Sunrise 6:44 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 5:13 AM   Moonset 6:57 PM

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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 405 Am Edt Tue May 7 2024
Today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest this afternoon. Seas around 2 feet this morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 3 seconds, becoming south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 5 seconds, becoming south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday - West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 405 Am Edt Tue May 7 2024
Synopsis - High pressure will ridge from the atlantic across the waters through Thursday, with minimal rain chances and winds remaining less than 15 knots. A weak frontal boundary will wash out over the waters late in the week, bringing a slight increase in winds and elevating rain chances Friday through the weekend.

FXUS62 KTBW 070751 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 351 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 351 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

In the upper levels, broad high pressure will build into the central Gulf of Mexico today and shift east across Florida Wednesday and Thursday. At the surface, Atlantic high pressure will continue to ridge across the central Florida Peninsula, with light southerly/southeasterly flow turning onshore near the coast with the afternoon sea breeze. Enough moisture will be present for some isolated to scattered sea breeze showers and storms this afternoon, mainly over the interior, then drier air will fill in through the middle of the week. With the ridging aloft, some patchy fog will be possible Wednesday morning, mainly over the Nature Coast. Otherwise, the main forecast concern will be building temperatures under the stacked ridging, with high temperatures forecast to top out in the mid to upper 90s over the interior Wednesday through Friday.

Friday through Monday, a series of shortwaves will swing through the Great Lakes and eastern US, bringing a weak frontal boundary into Florida and washing out Friday night and Saturday. A secondary front will then follow up on Sunday night and Monday. Increasing moisture ahead of and along these frontal boundaries will result in increased rain chances Friday through early next week.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

A few showers or storms are expected to develop by around 19-20z this afternoon along sea breeze boundaries, with the highest chances over the interior around KLAL and over southwest Florida around KRSW, KFMY, and KPGD. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to hold through the next 24 hours.

MARINE
Issued at 351 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

Atlantic high pressure will ridge across Florida into the eastern Gulf of Mexico through Thursday, with generally south and southeast winds, turning onshore near the coast with the afternoon sea breeze.
Winds will remain less than 15 knots with seas of no more than 2 feet under mostly rain free conditions. The ridge will shift south Friday and Saturday as a front washes out over the waters, allowing winds to increase slightly and turn to southwesterly and westerly on Friday, then northwesterly and northerly on Saturday.
A few showers and storms will be possible Friday and Saturday, with locally gusty winds possible.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 351 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

Relative humidity will drop to near critically low levels this afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon. However, winds will not be high enough to trigger Red Flag conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 75 90 77 89 / 0 10 0 0 FMY 74 92 74 91 / 10 10 0 0 GIF 72 95 74 96 / 20 10 0 0 SRQ 72 88 74 87 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 66 91 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 77 87 78 86 / 0 0 0 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Cortez
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:51 AM EDT     1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:59 AM EDT     0.99 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:26 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:38 PM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cortez, Sarasota Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:02 AM EDT     1.89 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:32 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:22 AM EDT     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:09 AM EDT     1.60 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 01:51 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:32 PM EDT     -2.54 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:41 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots

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