Sunrise 6:47 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM Moonrise 2:11 AM   Moonset 1:23 PM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 921 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Rest of tonight - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east late. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Thursday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Sunday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Sunday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Monday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 921 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis - High pressure near bermuda continues to ridge westward over florida and into the gulf of mexico and will dominate the weather with mostly rain-free conditions through the week and into the weekend. Winds will remain 15 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less making for pleasant boating conditions through the week. A sea breeze is expected close to the coast each afternoon and evening.

FXUS62 KTBW 020542 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 142 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 136 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

VFR conditions anticipated overnight and most of today across terminals. Then, the sea breeze could bing the potential for isolated showers and a storm or two to develop in the afternoon hours, especially near LAL and PGD with a non zero chance for FMY/RSW. The main concern would be gusty and erratic winds near showers and temporary MVFR ceilings and visibilities. Otherwise, easterly winds prevail, before shifting west behind the sea breeze at SRQ/TPA/PIE.

UPDATE
Issued at 750 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

It has been an active evening across SWFL especially where a deeper moisture column support several thunderstorms. With 500mb temperatures hovering around -10C, this also led to some small hail reports, in addition to two funnel clouds across the region. With the atmosphere now worked over in SWFL, most of the activity has now wound down. There are just a couple showers ongoing as of this writing.

However, the East and West Coast sea breeze boundaries are just now colliding in Central Florida. Could this potentially elide a couple more storms yet? Perhaps. Early data from the 0Z sounding shows a deep enough moisture layer for what is most likely to be low-topped showers rather than large and intense thunderstorms as were seen earlier this evening. The moisture column is more shallow the farther north one travels, and there is also a stronger inversion and sharper cutoff to the aforementioned moisture. This also should mean that anything new to develop is likely to be isolated and short-lived.

Just a couple little tweaks to the forecast have been made to the next couple hours to reflect current trends and expectations.
Otherwise, the forecast remains on track.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 90 72 90 71 / 20 0 10 0 FMY 90 70 90 69 / 20 10 10 10 GIF 90 67 91 66 / 20 0 10 0 SRQ 89 69 90 70 / 20 0 10 0 BKV 92 64 91 64 / 20 0 10 0 SPG 88 73 87 73 / 20 0 10 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Shell Point
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Thu -- 03:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:56 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:58 PM EDT     1.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:28 PM EDT     1.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:27 PM EDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Point, Peace River, Florida, Tide feet

El Jobean
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Thu -- 03:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:22 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:44 PM EDT     1.30 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:54 PM EDT     1.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:13 PM EDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

El Jobean, Myakka River, Florida, Tide feet

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