Monday, November19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sarita, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 5:39PM Monday November 19, 2018 6:28 PM CST (00:28 UTC) Moonrise 3:38PMMoonset 3:16AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ230 Bays And Waterways From Baffin Bay To Port Aransas- 315 Pm Cst Mon Nov 19 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..North wind 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots late in the night. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. A slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..North wind 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.
Tuesday night..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Wednesday..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth to slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Friday..North wind 5 to 10 knots shifting northwest in the afternoon. Bays smooth to slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Friday night..West wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth.
Saturday..West wind around 5 knots shifting southwest in the afternoon. Bays smooth.
Saturday night..South wind around 10 knots shifting southwest after midnight. Bays slightly choppy.
GMZ200 315 Pm Cst Mon Nov 19 2018
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters.. A moderate northerly wind is expected to increase to moderate to strong over the offshore gulf waters late tonight into Tuesday. The north to northeast flow will begin to decrease Tuesday afternoon becoming weak to moderate by Tuesday night. Scattered showers will continue tonight becoming isolated Tuesday and Tuesday night. A coastal trough will move across the western gulf of mexico on Wednesday. This will increase the chance for showers, along with weak to moderate east to northeast flow. Rain chances will gradually diminish Thursday through Friday as the coastal trough moves east.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sarita, TX
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location: 27.26, -97.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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Fxus64 kcrp 200012
afdcrp
area forecast discussion
national weather service corpus christi tx
612 pm cst Mon nov 19 2018

Discussion
Note aviation discussion below corresponding to the 00z tafs.

Aviation
MVFR ifr ceilings expected overnight early Tuesday (except lifr
this evening over portions of the region.) anticipate a
transition to predominate MVFR during the mid morning hours
Tuesday, followed by a mixture of MVFRVFR during the afternoon.

Generally light moderate north wind during the period. No
significant precipitation expected.

Previous discussion issued 319 pm cst Mon nov 19 2018
short term (tonight through Tuesday night)...

the cold front that pushed through the area last night early
morning is currently over the NW gulf and is progged to continue
moving away from S tx with a surface high building into S tx through
tonight. Weak embedded short wave currently moving across the CWA is
expected to exit through the afternoon, but then be followed by
another short wave this evening ahead of a weak long wave trough.

With sufficient moisture in place this evening combined with some
weak upper support and isentropic upglide, patchy drizzle rain will
continue periodically across the southern and eastern CWA with a
better chance for showers across the southern coastal bend and gulf
waters. The long wave trough is progged to move east of the area by
tue morning with a weak, fairly flat ridge building in behind it and
bringing drier air to the area. Clouds are expected to become
scattered from north to south Tue with slight rain chances over the
far offshore waters. A south to southwest LLJ is progged to develop
tue night, ushering deeper moisture back into S tx.

As for temps, minimal CAA will lead to slightly cooler lows tonight.

Increasing sunshine and a modifying airmass will lead to warmer
highs on tue.

Marine...

a moderate northerly flow this evening will strengthen to mod-strong
flow tonight with advisory conditions across the offshore waters.

Winds and seas are expected to decrease to below advisory levels by
tue afternoon. Winds will strengthen to moderate to strong levels
on Wednesday night with SCA conditions possible mainly across the
offshore waters. Winds will decrease Thursday night through
Friday, and will remain light to moderate through the weekend
ahead of the next frontal boundary.

Long term (Wednesday through Monday)...

the period begins with a shortwave trough tracking across texas
Wednesday into Wednesday night. At the surface a coastal trough
settles back along the southern texas coast during this timeframe,
with a moisture influx expected across the area. With the higher
moisture content residing along the eastern half of the cwa, higher
rain chances are expected across this general area through Wednesday
night. However, sufficient isentropic lift will remain across the
western half of the CWA to grant low end pops for this period. On
thanksgiving day, drier air will filter into the region, diminishing
rain chances across inland locations and limiting pops to the
coastal waters, but with continued weak isentropic lift across the
area, Thursday will remain cloudy. A long wave trough will then move
across the central plains on Friday sending an associated weak
boundary across the area and slightly increasing rain chances once
again. Rain will taper off on Saturday, with very little moisture
left over across the region. As we head into late in the period, and
as it has been the case with the previous forecast package, models
continue to diverge in regards to the timing of another cold front.

