Wednesday, February20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holmes Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 6:26PM Wednesday February 20, 2019 2:47 AM EST (07:47 UTC) Moonrise 7:50PMMoonset 7:58AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 826 Pm Est Tue Feb 19 2019
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Patchy sea fog reducing visibility to 1 nautical mile or less.
Wednesday..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Patchy sea fog reducing visibility to 1 nautical mile or less.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..South winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 826 Pm Est Tue Feb 19 2019
Synopsis.. A weak and diffuse front near tampa bay and the gulf waters to the west meanders in place through tonight then lifts north Wednesday as a warm front. Atlantic high pressure begins to build in across florida to the gulf of mexico during Wednesday and settles in for the rest of the week. SEa fog offshore this afternoon is expected to drift into the coastal waters later tonight and early Wednesday morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holmes Beach, FL
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location: 27.51, -82.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 200736
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
236 am est Wed feb 20 2019

Near record and record warmth continues...

high and low temperatures to remain 10 to 15 degrees above
normal next 7 days. It was this warm in 2018 on this date.

Normal lows are in the 50s while normal highs are in the mid
70s.

Discussion
A warm front was near crystal river early this morning
based on surface dew point temperatures and the low clouds
north of the front. A strong temperature inversion at 8.6
kft will limit rain chances today to isolated low topped
showers.

Strong subtropical ridge to keep area much above normal
through Sunday with isolated to scattered showers. Our area
is on the west end of a large ridge axis that extended
eastward into the atlantic. Low rain chances along a gulf
coast sea breeze front that forms each afternoon through the
weekend.

A weak cold front moves through the area Sunday night, will
stall in central florida Monday. A second shot of cooler air
moves in early Tuesday. Impulses on fast zonal flow aloft
is forecast to bring a good chance of rain north of
brooksville Tuesday. Will not hit the chance too hard as
this is on day 7 and subtle changes in model run in a fast
zonal flow can have a big difference in perceived weather.

Aviation
Small batch of bkn060 with isolated bkn020 and -ra will
move in southwest florida at 0730z reach tpa by 10z. Clear
skies and light winds behind batch of clouds with the best
chance of fog in southwest florida until 16z. Weather
expected to beVFR after 16z at all terminals.

Marine
High pressure will dominate with southerly winds 10 to 15
knots and seas 3 feet or less.

Fire weather
High humidity through the weekend means fire weather
criteria will not be reached. Will have to watch out for
late night fog each night.

Climate Record highs for today...

brooksville (bkv) - 87 2018
tampa (tpa) - 89 2018
st pete clearwater (pie) - 88 2018
plant city (pcm) - 89 2018
lakeland (lal) - 90 1988
winter haven (gif) - 88 2018
punta gorda (pgd) - 90 2018
fort myers (fmy) - 89 1989
fort myers (rsw) - 86 2018
sarasota (srq) - 90 2018

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 84 69 85 69 10 10 20 10
fmy 86 68 87 67 10 10 30 10
gif 85 66 88 67 20 30 20 20
srq 82 67 82 67 10 10 10 10
bkv 86 66 87 65 40 10 10 10
spg 84 69 84 68 0 10 10 10

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Forecast aviation marine fire weather... 72 noah
decision support... 74 wynn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTBF1 12 mi48 min SE 8.9 G 11 69°F 1019.4 hPa (-1.4)66°F
PMAF1 12 mi48 min 69°F 71°F1019.2 hPa (-1.4)
42098 13 mi48 min 68°F2 ft
CLBF1 16 mi114 min E 4.1 G 8 75°F 1018.9 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi54 min ESE 4.1 G 8 71°F 71°F1019.6 hPa
GCTF1 21 mi48 min 71°F 67°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 25 mi48 min ESE 5.1 G 7 71°F 72°F1019.6 hPa (-1.2)
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 26 mi78 min E 9.7 G 12 70°F 69°F1019 hPa
MCYF1 32 mi48 min 72°F
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 33 mi48 min ESE 6 G 12 72°F 70°F1019.5 hPa (-1.3)
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 33 mi48 min ENE 5.1 G 8
VENF1 - Venice, FL 33 mi48 min E 8.9 G 11 71°F 69°F69°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 45 mi114 min SE 5.1 G 7 73°F 1020.6 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL11 mi55 minESE 1010.00 miFair71°F66°F87%1018.3 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi55 minESE 810.00 miFair71°F66°F84%1018.9 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE5NE6NE5NE7E7--E7E6SE96S5W7W6W7SW6S3S3SE4E4E9SE10SE10E10
1 day agoSE9SE8SE6SE7SE6SE7S8S11S10S12--S13S10S9S8S7S4S5CalmSE3CalmE4SE3NE3
2 days agoSE4E3SE5SE4SE5SE4S9S9S15
G20
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--S17S15S15S12S9--S8S7S8SE7SE6SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Anna Maria Key, Bradenton Beach, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Anna Maria Key
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:13 AM EST     -0.65 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:57 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:36 PM EST     1.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:45 PM EST     0.47 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:25 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:49 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:41 PM EST     2.12 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.81.20.60-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.20.20.71.11.31.41.210.70.50.50.611.41.82.1

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:06 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:41 AM EST     -2.30 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:57 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:28 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:32 PM EST     1.89 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:53 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:14 PM EST     -0.93 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:25 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:49 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:48 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.510.1-0.9-1.7-2.2-2.3-2-1.3-0.50.51.31.81.81.40.7-0.1-0.7-0.9-0.8-0.50.10.81.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.