Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 3:51 PM   Moonset 3:07 AM

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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 401 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
.severe Thunderstorm watch 258 in effect until 7 pm edt this evening - .
Tonight - SW winds 5 kt becoming W after midnight. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Mon - W nw winds around 5 kt. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms. Mon night - N ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. Tue - NE winds 5 kt. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Tue night - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. Wed - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Wed night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. Thu - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Thu night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. Fri - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis -
a gentle to moderate southwesterly flow will prevail today as low pressure develops just off the se coast and a cold front approaches the area. Winds will shift to northwesterly on Monday as the cold front moves into the area but remain generally light. Scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms can be expected today into the early week dominant period resulting in locally hazardous winds and seas.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 18, 2024 at 12 utc - .
7 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 7 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KTBW 191827 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 227 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

DISCUSSION
Low level inversion earlier today really hindered convective activity ahead of the frontal boundary for most of the area. But diurnal heating S of the front is finally breaking the cap allowing storms to tap into 3000+ CAPE airmass for possible strong afternoon thunderstorms over Highlands Co and may still see some isolated thunderstorms into SW FL until the front finally moves through later this afternoon/evening. Elsewhere, dangerous rip currents continue along areas beaches through sunset.

The upper shortwave from the Carolinas into N FL is progged to briefly stall in the W Atlantic with troughing extending back over the area for Monday and Tuesday. The frontal boundary should be over S FL with weak high pressure building into N FL while residual modest support and moister to produce diurnal seabreeze showers or storms mainly in the interior areas Monday and Tuesday during the late afternoon and evening hours.

Upper ridging to build over the region from the SW Gulf around mid week with surface ridging building along the E Seaboard as shortwaves move E well N of the area late week and over the weekend, eroding the ridge while the surface ridge weakens slightly and shifts a bit E into the Atlantic.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Generally VFR conditions all terminal next 24 hrs with occasionally gusty NW winds behind the frontal boundary rest of the afternoon.
Have left VCTS in SW sites for lingering potential along the front thru about 21Z when winds should shift NW and more stable air moves in. Light W-NW winds overnight and clearing skies into Monday.

MARINE
Persistent long period swells from the S Gulf are keeping seas elevated into Monday. A frontal boundary will continue to slowly moving across the SE Gulf tonight with a few showers or thunderstorms across the waters. Weak high pressure gradually builds into the region by mid week with winds and seas slowly subsiding.

FIRE WEATHER
High pressure is expected to build into the region with lingering afternoon rain chances over interior areas Monday and Tuesday.
High pressure and drier air will finally filter into the area mid to late week with low RHs and warming temps.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 76 88 72 90 / 10 10 10 20 FMY 76 91 72 92 / 30 30 10 30 GIF 72 90 70 90 / 20 30 10 40 SRQ 75 89 71 91 / 20 10 10 20 BKV 68 89 65 91 / 10 20 0 30 SPG 78 88 76 90 / 10 10 10 20

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

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Shell Point
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Sun -- 02:15 AM EDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:26 AM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:58 PM EDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:30 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Point, Peace River, Florida, Tide feet

Punta Gorda
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Sun -- 01:32 AM EDT     1.33 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:21 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:13 PM EDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Punta Gorda, Charlotte Harbor, Florida, Tide feet

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