Tuesday, March26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hutchinson Island South, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:36PM Tuesday March 26, 2019 6:53 AM EDT (10:53 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:31AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 409 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday morning through Thursday evening...
Today..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 20 to 25 knots with occasional gusts to gale force. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds building to 7 to 10 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds in the afternoon. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with occasional gusts to gale force. Seas 10 to 13 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 10 to 13 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 8 to 11 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet.
Friday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 409 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019
Synopsis..A cold front will settle across the local atlantic waters today. Low pressure is forecast to develop along the front just east of the waters Wednesday while at the same time, strong high pressure builds south across the area. These two features will combine to produce dangerous gale conditions with rapidly building seas Wednesday into Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday march 25th. 36 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hutchinson Island South, FL
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location: 27.29, -80.23     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 260857
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
457 am edt Tue mar 26 2019

Discussion
Locally heavy rain along the volusia coast tonight early wed...

Windy Wednesday with dangerous boating and surf conditions...

today... A weak frontal trough across north fl will settle across
the area late in the day early evening. Some morning stratus
across the interior and patchy fog along the treasure coast should
lift by mid morning. The offshore (w nw) flow will produce a warm
day with MAX temps in the lower 80s. A NE to E sea breeze will
develop along the coast in the afternoon. The sea breeze boundary
should help spark isolated showers after 2 pm over ec fl with cell
motion toward the east. Atmosphere looks too dry in the mid
levels for deep convection (thunder).

Tonight... A very potent mid level short wave trough will track se
across the deep south and reach central fl late tonight. This will
induce low pressure to begin forming just east of fl. A very tight
ne pressure gradient will develop between the developing low
pressure and strong high pressure building south down the u.S.

East coast. A large area of showers will spread south into
lake volusia counties overnight reaching orlando metro toward
morning. Bands of heavy showers may produce locally heavy rain
along portions of the volusia coast, possibly as far south as
extreme northern brevard county. Locally one to two inches of
rain will be possible between mims and ormond beach.

Wed-thu... Beach and marine conditions will continue to deteriorate
rapidly into Wednesday and remain hazardous into Thursday as low
pressure develops offshore in advance of a digging mid level S W and
shifts slowly east. Tight pressure gradient across the area between
this low and a high pressure ridge extending across the eastern u.S.

Seaboard will make for breezy to windy conditions across the region.

North-northeast winds will be strongest along the immediate coast up
to 20-25 mph and gusting to 30-35 mph Wednesday, and then around 15-
20 mph gusting to 25-30 mph Thursday. This strong onshore flow will
lead to large breaking waves up to 7-9 feet in the surf zone that
will produce life threatening rip currents and minor to locally
moderate beach erosion, especially during the times of high tide
through this period.

Scattered to numerous onshore moving showers expected into
Wednesday, with greatest rain chances along the coast, up to 60-70
percent across volusia brevard counties. Rain chances then decrease
Wednesday night into Thursday as moisture decreases with low
shifting farther east. May see some locally heavy rainfall occur
along the coast Wednesday morning with any persistent rain bands,
mainly north of the cape. Otherwise precipitation totals will rather
low around a quarter of an inch or less, especially inland. Mostly
cloudy skies and higher showers coverage Wednesday will produce
cooler temps, with highs mid-upper 60s across volusia county to low
to mid 70s farther south. Then on Thursday, highs will be slightly
warmer, but still ranging from the low to mid 70s over much of the
area.

Fri-mon... High pressure ridge builds south and eventually across the
region into the weekend, with pressure gradient weakening and
onshore winds decreasing. May still see a few showers push onshore
in the low level easterly flow, but for now will keep rain chances
out of the forecast as it looks to remain mostly dry fri-sun. Temps
will continue to climb, with highs reaching back into the 80s this
weekend. Rain chances may increase into early next week with the
approach of another cold front, but significant differences exist
between the GFS and ECMWF this far out with this feature. Will keep
pops around 30 percent at this time for Monday.

