Monday, December10, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Sarasota, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 5:38PM Monday December 10, 2018 8:11 PM EST (01:11 UTC) Moonrise 9:50AMMoonset 8:39PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 304 Pm Est Mon Dec 10 2018
.small craft exercise caution...
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots then becoming north around 20 knots toward morning. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..North winds around 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..North winds around 15 knots then becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..South winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds around 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West winds around 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 9 to 11 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds around 15 knots with gusts to around 30 knots. Seas 9 to 11 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 304 Pm Est Mon Dec 10 2018
Synopsis.. Winds and seas will remain elevated today with headlines in place as high pressure builds in across the central gulf states, creating persistent northwest winds. The high slides east on Wednesday/Thursday and will veer winds offshore. Our next frontal system approaches the area by Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Sarasota, FL
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location: 27.36, -82.54     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 101913
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
213 pm est Mon dec 10 2018
.Short term (rest of today - Tuesday)
high pressure building to our northwest will continue to advect
cooler air into our region. A dry and warm stable layer atop a
cool moist post-frontal airmass has helped to create a persistent
stratocumulus cloud deck. This will lift and dissipate some
over land during the afternoon, but the tug-of-war between
daytime heating and CAA will dampen this dissipation effect.

While it will be a chilly night, temperatures will remain above
freezing as mid-upper 30s are expected across the nature coast, low
to mid 40s across the i-4 corridor, and mid to upper 40s across
southwest fl. Light but noticeable winds will make it feel
approximately 5 degrees cooler in the morning hours.

Tomorrow, a secondary shortwave trough will dig down across the
southeast us and help to reinforce the cold air. It should be a
beautiful day but a sweater is definitely in store as temperatures
will not get out of the upper 50s to low 60s.

Mid long-term (Tuesday night - Monday)
Progressive pattern continues with upper trough quickly moving into
the atlantic to start the period then brief zonal flow through
midweek.

At the surface, high pressure centered over the area to keep temps
cold with light winds and radiational cooling Tue night Wed morning
for patchy frost over the nature coast with lower to mid 30 degree
temps. Elsewhere low temps should range from the upper 30s to lower
40s. High pressure then moves into the atlantic later Wednesday and
Thursday with E then SE winds for a moderating trend. By Thursday
enough moisture in place to introduce slight chance showers with
near normal temps.

Next southern jet stream storm system to move through the region
Friday but there are some subtle model differences in timing,
location and strength of features. The southern storm system to
impact the local area with showers and some thunderstorms ahead of
and along the front mainly Friday. Upper low to lift out of the deep
south over the weekend with drier wnw flow overhead Sun mon. Another
high pressure area builds into the region for cooler and drier
pleasant weekend weather conditions.

Aviation
18z TAF cycle. Widespread stratus deck will continue to
produce prevailing MVFR CIGS for all terminals. These
restricted ceilings should begin to improve this evening,
although some low stratocu will still remain. Gusty
northwest winds will begin to subside after sunset andVFR
is expected tomorrow.

Marine
Winds and seas will remain elevated today with headlines in place as
high pressure builds in across the central gulf states, creating
persistent northwest winds. The high slides east on
Wednesday Thursday and will veer winds offshore. Our next frontal
system approaches the area by Friday.

Fire weather
No concerns are expected over the next several days as rh, winds,
and recent rainfall will preclude extreme fire weather behavior.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 47 58 43 66 10 10 0 0
fmy 51 63 45 71 10 0 0 0
gif 42 59 40 67 0 0 0 0
srq 51 60 45 67 10 0 0 0
bkv 42 58 36 66 10 0 0 0
spg 50 58 47 66 10 10 0 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 9 pm est this evening for
coastal charlotte-coastal hillsborough-coastal lee-
coastal manatee-coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Gulf waters... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for
coastal waters from tarpon springs to suwannee river
fl out 20 nm-waters from tarpon springs to suwannee
river fl out 20 to 60 nm.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... 42 norman
mid term long term decision support... 25 davis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 19 mi42 min 55°F 63°F1020.9 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 20 mi72 min NNE 7 G 8 58°F 68°F1020.5 hPa (+1.4)50°F
MTBF1 21 mi42 min N 12 G 16 55°F 1021.2 hPa47°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 24 mi102 min N 14 G 18 62°F 71°F1020.2 hPa
42098 26 mi42 min 67°F5 ft
CLBF1 27 mi78 min N 4.1 G 8 56°F 1020.1 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 28 mi48 min N 5.1 G 11 54°F 65°F1021.1 hPa
GCTF1 29 mi42 min 54°F 47°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 34 mi42 min N 8 G 14 54°F 65°F1021.3 hPa
MCYF1 39 mi42 min 68°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 40 mi54 min N 2.9 G 6
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 45 mi42 min N 9.9 G 12 55°F 64°F1021.3 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL3 mi19 minN 710.00 miOvercast56°F48°F77%1020.6 hPa
Venice Municipal Airport, FL21 mi17 minNNE 510.00 miOvercast57°F50°F77%1021.3 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW14NW13W12NW12NW15NW12NW11NW15NW8N10N8N8N8N8N10NW13N12
G20
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1 day agoE6SE8SE8SE9SE8SE10SE9SE11S15S13S22
G29
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S13--W10W9SW11SW8
G18
SW7W10NW7W8NW11
2 days agoE5E7E9E9E9E8E8E8E8E7E5E6E7E11SE11SE14SE10SE8SW9SW6S6S5E4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Sarasota, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Sarasota
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:53 AM EST     2.11 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:11 AM EST     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:40 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.121.71.30.90.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.2-00.30.70.91.11.11.21.21.21.21.31.41.6

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:44 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:29 AM EST     -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:40 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:08 PM EST     1.38 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:36 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:50 PM EST     -0.16 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:39 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:03 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.90.5-0.2-0.8-1.3-1.5-1.5-1.3-0.9-0.40.20.81.21.41.310.60.2-0.1-0.2-00.30.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.