 1992 89 1988 69 1961
sfb 87 1975 65 2012 88 2012 65 1990 85 2018 68 1961
mlb 88 2008 68 2008 88 1975 73 2018 86 1988 75 2018
vrb 88 2008 69 2008 87 2012 71 1961 87 1975 73 2018
fpr 87 2008 70 2008 88 1992 71 1961 88 1932 73 2018

Fire weather
A weak cool front will sag into north central florida late tonight,
then stall Tuesday morning before lifting back well north of the
area from Tuesday night onward. This front will increase moisture,
with isolated to scattered showers possible across the region
into mid week before drier conditions take hold through next
weekend. Temperatures will average well above normal this week,
with no low rh concerns expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 64 74 64 81 30 50 20 30
mco 66 81 67 85 20 40 10 30
mlb 69 80 70 83 40 40 10 20
vrb 68 82 70 83 40 30 10 20
lee 63 77 66 85 20 40 20 40
sfb 65 78 65 84 20 40 20 30
orl 66 80 66 85 20 40 10 30
fpr 67 81 70 83 40 30 10 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 10 pm Tuesday to 11 pm est Wednesday
for sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-
brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 am Tuesday to 11 pm est Wednesday
for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm.

Kelly weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 33 mi44 min S 12 G 15 78°F 78°F1019.8 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 66 mi38 min S 9.9 G 13 79°F 1019.7 hPa (-0.8)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL8 mi51 minESE 77.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F73°F70%1018.6 hPa

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Last 24hr------S8S6S4S4S5S3S4S3S3CalmCalmS4S6S10S10S10S10S10S10SW8E7
1 day agoSW9
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SW5W4CalmCalmCalmSW3SW4SW3SW3CalmSW3SW4SW4S5------------------
2 days ago54SE4CalmCalmS3S3S4W5W5W3W3W3CalmCalmCalmCalm55W10
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Tide / Current Tables for Gomez, South Jupiter Narrows, Florida
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Gomez
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Mon -- 03:19 AM EST     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:07 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:57 AM EST     1.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:50 PM EST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:21 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:14 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:11 PM EST     1.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.3-0.1-0.5-0.7-0.6-0.20.411.41.61.41.20.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.20.30.81.31.51.51.2

Tide / Current Tables for Seminole Shores, Florida
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Seminole Shores
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:06 AM EST     -0.88 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:07 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:25 AM EST     3.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:38 PM EST     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:21 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:14 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:39 PM EST     3.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.9-0.7-00.922.83.33.32.81.910.1-0.4-0.5-0.10.71.72.63.23.32.921-0

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.