Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Green Springs, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 8:16PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 5:46 AM EDT (09:46 UTC) Moonrise 10:54PMMoonset 8:46AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 418 Am Edt Wed May 22 2019
Today..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..East winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots toward morning. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..East winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..East winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots toward morning. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night..East winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 418 Am Edt Wed May 22 2019
Synopsis.. A strong ridge of high pressure north of the waters will result in mainly easterly winds weak sea breezes near the coast through Thursday. Easterly surges of 15 to 20 knots are possible tonight, Thursday night, and Friday night. The ridge will shift south into the waters over the weekend resulting in lighter winds with stronger sea breezes each day.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Green Springs, FL
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location: 27.53, -82     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 220748
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
348 am edt Wed may 22 2019

Discussion (today - Tuesday)
A deep-layered ridge north of florida will gradually sink
south into florida over the next several days. This feature
will control our weather right through Tuesday, and possibly
for several days beyond.

What this means for us is more of the same... Lots of
sunshine and very warm to hot conditions.

Today may be the last day that we could potentially squeeze
out a few showers during the late afternoon or evening
hours. There could be enough moisture between the surface
and 10,000 feet for some low topped convection, especially
along the west coast sea breeze boundary this evening. The
overall rain chances will be less than 20 percent so will
not include in the forecast at this time.

Drier air moves in after today resulting in a hostile
atmosphere for shower development for the next several days.

The earliest we may see moisture return is Sunday as the
low-level ridge begins to shift into the atlantic allowing
southeasterly flow to bring some moisture back our way.

Still, with such strong ridging aloft, it's unlikely we'll
see any significant shower activity through the beginning of
next week.

With the surface high center to our north through Saturday,
we'll see easterly surges move across the state during the
late afternoon and evening hours. Any sea breeze that
develops during the afternoon hours will be quickly
displaced into the gulf.

Temperatures will average at least 5 degrees above normal
through the forecast period. There will be some relief from
the heat along the immediate coast with the sea breeze each
day, especially Sunday through Tuesday as the ridge begins
to relax its hold on the region.

Aviation
Vfr next 24 hours. Multiple wind shifts likely at coastal
taf sites with sea breeze developing after 15z, then
easterly surge pushes through late afternoon early evening.

Marine
Scattered showers over the waters this morning should
gradually diminish as the easterly winds abate and coastal
sea breezes take shape. The only real concern is the
potential for easterly surges of 15 to 20 knots tonight,
Thursday night, and Friday night. These surges usually only
last a few hours and tend to push off the coast during the
late afternoon or early evening hours.

Fire weather
Main fire weather concern for the next several days will be
the hot and dry conditions along with high dispersions.

Minimum relative humidities will run between 30 and 40
percent during the hottest part of each afternoon. Red flag
conditions are not expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 92 73 92 72 10 0 0 0
fmy 93 71 92 70 0 0 0 0
gif 94 71 92 70 0 0 0 0
srq 91 71 91 70 10 0 10 0
bkv 94 66 93 64 10 0 0 0
spg 91 76 90 75 10 0 10 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... Jillson
decision support... Mckaughan


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 31 mi53 min 74°F 85°F1015.6 hPa
GCTF1 32 mi47 min 78°F 1015.8 hPa (+0.0)71°F
MTBF1 33 mi47 min SSE 12 G 14 76°F 1015.7 hPa (-0.3)70°F
MCYF1 35 mi47 min 86°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 36 mi47 min ESE 7 G 9.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 36 mi47 min E 1.9 G 4.1
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 37 mi47 min SE 5.1 G 9.9 77°F 84°F1015.9 hPa (-0.0)
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 37 mi53 min SSE 5.1 G 9.9 77°F 83°F1016.2 hPa
CLBF1 39 mi113 min ESE 2.9 G 8 77°F 1015 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 40 mi47 min E 6 G 7 75°F 83°F1015.6 hPa (-0.0)71°F

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL31 mi54 minSE 510.00 miFair74°F69°F85%1015.1 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5E5SE6SE6SE4SW8SW10SW10SW10SW10SW9W8SW8W7W7W5W4N3E7E6SE6E7SE7SE5
1 day agoNE5E6E6E335SW7W7W11W9W11W12W10W9NW10NW5N3SE6SE8SE8SE6SE7SE4E4
2 days agoE5E6E6SE8SE9SE55W9W9W10W10W11W10W10NW9NW8NW6CalmNE4SE6E4NE4E3NE3

Tide / Current Tables for Redfish Point, Manatee River, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Redfish Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:51 AM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:30 AM EDT     1.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:26 PM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.10.20.60.91.11.21.31.31.31.31.41.61.92.22.32.32.21.91.51.10.70.30

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:29 AM EDT     1.24 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:33 AM EDT     1.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:04 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.10.20.50.811.21.21.21.21.21.31.51.722.22.32.221.71.30.80.40.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.