Hobe Sound, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hobe Sound, FL

May 15, 2024 3:15 PM EDT (19:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM
Moonrise 12:18 PM   Moonset 1:09 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1113 Am Edt Wed May 15 2024

.severe Thunderstorm watch 244 in effect until 5 pm edt this afternoon - .

This afternoon - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 2 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of Thunderstorms.

Tonight - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.

Thursday - West winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and northwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.

Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers.

Sunday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 feet, building to 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, then a chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024

Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.

Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hobe Sound, FL
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Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 151342 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 942 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024

UPDATE
Issued at 940 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Storms are firing along a weak boundary that stretches from Tampa to Titusville. This convection is putting down a southward moving outflow boundary which will spark additional convection, edging southward. There is also storms firing to the south of this boundary and these will need to be watched for somewhat greater tornado potential. Convective winds had not been mixing down to the sfc but that is changing as daytime heating occurs and mixing heights deepen. Tornado watch til 11 am from Osceole/Brevard northward will likely be reissued through much of the afternoon.
Additional convection over the NE Gulf will track toward central FL. Northern areas that got worked over earlier this morning are breaking out as conveective debris cloudiness thins. So 2 or more rounds of storms will affect several areas with locally heavy rains producing localized flooding and Flood Advisories are also possible.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 940 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop across the area today ahead of an approaching front. Some strong to severe storms will be possible, mainly from Brevard and Osceola counties northward into the morning/early afternoon, with threat then shifting southward to include the Okeechobee and Treasure Coast region during the afternoon hours. Tempo IFR/MVFR conditions will occur with any of this activity, with the potential for strong wind gusts 35 knots or greater, hail. A tornado or two also can not be ruled out. Breezy W/SW flow will occur today, with speeds around 14-17 knots and gusts to 25 knots. Winds then diminish into tonight, gradually falling to 8-10 knots.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 522 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Key Messages...

-Higher shower and storm coverage today ahead of an approaching front, with some storms becoming strong to severe.

-Turning drier and hot into late week, with highs in the 90s nearing records for some locations.

-Potential for scattered showers and storms return into the weekend, with unseasonably hot and humid conditions continuing.

Currently...A swath of deeper moisture (PW values ~2.0 inches)
resides across north FL well ahead of a frontal boundary moving into the southeast U.S. early this morning. Increasing moisture and instability expected across northern portions of east central Florida through daybreak. Band of convection already developing across northern Lake and Volusia counties in this moist and unstable airmass, and additional showers and storms will be possible into the predawn hours, pushing eastward across areas near to north of Orlando prior to sunrise. Strong to isolated severe storms will continue to be possible with this activity, and a Tornado Watch has been issued for Lake and Volusia counties southward through Brevard and Osceola counties through 11 AM.

Today-Tonight...Band of deeper moisture (PW up to 1.8-2.0 inches)
will shift southward across central FL today well ahead of an approaching front that will push into north FL this afternoon.
Mid to upper level trough will continue to shift across the southeast U.S. leading to scattered to numerous showers and storms developing across the area today, pushing eastward across the area and offshore. Greatest coverage will exist across areas from Brevard and Osceola counties northward into the morning/early afternoon, with outflow from this system then leading to increasing convective development across Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast into the afternoon/early evening. Some strong to severe storms will continue to be possible through today, with the primary threats being strong to locally damaging winds, coin- sized hail, a tornado or two, and frequent lightning strikes.
Training of storms may also lead to some localized heavy rainfall of 2-4 inches, which may lead to minor flooding.

Earlier start to convection and greater cloud cover across northern portions of east central Florida today will limit highs to the mid to upper 80s near to north of a line from Lake Kissimmee to Melbourne and in the low to mid 90s south where convection will be delayed and more sunshine will occur. Near record highs forecast at Vero Beach and Fort Pierce today. It will be breezy with sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph possible.

Convection will weaken into tonight, with some redevelopment of showers and storms possible overnight as front shifts southward, mainly across Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast. Can't rule out a strong storm or two, but severe threat looks low. Lows will still be mild in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Thursday-Friday...Low pressure moves off the mid Atlantic coast on Thursday. An associated moisture boundary continues to slowly sink southward across the Florida peninsula before temporarily stalling.
There are model disagreements in how far south the boundary may stall. A GFS solution keeps a band of moisture along the Treasure and across Okeechobee county while the ECMWF pushes the boundary further into south Florida. Have kept a mention of isolated to scattered showers and isolated lightning storms in vicinity of the GFS moisture while keeping areas from Melbourne/ Lake Kissimmee northward dry. Mid level troughing and an associated area of surface low pressure moves across the central U.S. on Friday and broad ridging builds locally. Modest moisture returns northward, and precip chances remain limited (~ 10-20%). Coverage remains generally focused along the Treasure Coast and into Okeechobee county Friday.

