Saturday, May27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Bradenton, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 8:20PM Saturday May 27, 2017 7:46 AM EDT (11:46 UTC) Moonrise 7:31AMMoonset 9:29PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 331 Am Edt Sat May 27 2017
Today..North winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming north around 5 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 331 Am Edt Sat May 27 2017
Synopsis..High pressure builds into the gulf of mexico which will produce lighter winds of 10 knots or less and will persist through the weekend and into next week. No other marine impacts expected.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Bradenton, FL
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location: 27.52, -82.65     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 271123
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
723 am edt Sat may 27 2017

Aviation (27 12z through 28 12z)
Benign aviation forecast through the TAF period for all
terminals. Continued dry atmosphere will keep skies mostly
clear... With only a few passing cirrus at times later in the
forecast period. Winds light and variable early this morning
will shift onshore w-wnw 8-12 knots this afternoon... With
sea-breeze progressively moving inland after 17z. Winds
diminish and become light and variable once again a few
hours after sunset. Some slight potential for shallow MVFR
type ground fog toward dawn Sunday for klal kpgd, however,
confidence still low enough to exclude mention with current
tafs.

Prev discussion issued 327 am edt Sat may 27 2017
short term (today - Sunday)...

the upper troughing that has dominated the east coast the past
couple of days has moved east away from the area into the western
atlantic. Upper level ridging with a weak zonal flow will set up
over the region for the next couple of days. On the surface, high
pressure has set up over the eastern gulf of mexico just to the west
of tampa bay. This pattern will maintain control of the weather with
sunny skies and warm temperatures through the weekend.

Long term (Sunday night-Friday)...

high amplitude u l pattern expected across much of the CONUS during
the upcoming week. A sharp u l ridge will be over western north
america early in the week with a cut-off low downstream over the
northern great lakes which will drift north toward southern hudson
bay. A strong u l ridge will be located over the florida peninsula.

By mid week and continuing through the remainder of the week, an
anomalously strong trough and associated S W disturbance for early
june will dig over the western u.S. And baja california. The u l
ridge over florida will shift east of the region with heights
gradually lowering as weak quasi-zonal flow develops across the
southern tier of the u.S.

At the surface, a large area of high pressure will be located over
the central atlantic with the ridge axis extending across the
florida peninsula. A weak frontal boundary will sink slowly south
over the southeastern states by mid week and will stall north of the
forecast area. The western extent of the atlantic ridge axis will
shift a bit east by mid week, with another area of high pressure
pushing across the ohio river valley. The florida peninsula will be
along the periphery of both of these regions of high pressure which
will create weak boundary layer flow across the forecast area with
afternoon sea breeze activity driving direction and strength of
surface winds... With winds becoming light and variable each night.

Deep layer dry air will persist over the region Monday with large
scale subsidence over the area due to the strong u l ridge. Partly
cloudy skies, dry conditions, and above normal temperatures will
continue. The u l ridge will shift east by mid week which will
decrease large scale subsidence over the area. Deep layer moisture
will gradually increase with a chance of an afternoon shower or
thunderstorm developing Tuesday afternoon. Due to weak boundary
layer flow, afternoon sea breeze boundary is expected to push well
inland with west coast sea breeze colliding with the east coast sea
breeze over the interior peninsula each afternoon. Increasing deep
layer moisture mid late week will allow better areal coverage of
afternoon shower thunderstorm activity with highest pops over the
interior. Although temperatures are expected to remain above normal
through the period, afternoon high temperatures will be a few
degrees lower late in the week due to slightly lower heights,
increased moisture cloud cover, and afternoon thunderstorm
activity.

Marine...

high pressure builds into the gulf of mexico which will produce
lighter winds of 10 knots or less and will persist through the
weekend and into next week. No other marine impacts expected.

Fire weather...

high pressure builds into the area which will allow for rain-free
conditions and drier air to filter into the area. Humidity levels
over the interior will briefly dip below 35 percent on Saturday,
which combined with elevated erc values has led to the issuance of a
red flag warning for polk county on Saturday afternoon. Humidity
levels increase on Sunday and into next week with no other fire
weather concerns expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 88 73 89 76 0 0 10 0
fmy 93 72 92 73 0 0 0 0
gif 93 68 94 73 0 0 0 0
srq 84 71 86 74 0 0 10 0
bkv 91 64 90 70 0 10 10 0
spg 87 74 88 76 0 0 10 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Red flag warning from noon today to 7 pm edt this evening
for highlands-polk.

Gulf waters... None.

Aviation... Mroczka
previous discussion... Wynn oglesby


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi47 min 65°F 79°F1017.1 hPa (+0.4)
MTBF1 10 mi47 min ESE 8 G 8 70°F 1018 hPa (+0.3)64°F
CLBF1 15 mi113 min N 1.9 G 2.9 70°F 1016.9 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 17 mi47 min NE 1.9 G 2.9 73°F 82°F1017.3 hPa (+0.3)
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 24 mi47 min E 2.9 G 5.1 69°F 80°F1017.9 hPa (+0.4)
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 28 mi77 min N 7.8 G 9.7 81°F
MCYF1 30 mi47 min 83°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 31 mi47 min E 1.9 G 2.9
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 31 mi53 min NNE 1 G 1.9
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 33 mi47 min W 1 G 2.9 77°F 81°F1017.9 hPa (+0.4)
VENF1 - Venice, FL 33 mi47 min E 7 G 8 67°F 81°F1017.6 hPa (+0.9)63°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 44 mi113 min NW 1.9 G 4.1 75°F 1018.1 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL10 mi54 minE 310.00 miFair64°F62°F93%1017.1 hPa
St. Petersburg Whitted Airport, FL17 mi54 minNNE 310.00 miFair74°F64°F71%1017.1 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL24 mi49 minNE 310.00 miFair62°F60°F96%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4NE3CalmSE3W5W8W9W11W10W9W9W8W7NW4N3NW5NW4CalmCalmN3N3N3E3E3
1 day agoNW12NW13NW13NW11NW12W12W10W11W12NW8W7NW8NW4NW3CalmCalmN3CalmN3N3N4CalmN3E3
2 days agoS15
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G27
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G36
W17SW16
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SW18
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W14
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W17W12W12W12

Tide / Current Tables for Cortez, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Cortez
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:19 AM EDT     1.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:09 AM EDT     1.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:59 PM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:37 PM EDT     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.611.31.41.41.31.31.21.31.51.92.32.62.72.62.31.91.30.70.2-0.2-0.5-0.5-0.3

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:07 AM EDT     1.77 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM EDT     -0.16 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:44 PM EDT     1.46 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:36 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:38 PM EDT     -2.10 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:45 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.91.51.81.61.20.70.2-0.1-0.10.10.511.41.51.10.5-0.3-1.1-1.7-2-2.1-1.8-1.3-0.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.