Sunrise 6:46 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 3:27 AM   Moonset 3:37 PM

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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 401 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Today - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots early this afternoon, then becoming west late. Seas around 2 feet this morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds, becoming west 1 foot at 2 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Tonight - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: west 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Sunday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: west 1 foot at 2 seconds and east 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Wave detail: northwest 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 4 seconds, becoming north 1 foot at 2 seconds and east 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 2 seconds and east 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Monday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: west 1 foot at 2 seconds and east 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 401 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis - Atlantic high pressure ridging into the northeastern gulf of mexico this weekend will slide south by mid week, with southeasterly winds becoming more southerly by Wednesday. Winds will turn onshore near the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze. A few showers or storms will be possible each day, mainly in the afternoon and early evening hours. Otherwise, winds will remain less than 15 knots with seas of no more than 2 feet.

FXUS62 KTBW 041045 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 645 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

New AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

An upper level ridge is currently extending from Florida north into eastern Canada, while surface high pressure over the Atlantic ridges across northern Florida into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. This surface ridge will hold through the weekend and early next week, then shift south during the middle to later portion of the week.
Southeasterly/easterly flow the next few days will become more southerly during the second half of the week, with daily sea breeze circulations turning winds onshore near the coast each afternoon.

Enough moisture will be present to allow for isolated to scattered showers and storms this afternoon along sea breeze boundaries.
Moisture will increase slightly on Sunday, leading to higher rain chances, then drier air will start to shift in through the first half of the work week and limit rain chances. Otherwise, the stacked ridging will lead to building temperatures, with afternoon highs climbing into the mid 90s over the interior Wednesday through Friday. Despite the warm temperatures, heat index values are forecast to remain around 100 or less, and will not approach local Heat Advisory thresholds (108).

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

VFR conditions persist across the terminals. Isolated to scattered showers/storms will develop later this afternoon (after 21z). A few of these showers/storms could impact the terminals. For now, have only mentioned VCSH at KRSW, KFMY, KPGD, and KLAL. Will continue to monitor conditions throughout the day to evaluate the need of VCTS/TSRA in the terminals.

MARINE
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Atlantic high pressure will ridge into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico through the rest of the weekend and into early next week, with southeasterly flow turning onshore near the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze. The ridge will drift south Tuesday and Wednesday, with winds becoming slightly more southerly. Wind speeds will remain below headline criteria. Rain chances will remain low, but a few sea breeze storms could drift into the waters each day during the afternoon and evening hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Relative humidity may briefly drop to critically low levels each afternoon this weekend, mainly over the interior. However, wind speeds are not forecast to be fast enough to cause Red Flag Conditions. Otherwise, spotty high dispersion indices will be possible each afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 89 73 89 73 / 20 20 30 10 FMY 90 70 90 70 / 30 30 40 20 GIF 91 70 90 69 / 30 20 50 10 SRQ 89 71 89 71 / 20 20 30 10 BKV 91 65 90 65 / 20 20 40 10 SPG 87 75 87 74 / 20 20 30 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Pass-a-Grille Beach
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Sat -- 04:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:27 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:52 AM EDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:58 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:56 PM EDT     1.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pass-a-Grille Beach, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
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Sat -- 03:03 AM EDT     -1.36 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:52 AM EDT     1.59 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 12:54 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:49 PM EDT     -1.36 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:12 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:20 PM EDT     1.41 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots

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