Wednesday, May24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cortez, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 8:18PM Wednesday May 24, 2017 12:08 AM EDT (04:08 UTC) Moonrise 4:48AMMoonset 6:10PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 845 Pm Edt Tue May 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 am edt Wednesday through late Wednesday night...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to around 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday..South winds around 20 knots then becoming southwest 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to around 20 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Showers and a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Thursday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..Northwest winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Friday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 5 knots toward morning. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday..South winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..West winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet or less subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 845 Pm Edt Tue May 23 2017
Synopsis..Marine conditions will continue to deteriorate tonight into Thursday as a cold front approaches the region and moves south through the waters. Southwest winds will increase to around 20 knots tonight and then to 20 to 25 knots on Wednesday with gusts to gale force likely. Shower and Thunderstorm activity is likely starting tonight and continuing through the first part of Thursday. Once the front passes through...winds and seas will decrease for the end of the week and into this weekend as high pressure builds over the region.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cortez, FL
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location: 27.48, -82.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 240038
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
838 pm edt Tue may 23 2017

Update
An upper-level low continues to spin over iowa this evening and will
continue to drop southward through tonight, with increasing cyclonic
flow over the area. At the surface, the ridge axis has been shunted
to south of the state as low pressure moves through the southeast
with a trailing cold front. We had just a few scattered sea breeze
showers and thunderstorms inland today, but most areas remained dry.

We are now starting to see some scattered cells across our northern
counties this evening as the features mentioned above continue their
approach. Although the best dynamics will not be over the area until
tomorrow, some of the storms overnight could be on the strong side,
and the storm prediction center has outlined the nature coast area in
a marginal risk for severe weather. Overall, the forecast is on
track, but did make some minor edits to the pop and wx grids for
tonight and tomorrow.

Aviation
Vfr conditions are generally expected through most of tonight. An
approaching cold front will bring deteriorating conditions to the
region for much of Wednesday, with lowered cig and vis in showers and
thunderstorms possible starting in the morning and continuing through
the forecast period. Southwest winds will increase through the day,
with gusts to around 30 knots expected.

Marine
Marine conditions will continue to deteriorate tonight into Thursday
as a cold front approaches the region and moves south through the
waters. Southwest winds will increase to around 20 knots tonight and
then to 20 to 25 knots on Wednesday with gusts to gale force likely.

Shower and thunderstorm activity is likely starting tonight and
continuing through the first part of Thursday. Once the front passes
through, winds and seas will decrease for the end of the week and
into this weekend as high pressure builds over the region.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 78 82 73 83 30 80 70 30
fmy 77 86 75 85 10 70 80 60
gif 75 84 70 83 20 80 80 40
srq 79 83 74 82 20 80 80 30
bkv 74 80 68 82 40 90 70 30
spg 78 82 73 82 20 80 80 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Coastal flood watch from 2 am edt Wednesday through
Thursday morning for coastal citrus-coastal hernando-
coastal hillsborough-coastal levy-coastal manatee-
coastal pasco-coastal sarasota-pinellas.

High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for
coastal charlotte-coastal hillsborough-coastal lee-
coastal manatee-coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Gulf waters... Small craft advisory from 4 am Wednesday to 5 am edt
Thursday for coastal waters from englewood to tarpon
springs fl out 20 nm-tampa bay waters-waters from
englewood to tarpon springs fl out 20 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 8 am Wednesday to 5 am edt
Thursday for charlotte harbor and pine island sound-
coastal waters from bonita beach to englewood fl out
20 nm-waters from bonita beach to englewood fl out 20
to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory until 5 am edt Thursday for coastal
waters from tarpon springs to suwannee river fl out
20 nm-waters from tarpon springs to suwannee river fl
out 20 to 60 nm.

Update aviation marine... 05 carlisle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 13 mi50 min 80°F 83°F1011.1 hPa
MTBF1 14 mi50 min SW 17 G 20 81°F 1011.9 hPa75°F
CLBF1 18 mi74 min SSW 13 G 17 82°F 1011.1 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 20 mi56 min SSW 12 G 15 81°F 83°F1011.3 hPa
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 25 mi98 min SSW 14 G 18 81°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 27 mi50 min SSW 18 G 22 81°F 83°F1011.7 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 31 mi68 min SSW 17 G 19 81°F 85°F1011.9 hPa (+0.7)75°F
MCYF1 33 mi50 min 86°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 34 mi56 min S 9.9 G 18
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 34 mi50 min SSW 14 G 19
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 35 mi50 min S 24 G 26 81°F 83°F1011 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 47 mi134 min SSW 19 G 22 81°F 1010.4 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL9 mi15 minSSW 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F73°F79%1011.2 hPa
St. Petersburg Whitted Airport, FL20 mi15 minSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F73°F85%1010.6 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4S7SW5SE5S5SE7SE6S11
G16
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SW15SW14S13SW15
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1 day agoE10SE12
G17
SE7SE4SE3CalmCalmE3CalmS6S6S8SW9SW10SW10SW13SW12SW11W11SW7SW5S5SW6S6
2 days agoNE3E7E3E6E4NE3E6E5E7E7SE6SW6SW7SW10W12W11W10W9W10W8NW8NE3CalmS5

Tide / Current Tables for Cortez, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Cortez
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:09 AM EDT     1.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:35 AM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:06 AM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:05 PM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.61.41.210.90.91.11.51.92.32.42.32.11.71.20.60.2-0.1-0.3-0.10.20.71.1

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:45 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:45 AM EDT     -0.69 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:03 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:48 AM EDT     1.61 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:01 PM EDT     -2.39 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:08 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.71.20.5-0.2-0.6-0.7-0.5-00.51.11.51.61.30.5-0.5-1.5-2.2-2.4-2.2-1.7-1-0.10.81.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.