Sunrise 6:51 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM Moonrise 11:53 PM   Moonset 9:07 AM

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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 216 Pm Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
.small craft exercise caution - .
Tonight - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Monday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Monday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.Thursday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday - East winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 216 Pm Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Synopsis - High pressure with a tight pressure gradient remains over the waters with choppy elevated westward propagating seas with cautionary level conditions ongoing and to continue through the easterly surge this evening. The sea state begins to improve Monday through mid week as winds lighten and the sea breeze returns by mid week with winds turning onshore during the afternoons along the coast.

FXUS62 KTBW 281738 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 138 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

DISCUSSION
Ridging aloft remains over the region but is finally weakening and shifting Eward as several shortwaves impact the ridge from the W.
Another easterly surge this evening to keep the occasionally gusty conditions in place with warm and dry temps. Strong high pressure is expected to slowly weaken in the W Atlantic Monday through mid week allowing the gradient to relax with a return of the bay and sea breezes during the afternoons.

The stronger shortwave is expected to bring upper energy through the region Tuesday afternoon with a chance of diurnal seabreeze initiated showers mainly over interior areas in Tue evening.
There may be enough residual energy and moisture lingering over the area for a slight chance of showers Wed afternoon into evening as well.

By Thu and into next weekend, stacked ridging builds back over the region with the warm and mainly dry conditions returning.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
VFR conditions with combination of cirrus aloft and diurnal SCT lcl BKN050 cumulus clouds with gusty easterly winds through the evening surge. Like last few nights winds decrease overnight and clouds fade. The gradient is expected to slightly weaken Monday for not as gusty winds.

MARINE
High pressure with a tight pressure gradient remains over the waters with choppy elevated westward propagating seas with cautionary level conditions ongoing and to continue through the easterly surge this evening. The sea state begins to improve Monday through mid week as winds lighten and the sea breeze returns by mid week with winds turning onshore during the afternoons along the coast.

FIRE WEATHER
Warm and dry high pressure continues over the region with occasionally gusty easterly flow and a few hours of low RH values along with occasionally gusty winds and high dispersions in some areas through Monday. Fire weather risk remains somewhat elevated with these conditions, however, fuels expected to remain moist enough to preclude additional concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 66 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 10 FMY 66 88 67 88 / 0 10 0 20 GIF 62 86 66 87 / 0 0 0 30 SRQ 65 88 67 87 / 0 0 0 10 BKV 58 88 61 88 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 70 85 72 85 / 0 0 0 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Bradenton, Manatee River, Florida, Tide feet

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Sun -- 12:35 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:22 AM EDT     1.21 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:27 AM EDT     0.29 knots Min Flood
Sun -- 10:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:05 PM EDT     1.10 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:02 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:50 PM EDT     -1.75 knots Max Ebb
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current, knots

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