Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cortez, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 7:46PM Sunday March 26, 2017 4:38 PM EDT (20:38 UTC) Moonrise 5:32AMMoonset 5:30PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 341 Pm Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Tonight..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming west late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming east toward morning. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast around 5 knots late in the morning...then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..West winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest around 5 knots late in the evening...then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..South winds increasing to around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 341 Pm Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Synopsis..Surface high pressure will maintain an east to southeast wind flow along with slight seas over the gulf waters tonight through much of the upcoming week...with a weak pressure pattern supporting an onshore sea breeze component developing along the coast each afternoon. A weakening cold front will approach and move into the northern gulf waters late Thursday night into Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cortez, FL
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location: 27.48, -82.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 261905
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
305 pm edt Sun mar 26 2017

Short term (tonight - Monday)
A short wave trough moving across the region this afternoon will
exit to the east of the forecast area tonight as upper and surface
ridging rebuilds in over the region through Monday. A decent sea
breeze combined with the presence of the short wave and adequate low
level moisture may support some isolated showers along the sea
breeze boundary from fort myers north to the tampa bay area during
the late afternoon and early evening hours, otherwise warm and dry
conditions are expected through Monday as drier air moves into the
region in the wake of the short wave and subsidence increases under
the upper ridge.

Temperatures will run above normal through the period with lows
tonight falling to around 60 across the nature coast, and lower to
mid 60s central and south with daytime highs on Monday climbing into
the lower to mid 80s inland area, except upper 70s to around 80
along the coast due to the afternoon sea breeze.

Mid term/long term (Monday night - Sunday)
The parade of cutoff lows moving across the desert southwest then
east northeast and weakening and opening up as they move across the
central and eastern u.S. Will continue. For our area these waves
will have little effect other than some maybe additional clouds for
most of the week as weak ridging persists across the area.

Therefore, the warm and mainly dry weather will continue through at
least Thursday. Late in the week a slightly stronger wave, at least
at this time according to the models, will move east and could bring
a few showers to the area Friday into Saturday. However, the trend
has been to weaken these systems and lift them further north as time
goes on so the prospect of seeing rain is not looking promising. For
now have continued the 20 to 30 pops across the nature coast Friday
and 20 pops for Friday night and Saturday across the northern and
central zones. Temperatures late week into the weekend will continue
above normal and could see readings approaching 90 over the
interior.

Aviation
A few shra may impact kpgd, kfmy, and krsw terminals
between 21-02z and have depicted vcsh at these sites for
now, otherwiseVFR is expected at all terminal sites during
the next 24 hours. East southeast winds in the 8 to 10 knot
range will become west to northwest after 20z as the west
coast sea breeze develops, with a east southeast winds at 4
to 6 knots returning to all sites after 02z tonight.

Marine
Surface high pressure over the western atlantic extending west
southwest across the north-central florida peninsula will maintain
light east to southeast winds and slight seas over the gulf waters
tonight through Thursday with a weak pressure pattern favoring an
onshore sea breeze component developing along the coast each
afternoon. During Thursday night southeast to south winds may
increase toward cautionary levels as the gradient tightens some as a
cold front approaches from the west with the weakening front then
moving into the northeastern gulf waters on Friday with winds
becoming southwest to west during the day.

Fire weather
Adequate low level moisture should keep humidity values above
critical levels through Monday with no fire weather hazards
or concerns expected. During Tuesday through Thursday pockets
of humidity values below 35 percent will be possible over
inland locations each afternoon, however light winds and erc
values just below 37 should preclude red flag conditions.

Some patchy fog may be possible over inland locations during
the late night and early morning hours the next few days, but
widespread coverage or visibility restrictions are not anticipated
at this time.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Tpa 65 80 64 81 / 10 0 0 0
fmy 62 83 62 84 / 20 0 0 0
gif 61 83 61 85 / 10 0 0 0
srq 63 79 61 81 / 10 0 0 0
bkv 59 82 56 83 / 10 0 0 0
spg 65 79 65 80 / 10 0 0 0

Tbw watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term/aviation/marine/fire weather... 57/mcmichael
mid term/long term/decision support... 69/close


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 13 mi50 min 74°F 75°F1017.6 hPa
MTBF1 14 mi50 min W 8.9 G 11 72°F 1018.6 hPa66°F
42098 15 mi38 min 72°F1 ft
CLBF1 18 mi104 min WSW 9.9 G 12 75°F 1017.7 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 20 mi56 min NE 4.1 G 5.1 82°F 72°F1017.8 hPa
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 25 mi68 min SSW 3.9 G 5.8 70°F 71°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 27 mi50 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 76°F 72°F1018.4 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 31 mi38 min W 6 G 7 74°F 71°F1017.9 hPa (-1.5)67°F
MCYF1 33 mi50 min 71°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 34 mi50 min E 2.9 G 5.1
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 34 mi56 min N 6 G 7
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 47 mi104 min W 11 G 12 73°F 1018.9 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL9 mi45 minW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F63°F60%1017.9 hPa
St. Petersburg Whitted Airport, FL20 mi45 minN 010.00 miFair83°F60°F46%1017.7 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW10W8W7W4NW3NE3E11SE8SE7E10SE10SE7E5E5E6E5E6E7SE10E8E6SW7W8W9
1 day agoNE9
G19
E12
G20
E15
G19
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G20
E13E12E10E9E7E7E6E7E8E7E7E6E6E8E11E735W11W11
2 days agoE18
G25
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G27
E17
G24
E13E17
G22
E14
G21
E12E12E10
G19
E12E10E9E7NE4NE6E8E11E15E16E16E16
G22
E14E14
G19
E13

Tide / Current Tables for Cortez, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Cortez
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:40 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:23 PM EDT     1.59 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:35 PM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.91.71.410.50.2-0-0.10.20.611.41.61.61.41.20.90.60.50.50.711.51.8

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:39 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:53 AM EDT     -1.70 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:34 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:44 AM EDT     1.70 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:47 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:26 PM EDT     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:41 PM EDT     1.59 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.5-0.3-1.1-1.6-1.7-1.5-1.1-0.40.31.11.61.71.30.6-0.2-0.8-1.1-1.1-0.8-0.30.411.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.