Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Buckhead Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 7:39PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 7:06 AM EDT (11:06 UTC) Moonrise 7:33AMMoonset 8:33PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 356 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Today..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Tonight..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop.
Friday..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..West southwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Saturday night..North northwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Sunday..North northeast winds around 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Lake waters a light chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 356 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Synopsis..Generally good boating conditions under light east- southeast winds will continue today, before increasing slightly out of the southeast on Thursday. Stronger south-southeast winds are expected Thursday night and Friday ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. The front will also bring the threat for showers and Thunderstorms as it moves into the region. Winds will decrease for the weekend as the front washes out, though the threat for a few showers may linger.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of mar 28, 2017 at 1200 utc... 13 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buckhead Ridge, FL
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location: 27.16, -81.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 290804
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
404 am edt Wed mar 29 2017

Discussion
Today-Thursday: surface high center will slide just to our east
today, before weakening on Thursday ahead of the next system moving
east. Weak mid-upper level ridge sliding across the peninsula the
next two days will also help keep the overall atmosphere dry and
suppressed with continuing fair weather across south florida.

Weak pressure gradient will allow both sea breezes to push inland
both afternoons, though as low level flow becomes more southeast
Thursday the gulf sea breeze is not expected to push as far inland
as previous days. Can't rule out a shower or two with the sea breeze
collision given the warm afternoon temperatures, but chances look to
low for a mention in the forecast as of now. Patchy overnight fog is
possible over interior sections.

Highs will be in the low to mid 80s for east and gulf coasts, and
upper 80s to near 90 for the interior. Lows will generally be in the
60s, though some east coast locations may linger closer to 70.

Friday-Saturday: the GFS and ECMWF have come into better agreement
in the handling of the upper level low that is expected to cross
through the central plains today, and lift out through the tn/oh
valley and mid-atlantic late week. Both models have trended weaker
with the southern stream of this system, keeping a more robust
surface low further north. The net result is a slower and weaker
front that slides into the fl peninsula Friday and Saturday.

The bulk of activity associated with the front itself looks to hold
off until later in the day on Friday. However, gusty southerly
flow will increase low level moisture across the region, which
along with a robust 90-100kt jet crossing the peninsula, and above
normal daytime highs in the mid 80s will help generate a few
afternoon showers and storms. While models show the bulk of
activity over the gulf of mexico weakening substantially as it
nears south florida later on Friday, will have to watch for
potential of more organized convection holding together.

With the boundary slowing down, the threat for isolated showers and
a storm or two will linger into Saturday.

Early next week: models are now trending towards the frontal
boundary washing out across the region by Sunday rather than pushing
through, leaving some lingering low level moisture across the
region. However, Sunday does look to be the driest day of the
weekend with only isolated showers.

The southern stream jet remains active into next week with the next
upper level low swinging through the southern tier of the us with a
robust surface low expected to move into the tn/oh valleys Monday-
Tuesday. Though timing differs between the models, especially this
far out, it looks like we can expect unsettled weather as increasing
south-southeast flow brings deeper moisture back into the region.

Marine Generally good boating conditions will continue with
east-southeast winds less than 10 kts today, then picking up out
of the southeast 10-15kts on Thursday. Gulf coast breeze will be
more active this afternoon, bringing winds around to the west-
northwest, with the stronger offshore component limiting, though
completely prevent the development of the gulf coast breeze
Thursday.

The approach of a frontal boundary on Friday will allow winds to
increase out of the south-southeast to 15-20kts over most of the
local waters. This will briefly bring seas up to 3-4ft over both the
gulf and atlantic, along with bringing the threat for showers and
storms Friday and Saturday.

Winds over the weekend look light and variable as the boundary
washes out in the vicinity, before increasing again by early next
week ahead of the next low pressure system.

Aviation A few isolated showers developed over the southeast
coast metro areas but diminished leaving behind sct to bkn debris
clouds at around 5000ft-8000ft over most of the terminals south of
fll. However, expectVFR conditions to prevail through the period
with calm wind overnight. This debris clouds will stream west
into apf but remain above 6000feet. Light wind begins to veer
southeast into the afternoon and remain at around 10 knots.

Fire weather With dry air in place and little, if any
precipitation expected across the region through Thursday,
afternoon rh values are expected to drop below 40% across the
interior for several hours both this afternoon and again Thursday
afternoon. For glades, hendry, and interior collier counties,
several hours of rh values below 35% can be expected. Although
fuels are quite dry, erc values remain below thresholds for most
areas and overall wind speeds are expected to remain less than 10
mph. However, a red flag warning will be needed in locations that
currently have lowered criteria due to enhanced fire concerns.

Preliminary point temps/pops
West palm beach 84 67 84 67 / 0 0 0 10
fort lauderdale 84 71 82 71 / 0 0 0 10
miami 85 69 84 70 / 0 0 0 10
naples 83 66 84 66 / 0 10 0 0

Mfl watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... Red flag warning from 1 pm this afternoon to 7 pm edt this
evening for flz070.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 88/alm
marine... 88/alm
aviation... 67/mt
fire weather... 88/alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 68 mi49 min S 7 G 8.9
VENF1 - Venice, FL 72 mi67 min ENE 6 G 7 65°F 72°F1015.1 hPa (-0.4)60°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Okeechobee County Airport, FL15 mi12 minN 010.00 miFair0°F0°F%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from OBE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmN3W3SW3E4NE3CalmE3CalmNE4E5E5CalmE3SE4E4E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmN6N5E4NE3N3E3E4E6E8E6E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmNE3E6CalmS5CalmNE6E6
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Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
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Wed -- 12:36 AM EDT     1.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:17 AM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:52 PM EDT     1.24 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:37 PM EDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.31.10.80.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.300.50.81.11.21.10.80.40-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.30.20.6

Tide / Current Tables for Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida
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Stuart
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:13 AM EDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:21 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:29 PM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:41 PM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.10.90.70.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.300.40.81.11.10.90.70.40-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.20.20.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.