Above seasonal temperatures are forecast to range the low 90s on Thursday while a few mid 90s across the southern interior cannot be completely ruled out. Highs further warm into Friday, more widely ranging the 90s. Low 90s are forecast along the immediate coast, warming into the mid 90s across the north interior. A few areas of upper 90s could even be reached across the interior Treasure Coast counties and in vicinity of Lake Okeechobee. Increasing moisture will put heat index values in the upper 90s to low 100s across much of east central Florida.

Saturday-Wednesday...Aforementioned mid level troughing and surface low pressure moves into the eastern U.S., moving offshore the eastern seaboard Sunday night into Monday. Moisture increases ahead of a cold front passage Sunday. PoPs ranging 40-50 percent on Saturday increase to 50-60 percent Sunday, and greatest coverage is forecast from Melbourne/ Lake Kissimmee southward on Sunday.
Conditions are forecast to dry some Monday and Tuesday behind the front keeping isolated to scattered showers each afternoon. High temperatures remain above normal through the period with Saturday being the hottest day. High temperatures mostly range the mid to upper 90s Saturday with heat indexes widely ranging the low 100s.
High temperatures a few degrees lower Sunday into early next week but still warmer than normal with highs in the low to mid 90s.

MARINE
Issued at 522 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Today-Tonight...Poor boating conditions will continue offshore where southwest winds up to 15-20 knots will largely continue through the day and then veer to the west into tonight. High coverage of showers and storms expected today ahead of an approaching front, with some strong to severe storms possible as they push offshore, producing stronger wind gusts and frequent lightning strikes. A waterspout or two will also be possible across the waters with this offshore moving convection.

Thursday-Sunday...(Previous Discussion) Boating conditions are forecast to remain generally favorable late this week into the weekend across the local Atlantic waters. Offshore winds 10 to 15 knots on Thursday will veer to out of the southeast on Friday, becoming southerly to southwesterly Saturday and Sunday. Seas will remain between 1 to 3 feet through the period, with some portions of the offshore waters potentially reaching 4 feet at times.
Isolated to scattered showers and isolated storms will be possible across the local waters, with storms expected to move offshore.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 522 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024

The wetter pattern will continue today, with another round of strong to severe storms pushing through the area. This will be followed by drying Thursday and Friday into late week. Min RH values are forecast to remain above critical thresholds today, but then should fall as low as 35 percent across portions of the interior on Thursday afternoon. Winds will breezy out of the southwest to west on Wednesday with little chance for a sea breeze. Slightly less westerly flow Thursday should allow the sea breeze to develop in the afternoon. High temperatures warm into the mid 90s Wednesday across southern sections with heat index values between 100-105. Widespread low to mid 90s Thursday but lower humidity will limit the heat indices. Very good to excellent smoke dispersion expected today and Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 87 69 91 69 / 80 10 0 0 MCO 87 72 92 70 / 80 10 10 0 MLB 91 72 91 70 / 70 30 10 0 VRB 94 71 93 71 / 60 40 30 0 LEE 85 71 91 70 / 80 10 0 0 SFB 88 71 93 70 / 80 10 0 0 ORL 88 72 92 71 / 80 10 10 0 FPR 94 71 93 70 / 60 40 30 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Tornado Watch until 11 AM EDT this morning for FLZ041-044>046- 053-141-144-247-347-447-547-647-747.

AM...Tornado Watch until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ550-552.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 32 mi49 min 78°F3 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 34 mi45 min SSW 16G24 82°F 82°F29.88


Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSUA WITHAM FIELD,FL 7 sm88 minW 12G187 smMostly Cloudy Thunderstorm Rain in Vicinity 91°F73°F56%29.88
Link to 5 minute data for KSUA


Wind History from SUA
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Gomez, South Jupiter Narrows, Florida
   
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Gomez
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Wed -- 02:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:43 AM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 11:48 AM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:17 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:08 PM EDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gomez, South Jupiter Narrows, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.6
2
am
0.9
3
am
1.1
4
am
1.2
5
am
1.3
6
am
1.2
7
am
1.1
8
am
0.9
9
am
0.8
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
1.1
5
pm
1.1
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
1
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
0.8
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.5


Tide / Current for Seminole Shores, Florida
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Seminole Shores
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Wed -- 02:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:10 AM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:36 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:17 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:35 PM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:51 PM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Seminole Shores, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.1
1
am
2.5
2
am
2.7
3
am
2.6
4
am
2.3
5
am
1.9
6
am
1.4
7
am
0.9
8
am
0.7
9
am
0.7
10
am
0.9
11
am
1.3
12
pm
1.7
1
pm
2.2
2
pm
2.4
3
pm
2.4
4
pm
2.2
5
pm
1.9
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
1
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
0.6
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
1.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Melbourne, FL,




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