Thursday, January24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
St. Lucie Village, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:57PM Thursday January 24, 2019 1:05 AM EST (06:05 UTC) Moonrise 10:01PMMoonset 9:59AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1016 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Tonight..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Friday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Monday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1016 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis..A strong cold front and preceding squall line will approach central florida late tonight and cross the area through mid day Thursday. A fresh to strong southerly breeze will occur ahead of this system, with frequent gusts to gale force expected offshore from late tonight through Thursday morning. Winds will become westerly as the front moves through and gradually decrease late Thursday afternoon. However, poor to hazardous boating conditions will remain through the evening hours.
Gulf stream hazards..Southerly winds increasing up to 25 to 30 knots, with frequent gusts to gale force through Thursday morning. Seas building up to 8 to 11 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday january 21st. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 27 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 19 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Lucie Village, FL
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location: 27.48, -80.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 240310
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
1010 pm est Wed jan 23 2019

Strong storms possible early Tuesday morning...

Update
A surface front analyzed over the western panhandle and eastern
gulf of mexico continues its trek toward the peninsula this
evening. North-south oriented convection continues to fire along
and just ahead of the boundary, with recent goes-16 imagery and
geostationary lightning mapper data indicating convection firing
further south, well west of the florida keys.

Sharp upper troughing will continue to shift the boundary
eastward overnight with convection expected to approach our far
northwestern zones (lake county) during the pre-dawn hours
Thursday. Showers and storms will progress eastward during the
morning commute, likely affecting the populated i-4 corridor
around rush hour, before moving toward the space and treasure
coasts late in the morning and early in the afternoon. As has been
the case with the past several events this season, instability
looks marginal with modest theta-e advection and MLCAPE near or
below 500 j kg. Strong low-level forcing along and ahead of the
base of the upper trough will overcome this to an extent, with
40-50 knot winds just off the surface bringing a small threat for
strong wind gusts and perhaps a brief line-embedded tornado.

Guidance strongly supports a weakening trend of the convection as
it traverses the peninsula Thursday morning, a result of the base
of the upper trough and strongest low-level forcing lifting up
the eastern seaboard and away from the area.

Overnight lows forecast to be near or just above record warm low
minimums (upper 60s - near 70); however temperatures will likely
fall below these numbers after sunset Thursday as cooler and drier
air filters down the peninsula behind the front.

Aviation
Vfr conditions generally expected this evening. Isolated to scattered
showers may develop after midnight. However, best potential for tempo
ifr MVFR conditions will occur with squall line that will approach
klee toward 10z shifting eastward through the i-4 corridor 11-14z
and offshore brevard county and the treasure coast 15-18z Thursday.

Strong wind gusts will be the primary threat, but localized damaging
wind gusts will also be possible with this line. Added llws for tonight
through late morning Thursday, as low level southerly jet will increase
winds just off the surface up to 35-45 knots. Conditions then becoming
vfr into the afternoon from north to south as rain chances end across
the area.

Marine
Marine conditions deteriorate further overnight as south winds
increase to 20-25 knots nearshore, 25-30 knots (frequent gusts to
gale force) offshore ahead of an approaching strong cold front and
preceding squall line. Seas building up to 8-11 feet.

While a small craft advisory is in effect for all legs currently,
a gale warning will go into effect late tonight for our offshore
zones given potential for frequent gusts to gale force. Otherwise,
sca conditions will continue across the waters through Thursday
afternoon across the entire coastal waters, lingering offshore
into the early evening.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 66 72 43 59 70 90 0 0
mco 66 71 45 61 60 90 0 0
mlb 69 75 47 62 20 90 10 10
vrb 70 78 49 64 20 80 10 10
lee 64 69 41 60 80 90 0 0
sfb 65 71 43 61 70 90 0 0
orl 65 71 45 61 60 90 0 0
fpr 70 78 49 64 20 80 20 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Thursday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory until 3 am est Thursday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 am to 7 pm est Thursday for flagler
beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian
inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line
to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Gale warning from 3 am to 10 am est Thursday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term... Ulrich
long term... .Sedlock
aviation... 99


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 8 mi36 min 72°F7 ft
SIPF1 27 mi51 min S 21 72°F 73°F1016 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 62 mi48 min SSE 26 G 34 74°F 74°F1016.9 hPa
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 66 mi54 min SSE 20 G 25 70°F 66°F1015.4 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 71 mi36 min SSE 23 G 29 73°F 1015 hPa68°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL3 mi13 minSSE 15 G 2110.00 miOvercast74°F64°F71%1014.6 hPa
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL13 mi13 minSSE 1710.00 miOvercast73°F64°F76%1014.4 hPa
Witham Field Airport, FL21 mi11 minS 15 G 2810.00 miOvercast73°F64°F74%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from FPR (wind in knots)
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2 days agoNW4NW7NW6NW7NW7NW6NW6NW65N9N10
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Tide / Current Tables for St. Lucie, Indian River, Florida
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St. Lucie
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:12 AM EST     -0.58 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:58 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:43 AM EST     1.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:55 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:43 PM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.210.60.2-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.5-0.10.40.91.21.31.20.90.50.1-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.20.20.71.1

Tide / Current Tables for Oslo, Indian River, Florida
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Oslo
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:09 AM EST     0.36 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:21 AM EST     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:58 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:45 PM EST     0.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:55 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:00 PM EST     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.30.40.30.20-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.30.40.50.40.20-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.3-0.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.