As for now, went with a blend in the models to try and split the
difference, and kept the frontal passage during the day on Sunday.

Again, with very little moisture available, not expecting rain
across the region on Sunday.

A general warming trend is expected in the extended forecast with
high temperatures climbing back into the mid to upper 70s by
Saturday. Low temperatures during this timeframe will generally be
in the 50s. Cooler temperatures are expected across the area on
Sunday night, and behind the cold front, with overnight lows in the
40s and Monday highs in the lower 60s.

Preliminary point temps pops
Corpus christi 56 50 64 51 61 40 20 10 10 50
victoria 54 45 64 44 61 40 10 10 10 50
laredo 56 49 64 50 58 20 10 10 10 20
alice 55 49 64 49 59 30 10 10 10 40
rockport 55 50 63 52 62 40 20 10 10 50
cotulla 56 48 65 45 58 20 10 10 10 20
kingsville 56 50 65 50 60 30 20 10 10 50
navy corpus 58 52 63 57 63 40 20 10 10 50

Crp watches warnings advisories
Tx... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory from 9 pm this evening to 3 pm cst Tuesday
for the following zones: waters from baffin bay to port
aransas from 20 to 60 nm... Waters from port aransas to
matagorda ship channel from 20 to 60 nm.

Wc 87... Aviation


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BABT2 - 8776604 - Baffin Bay; Point of Rocks, TX 9 mi40 min NNW 11 G 14 49°F 59°F1020.4 hPa
IRDT2 20 mi46 min 51°F 59°F1020.7 hPa
MQTT2 - 8775870 - Malaquite Beach (Corpus Christi), TX 29 mi46 min NW 11 G 12 50°F 64°F1020 hPa
PACT2 - 8775792 - Packery Channel, TX 31 mi40 min N 11 G 13 51°F 58°F1020.5 hPa
RSJT2 - 8777812 - Rincon del San Jose; Potrero Lopeno SW, TX 32 mi40 min 50°F 61°F1019.8 hPa
TAQT2 - 8775296 - Texas State Aquarium, TX 39 mi40 min 50°F 60°F1019.5 hPa
NUET2 40 mi46 min N 8.9 G 13 58°F1020.8 hPa
RTAT2 - 8775237 - Port Aransas, TX 48 mi40 min NNE 8 G 9.9 50°F 62°F1020.4 hPa
PTAT2 - Port Aransas, TX 48 mi28 min N 13 G 15 51°F 63°F1020.1 hPa (+1.1)50°F
ANPT2 48 mi40 min N 14 G 16 51°F 1019.3 hPa
PMNT2 49 mi40 min 51°F 63°F1020 hPa

Wind History for Baffin Bay, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kingsville, Naval Air Station, TX22 mi32 minN 82.00 miFog/Mist49°F48°F97%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from NQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10N9N10--------N9N7------N9--N12N9N8N10N11N11N9N10N9N8
1 day agoSE8SE9--SE7----SE5------NE3--SE3E3--SE7------N17
G23
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2 days agoE4E3E3E3Calm----CalmCalm--NE4------NE3E4----------SE12--SE9

Tide / Current Tables for Corpus Christi, Texas
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Corpus Christi
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:14 AM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:35 AM CST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:52 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:53 PM CST     1.48 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:36 PM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:35 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:39 PM CST     1.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:34 PM CST     1.51 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.51.31.110.90.80.80.811.21.31.41.51.41.41.31.21.21.21.21.31.41.5

Tide / Current Tables for Corpus Christi, Texas (2) (expired 1999-07-23)
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Corpus Christi
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:53 AM CST     0.28 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:14 AM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:53 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:15 AM CST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:36 PM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:34 PM CST     0.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:35 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:12 PM CST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.30.30.30.30.30.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Corpus Christi, TX (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Corpus Christi, TX
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.