Aviation Ifr CIGS spreading inland from the gulf coast may
affect lee mco ism sfb through 13z or so. Patchy MVFR ifr vsbys
in br fg at mlb vrb fpr. Aft 13z, mainlyVFR expected with NW wind
near 10 knots turning ne-e at coastal terminals aft 17z. Isolated
shra during peak heating will increase in coverage aft 00z invof
dab, spreading south and west toward lee sfb mco btwn 06z-12z.

Marine
Today tonight... A weak frontal trough across north fl early this
morning will slide southward across the waters later in the day.

Offshore (w nw) flow 10-15 knots early will become N NE this
afternoon. Boating conditions will deteriorate over the atlc
waters adjacent to volusia county late in the day as N NE pressure
gradient tightens. Small craft advisory will go into effect late
in the evening nearshore and a gale warning for the offshore
waters. Sustained winds to gale force (34 knots) are not expected
but frequent gusts to gale force should develop overnight. Seas 2
ft nearshore and 3-4 ft offshore most of the day, building 7-10 ft
over the volusia waters after midnight.

Wed-thu... Very hazardous boating conditions expected from wed-thu
with developing low pressure off the east central florida coast
leading to gale conditions offshore. North-northeast winds will
rapidly increase up to 20-25 knots near the coast and up to 25-30
knots offshore, with frequent gusts to gale force. Nearshore,
occasional gusts to gale force will be possible. These strong
northeast winds will persist into early Thursday, and will rapidly
build seas through this time frame up to 8-12 feet nearshore and up
to 11-15 feet offshore. Winds will then only slowly decrease to 15-
20 knots by late afternoon Thursday with seas even slower to
lower.

A small craft advisory remains in effect nearshore for Wednesday
through Thursday evening. A gale warning is now in effect offshore
for Wednesday into early morning Thursday, transitioning to a small
craft advisory through Thursday evening.

Fri-sat... Onshore winds will diminish through late week into the
weekend, with speeds around 10-15 knots Friday and 5-10 knots
Saturday. However, seas will continue to be slow to decrease, around
7-9 feet Friday, falling to 5-7 feet Saturday. These seas will
continue to produce poor to hazardous boating conditions across the
coastal waters.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 77 59 67 56 10 80 60 30
mco 82 59 72 56 20 50 50 20
mlb 81 61 72 61 20 40 60 30
vrb 82 59 73 60 20 30 50 30
lee 82 57 71 53 10 60 40 10
sfb 81 58 70 55 20 70 50 20
orl 82 59 71 56 20 60 50 20
fpr 82 58 74 61 20 30 50 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 10 pm edt
Thursday for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-
20 nm.

Small craft advisory from 4 am Wednesday to 10 pm edt Thursday
for volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 am to 10 pm edt Thursday for
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard
county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Gale warning from 10 am Wednesday to 10 am edt Thursday for
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm.

Gale warning from 4 am Wednesday to 10 am edt Thursday for
volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 am Wednesday to 10 pm edt Thursday
for sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm.

Gale warning from 10 pm this evening to 10 am edt Thursday for
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm.

Short term... Kelly
long term... .Weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 18 mi53 min 72°F2 ft
SIPF1 41 mi38 min W 6 66°F 66°F1017 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 48 mi35 min 70°F 78°F1016.8 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 77 mi113 min SW 9.9 G 11 75°F 1015.2 hPa (-1.7)
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 80 mi35 min 67°F 70°F1016.8 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL7 mi58 minWNW 410.00 miFair64°F62°F94%1016.3 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL16 mi60 minWNW 36.00 miFog/Mist61°F59°F93%1015.8 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr333E5E5E10E10E10SE8
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SE6--SE6SE5S4S3CalmCalmW5SW4SW3W5W4
1 day agoE8E8--E11E12E12E13E13--E10E8E8E6E6E5E4E4CalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNW5NW5N555E8E8E6E4E6--E7CalmCalmNE5N4CalmCalmCalmE3CalmE4SE4E4

Tide / Current Tables for Eden, Nettles Island, Indian River, Florida
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Eden
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:03 AM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:49 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:13 PM EDT     0.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.40.711.110.90.70.50.30.20.20.30.50.70.9110.80.60.40.20-0

Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:56 AM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:46 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:06 PM EDT     0.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:05 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.40.811.110.90.70.50.30.20.20.30.50.70.910.90.80.60.40.20-0

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.