Monday, October15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
St. Lucie Village, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 6:53PM Monday October 15, 2018 6:13 AM EDT (10:13 UTC) Moonrise 12:19PMMoonset 11:06PM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 322 Am Edt Mon Oct 15 2018
Today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 322 Am Edt Mon Oct 15 2018
Synopsis..A gentle to moderate onshore breeze will remain in place through much of the upcoming work week as the high pressure ridge axis remains north of the area. Deteriorating boating conditions expected into late week as onshore winds and seas increase as a weakening frontal boundary moves into the waters Thursday night into Friday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday october 14th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Lucie Village, FL
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location: 27.48, -80.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 150718
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
318 am edt Mon oct 15 2018

Discussion
Today-tonight... Mostly dry and warm start to the week expected.

Surface high pressure over the west atlantic nudging into the
southeast u.S. Coast, will keep a low level southeast flow across
the area. Moisture will be confined to the lower levels and with
warm temps aloft from strong mid level ridge in place, not expecting
much in the way of shower development today. In fact, GFS mos pops
are below 10 percent for most locations. However, have left slight
rain chances along the southern treasure coast for onshore moving
showers this morning, and NW of i-4 where slightly higher low level
moisture might lead to isolated shower development into the mid-late
afternoon. Otherwise most areas will remain rain free, with warmer
than normal temperatures expected. Highs along the coast will reach
the upper 80s, while inland MAX temps will reach near record values
in the low 90s.

Tuesday... The strong mid level ridge at 500 mbs will remain across
the northern fl peninsula with ese low level flow forecast around
the atlantic surface ridge. A dry airmass in the h8-h5 layer will
keep rain chances very low. Will continue slight shower chances
across the southern interior where slightly deeper low level moisture
may allow for some afternoon inland moving showers. Highs will range
from the upper 80s along the treasure coast to around 93 across the
nrn interior.

Wednesday... The mid level ridge will elongate across fl as surface
cool front moves toward N fl in the afternoon. Low level flow will
remain ese to east with dry air in the mid levels keeping the area
mostly dry. Will continue slight shower chances in the afternoon for
okeechobee county. Highs will very warm again for mid oct ranging
from the upper 80s for the treasure coast to 92-93 across the nrn
interior.

Thu-fri... A back door front will move down the fl peninsula as high
pressure builds behind it toward the mid atlantic coast. The front
will usher in a tighter pressure gradient, breezy onshore flow and
deeper low level moisture will should support scattered onshore
moving showers Thu afternoon across far NRN sections and then
across all of east central fl by Friday. Will keep low thunder
chances across the north Thu aftn and areawide Fri with atlantic
water temps still warm, and convergent low level shower bands
providing some lift. Highs 85-90 Thursday, should drop a few degrees
by Friday with breezy onshore winds, more cloud cover and higher
shower coverage.

Sat-mon... Low level flow will return to the SE S on Saturday ahead
of the next front that will move through the area Sunday ushering in
breezy to windy ne-e winds starting Sunday afternoon into Monday.

Highs will be warm Saturday into the upper 80s to near 90 with
scattered showers and isolated lightning storms. Scattered onshore
moving showers are expected Sunday-Monday with some slight relief
from the heat by next Monday with increased cloud cover and higher
coverage of onshore moving showers. May see high temps tempered to
the upper 70s north to mid 80s across the south by next Monday.

Aviation MainlyVFR. May see brief MVFR CIGS with developing cu
into the late morning, mainly over the interior. May see an isolated
shower or two near klee toward mid-late afternoon, but rain chances
low enough to keep vcsh out of the TAF for now.

Marine
Today-tonight... Winds generally out of the SE this morning, becoming
e SE mainly near the coast into the afternoon as sea breeze moves
inland. Wind speeds will generally range from 5-10 knots, except 10-
15 knots over the gulf stream waters south of the cape. Some
lingering 4 foot seas may persist this morning offshore of the
volusia county. Otherwise seas will range from 2-3 feet.

Tue-wed... Se winds to 10-15 knots will become easterly into wed
afternoon. Seas mainly 2-3 ft nearshore to around 3 ft offshore.

Thu-fri... A back door front will increase onshore winds into late
week. East winds will increase across the NRN waters Thu afternoon
and then across the remainder of the waters Thu night into Friday up
to 15-20 knots. Seas will build to around 7 ft offshore into thu
night and Friday causing hazardous conditions for small craft
operators.

Climate
Record highs for Monday oct. 15 through Wednesday oct. 17
date temp year date temp year date temp year
dab 15-oct 92 1959 16-oct 91 1936 17-oct 90 1925
mco 15-oct 93 1919 16-oct 95 1925 17-oct 95 1925
sfb 15-oct 91 1971 16-oct 92 1971 17-oct 90 1952
mlb 15-oct 91 1959 16-oct 90 1959 17-oct 90 1975
vrb 15-oct 94 2009 16-oct 92 2009 17-oct 90 1974
fpr 15-oct 93 2009 16-oct 95 1997 17-oct 93 1906
record warm lows for Monday oct. 15 through Wednesday oct. 17
date temp year date temp year date temp year
dab 15-oct 76 1993 16-oct 77 1933 17-oct 76 1998
mco 15-oct 74 2009 16-oct 74 1959 17-oct 74 1989
sfb 15-oct 74 2017 16-oct 74 2017 17-oct 72 1959
mlb 15-oct 80 2017 16-oct 79 2007 17-oct 75 2007
vrb 15-oct 77 2017 16-oct 78 2007 17-oct 79 1990
fpr 15-oct 79 1928 16-oct 78 2016 17-oct 77 1985

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 89 73 90 73 10 10 10 10
mco 92 74 92 74 10 0 10 10
mlb 89 78 90 75 10 10 10 10
vrb 88 77 89 74 10 10 10 10
lee 93 73 92 75 20 10 20 10
sfb 92 74 92 74 10 0 10 10
orl 92 75 93 76 10 0 10 10
fpr 88 76 88 74 10 20 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Weitlich
mid-long term... .Volkmer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 8 mi73 min 83°F3 ft
SIPF1 27 mi43 min SE 8.9 82°F 82°F1019 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 62 mi43 min SE 12 G 15 82°F 84°F1018.4 hPa
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 66 mi43 min SE 7 G 8.9 81°F 83°F1019.4 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 71 mi43 min SSE 9.7 G 12 83°F 1018.3 hPa75°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL3 mi20 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds75°F72°F90%1017.9 hPa
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL13 mi20 minESE 310.00 miOvercast79°F75°F88%1017.9 hPa
Witham Field Airport, FL21 mi18 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F73°F84%1018.3 hPa

Wind History from FPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmE6E8E4E6E7E7E9E8E8E10E6E6E8E8E9E9E10SE7CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW3NW3W6W4W336N7NE7NE8NE66E7E6E8E7E7E7E7E7E6E5E4Calm
2 days agoNW4W3W3W5CalmNW4E4E4SE7E8E8E10SE6SE6E4E3CalmCalmW3W4W6W6W5W3

Tide / Current Tables for St. Lucie, Indian River, Florida
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St. Lucie
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:03 AM EDT     1.27 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:06 AM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:48 PM EDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:46 PM EDT     1.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.21.31.21.21.10.90.80.70.70.70.911.21.31.31.31.31.21.11.1111

Tide / Current Tables for Oslo, Indian River, Florida
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Oslo
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:10 AM EDT     0.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:24 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:14 PM EDT     0.39 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.2-0.10.10.20.20.20.1-0-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.100.20.30.40.40.30.10-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.