Saturday, July21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hobe Sound, FL

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:16PM Saturday July 21, 2018 11:16 PM EDT (03:16 UTC) Moonrise 2:16PMMoonset 12:58AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1018 Pm Edt Sat Jul 21 2018
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 3 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 3 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1018 Pm Edt Sat Jul 21 2018
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge will remain south of central florida through this weekend and into early next week. This will produce a moderate to gentle southwest breeze, with the threat of offshore moving storms each afternoon and evening, creating locally higher winds and seas. From early to mid next week, winds will back more southerly, with seas slowly building into the 3 to 5 foot range.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday july 21st. 38 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 25 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 20 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hobe Sound, FL
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location: 27.09, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 220103
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
903 pm edt Sat jul 21 2018

Update
The elongated area of low- to mid-level energy which helped sparked
most of the showers and storms south of interstate 4 earlier this
afternoon has shifted offshore. Meanwhile, the MCS which moved
south out of georgia and into north florida has all but
dissipated, though its remnant outflow boundary continues to sag
south across okeechobee county and the treasure coast. More stable
conditions on its backside, along with nocturnal cooling, should
keep most areas dry overnight. Considering there is still
anomalous troughing over the southeast, one would expect showers
and storms to break out again over the eastern gulf; however, the
mcs likely worked over the atmosphere there and has at least
temporarily interrupted the otherwise unstable synoptic pattern.

With that in mind, kept pops silent (10%) overnight.

Aviation
Vfr overnight. Scattered shra and tsra expected again tomorrow,
though guidance hints at it being a few hours later than today.

Will introduce vcsh between 14-16z across northern and interior
terminals, with vcts shortly thereafter. Confidence still not
there to include tempo groups at this time, though some airfields
will likely need them in the 06z or 12z packages.

Marine
Synoptic pattern continues to favor southwest winds overnight,
despite their variable nature after this afternoon and evening's
thunderstorms. Expect offshore winds to gradually increase
overnight, up to 15 knots away from the coast. Seas 1 foot near
the immediate coastline, 2 to 3 feet offshore. We remain about 1
foot below guidance as current observations do not support nwps
and wavewatch output.

Hydrology
The saint johns river is either above action stage or near flood
stage between geneva and astor. Little change is expected into the
weekend.

Near geneva, just south of lake harney, the most recent stage was
8.01 feet, which is just above flood stage (8.0 feet). The river
is forecast to fall slightly but remain near flood stage into
early next week. A river flood warning remains in effect for this
area.

At sanford, the most recent stage was 4.95 feet, which is above
action stage (4.2 feet). The river is forecast to remain nearly
steady, staying below flood stage (5.5 feet) into early next week.

Near deland, the most recent stage was 3.42 feet, which is near
the threshold for action stage (3.5 feet). The river is forecast
to remain nearly steady into early next week, with perhaps a very
slow fall indicated.

At astor, the most recent stage was 2.16 feet, which is within
action stage. The river is forecast to remain at action stage
into early next week.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 76 93 76 90 10 50 30 60
mco 77 91 77 91 10 50 30 60
mlb 79 94 78 90 10 50 40 70
vrb 78 95 76 89 10 60 50 60
lee 79 90 77 90 10 50 40 60
sfb 78 92 77 91 10 50 30 60
orl 78 92 75 91 10 50 30 60
fpr 76 94 76 89 10 60 50 60

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Ulrich sedlock smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 32 mi46 min 83°F1 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 33 mi28 min SW 8.9 G 11 80°F 82°F1015.1 hPa79°F
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 66 mi16 min S 12 G 17 82°F 1013.8 hPa (-2.2)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 69 mi34 min SSW 4.1 G 7 84°F 1014.5 hPa72°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL8 mi2.4 hrsSW 57.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity82°F75°F79%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5--S4SW3SW3SW3SW3SW3S4SW4SW5SW5W10W10W10
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1 day ago----S4SW4W3SW3S3SW3S4CalmCalm4Calm54S8
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2 days ago----S4CalmSW3CalmCalmSW3SW3SW4S4S6S6S8SW8SW7S7SE6SE10SE14SE14SE14SE144

Tide / Current Tables for Gomez, South Jupiter Narrows, Florida
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Gomez
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Sat -- 12:27 AM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:42 AM EDT     1.34 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:55 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:15 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:31 PM EDT     1.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.50.81.11.31.31.210.80.50.20-00.10.40.81.11.31.31.31.10.90.7

Tide / Current Tables for Sewall Point, St. Lucie River, Florida
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Sewall Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:00 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:22 AM EDT     0.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:28 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:11 PM EDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.50.70.810.90.80.70.50.30.1-000.20.40.70.9110.90.70.60.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.