Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Vero Beach, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 8:21PM Thursday June 20, 2019 7:51 PM EDT (23:51 UTC) Moonrise 10:11PMMoonset 8:15AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 356 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 3 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 356 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
Synopsis..The atlantic high pressure ridge axis will remain over south florida through late week with an offshore wind flow. The ridge axis will weaken this weekend but remain across the south central florida peninsula.
Gulf stream hazards..Southwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots well offshore this evening. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday june 18th. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vero Beach, FL
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location: 27.67, -80.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 201748
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
149 pm edt Thu jun 20 2019

Discussion
Lower rain chances will bring hotter temperatures next few days...

current-tonight... Very warm temperatures into the l-m90s nearly
areawide this afternoon with heat index values into the u90s and
l100s. The low-level ridge axis will remain suppressed across the
southern fl peninsula. A swrly flow regime will continue across the
area. The east coast sea breeze is forecast to develop this
afternoon along the treasure coast, but inland movement may be
futile with the deeper opposing flow. This feature may be pinned
along the coast further northward into brevard county as well.

Deeper moisture that we have witnessed over the past several days
has shifted north and east as drier air infiltrates the region.

Expecting lower coverage of showers and storms, but should
still see isold-sct convection developing this afternoon with
westerly steering flow 20-25 mph or a little quicker. Storm impacts
remain torrential downpours, cloud to ground lightning strikes, and
gusty winds up to 50 mph in strongest activity, as there will be
drier air aloft.

Diurnal convection will end by sunset so no mentionable pops for the
late evening or overnight, though will include pre-first period
wording in afternoon zone package with sunset wording. Overnight
lows remain mild and generally in the l-m70s with humid conditions.

Previous extended forecast discussion...

Friday-Saturday... Ridge building across the southern peninsula late
this week will effectively suppress higher rain chances through
Saturday. Generally, pwats will range from 1.3-1.6", with a sliver
of 2.00" across NE fl. This area of slightly higher moisture is
where the focus for rain chances resides, with chance pops north of
the CAPE on both days. Fri will be dry across the southern forecast
area, however by Sat morning, higher pw slides southward, allowing
for 20-30% for the treasure coast lake o region. Ridge over the west
peninsula gomex will maintain W SW flow, restricting the east coast
sea breeze development in the afternoon. As a result, forecast highs
will return to above normal values, approaching the mid 90s for the
interior, low 90s along the coast and overnight mins in the low to
mid 70s.

Next week... Drier pattern transitions back to "typical" on Sunday,
with pops capped at 50% each day through mid week. Weakening ridge
over the gomex will allow higher moisture to flow across the region,
sending pwats back to above 2.00". Weakening feature will also
lessen the grip of westerly flow, allowing for sea breeze
development each afternoon. Thus, the "convective collision"
returns, with the chance of shower and thunderstorm development each
afternoon over the interior, pushing back to the eastern coast.

Afternoon temps will moderate back to the low 90s upper 80s with
seasonable lows in the 70s.

Aviation Vfr conditions prevail, except there is the possibility
of vicinity TS along the coast from mlb south to vrb fpr sua from
20z-24z late this afternoon. Threat looks to be very isolated so any
tempo groups will depend on if where any convection develops.

Otherwise, just a few spotty showers from tix ism northward through
late afternoon, and stout west winds continue through sunset with
gusts up to 20 knots.

Marine Remainder of afternoon-tonight... Ridge axis remains
suppressed south of the local waters promoting a general swrly flow.

The east coast sea breeze may back winds along the treasure coast
this afternoon and possibly as far north as into brevard county, but
inland movement will be slow to nil due to the deeper opposing flow.

We may see winds more southerly over the open atlc, but winds across
all zones should veer back to SW this evening overnight. We may see
another nocturnal wind surge prompting another caution headline well
offshore for winds 15-20 kts. Generally winds elsewhere will
decrease to 10-15 kts during the night.

Drier air aloft will significantly reduce the coverage of offshore
moving showers and storms this afternoon early evening. Storm
impacts include cloud to water lightning and gusty winds of over 34
kts in some cells. Seas 2-3 ft, except up to 4 feet well offshore
volusia county.

Previous extended forecast marine discussion...

Friday-Monday... Building ridge across the fl peninsula will maintain
westerly flow through the weekend, with winds 5-10 kts and seas 2-3
ft. This will limit east coast sea breeze development, likely
pinning onshore flow to the immediate coast. Lower rain chances fri-
sat, with a return to scattered showers storms sun-mon.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 75 92 75 94 0 30 20 30
mco 76 96 75 96 0 20 10 20
mlb 75 94 75 94 10 10 10 20
vrb 73 94 72 95 10 10 0 20
lee 77 93 77 95 0 20 10 20
sfb 77 95 77 96 0 30 10 30
orl 77 95 77 96 0 20 10 30
fpr 72 95 72 95 10 10 0 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

All forecast grids... Sedlock
radar impact weather... .Johnson
aviation... Rodriguez


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 11 mi51 min 82°F2 ft
SIPF1 14 mi51 min SSE 13 81°F 81°F1016 hPa (-1.0)
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 53 mi51 min SE 8.9 G 14 82°F 80°F1016.2 hPa (-0.6)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 59 mi31 min S 14 G 18 82°F 80°F1014.7 hPa78°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 75 mi51 min S 15 G 17 84°F 83°F1017.6 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL3 mi58 minSE 1210.00 miA Few Clouds87°F77°F72%1015.5 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL12 mi58 minNNE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy89°F75°F65%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3N8W3W8SW5S5S4S4S4S4CalmSW5S7SW7SW10SW10SW11SW10S8S9E8S4SE13SE12
1 day agoSE8S5SW8W7NW3W3SW4SW4SW4SW5SW3SW4S8SW10SW13SW12SW10S9SW11SW8--S11S12N5
2 days agoS6S8SE9S6S4S4S6S7S6S5CalmS7S8S8S11S11S11S8SW7S9
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Tide / Current Tables for Vero Beach (ocean), Florida
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Vero Beach (ocean)
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:31 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:26 AM EDT     3.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:38 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:03 PM EDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.12.31.50.70.30.30.71.42.12.83.23.12.721.20.50-0.10.311.82.73.33.5

Tide / Current Tables for Oslo, Indian River, Florida
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Oslo
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:23 AM EDT     0.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:40 AM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:14 PM EDT     0.22 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:23 PM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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00.20.40.40.40.30.20-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.10.10.20.20.20.1-0-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.