Sunday, July22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wabasso Beach, FL

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:18PM Sunday July 22, 2018 12:25 PM EDT (16:25 UTC) Moonrise 3:12PMMoonset 1:37AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1148 Am Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
This afternoon..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Numerous showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Numerous showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1148 Am Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
Synopsis..A trough of low pressure will remain over or just west of florida through mid week, resulting in a moderate southwest flow today, becoming southerly Monday. By mid to late week, the trough will weaken and a high pressure ridge will build from the bahamas to the far southern peninsula. This will cause the southerly flow by weaken by Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday july 22nd. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wabasso Beach, FL
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location: 27.74, -80.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 221427
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
1027 am edt Sun jul 22 2018

Update
Today-tonight... Rather anomalous trough aloft over the southeast
states will dig slowly towards our area and provide deep, gradually
increasing westerly flow. Deep convection developing to our north
is forecast to expand southward through this afternoon, with another
large scale outflow boundary dropping down into the area and
bringing a chance for strong-severe storms late this afternoon and
into the evening.

The hrrr model has been showing this basic convective evolution, but
also shows minimal convection out ahead of the outflow boundary.

This would seem underdone given early morning dew points in the
upper 70s across most of the area (a few locations even had 80-81
degrees). Also, morning soundings across central florida showed
precipitable water a little above normal (1.8 to 1.9 inches).

There was some distinct drying in the mid levels though, and
convection over the eastern gulf this morning was less than
yesterday. 500mb temps were around minus 6 but with MAX temps
reaching the low-mid 90s, expect isolated to scattered storms to
initiate this afternoon and move east southeast across the peninsula
ahead of the larger scale forced storms dropping down from the
north.

So even though the gfs, and mos, indicated likely pops areawide,
will have to trend them down across the south half. Will keep
likely values in the north today and have bumped them up to likely
there this evening.

With large scale forcing impacting the area and drier mid level air
in place, some of the storms dropping down into the north half of
the area will have the potential to produce strong and damaging wind
gusts by late afternoon and continuing into the evening hours. The
storm prediction center has a slight risk for severe storms there,
which is quite unusual for late july in east central florida.

Aviation MostlyVFR conditions this morning. Two rounds
of shra tsra will be possible for most TAF sites. The first will be
starting by early in the afternoon as convection moves from west to
east across the peninsula. A second, and stronger batch of storms
is expected to drop down from the north in association with a large
scale outflow boundary. Increasing low-mid level winds and dry air
aloft should lead to a potential for a rather widespread area of
strong wind gusts over 35 knots especially from kism-kmco-ktix
northward late this afternoon and into the evening.

Marine
Today-tonight... A rather decent gradient for this time of the year
wil support southwest winds 10-15 knots, and even a solid 15 knots
tonight offshore. While these offshore winds won't build seas that
much (3 feet offshore and possibly 4 feet well offshore), any
boaters racing back to shore to avoid strong storms spreading over
the waters will experience a rough wind chop.

Mariners should be especially vigilant this afternoon as a large
scale outflow boundary will be racing southward again into the
northern waters this afternoon. Widespread winds 35 knots or
greater are expected to push down to at least CAPE canaveral by
sunset (special marine warnings will be likely). Additional strong
storms, though more isolated, are expected to push offshore south of
there this afternoon evening.

Hydrology
The saint johns river ranges from near action stage to near flood
stage between geneva and astor. Little change is expected into mid
week.

Near geneva, just south of lake harney, the most recent stage was
8.0 feet, which is at flood stage (8.0 feet). The river is forecast
to stay nearly steady through mid week. A river flood warning
remains in effect for this area.

At sanford, the most recent stage was 4.9 feet, which is above
action stage (4.2 feet). The river is forecast to remain nearly
steady, staying below flood stage (5.5 feet) through mid week.

Near deland, the most recent stage was 3.4 feet, which is near the
threshold for action stage (3.5 feet). The river is forecast to
remain nearly steady into mid week.

At astor, the most recent stage was 2.1 feet, which is within action
stage. The river is forecast to remain nearly steady into mid week.

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Updates... Lascody
impact wx... Combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 9 mi41 min WSW 11 87°F 90°F1014 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 16 mi56 min 83°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 48 mi44 min WSW 11 G 14 87°F 83°F1014.2 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 54 mi36 min WSW 14 G 16 84°F 2 ft1012.8 hPa79°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 80 mi38 min WNW 5.1 G 11 88°F 83°F1015.5 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi33 minWSW 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy91°F75°F59%1013.4 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL17 mi33 minW 1010.00 miA Few Clouds91°F77°F64%1013.5 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW10SW9W10SW6SW6SW8SW7SW14
G19
S7S4SW4SW5SW5W6SW3SW5SW5SW4SW6W8W7SW10W11W12
1 day agoSW11W12
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SW8W10W106W7W6NW4CalmW3S3S5S6SW4SW6SW6SW4SW6SW6SW8SW9SW10
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2 days agoSW12W10SW11
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CalmE3E3SE4S3CalmCalmSW4S5S4W3S5CalmSW3S5SW4SW9SW8S8

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:47 AM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:46 AM EDT     0.10 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:39 PM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     0.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1-000.10.10.10-0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-000.10.20.20.20.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian, Indian River, Florida
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Sebastian
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:24 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:38 AM EDT     0.33 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:48 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:28 PM EDT     0.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.20.20.20.30.30.30.30.30.20.20.10.10000.10.20.30.30.30.30.30.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.