Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wabasso, FL
May 16, 2024 7:34 AM EDT (11:34 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:30 AM Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 1:12 PM Moonset 1:42 AM |
AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 307 Am Edt Thu May 16 2024
Today - West winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots late this morning and early afternoon, becoming southeast late. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 3 seconds and east 1 foot at 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms early this morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms late this morning and afternoon.
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Friday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and north 1 foot at 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 8 seconds, becoming southwest 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, then a chance of showers.
Monday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon, becoming northeast in the evening, becoming north after midnight. Seas 2 feet, building to 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
FXUS62 KMLB 160802 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 402 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
Issued at 400 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Today-Tonight...Activity on radar this morning is largely confined to the adjacent Atlantic waters, where isolated showers and a few storms have developed. Across east-central Florida, mostly dry conditions are present with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. A weak cold front is now bisecting the area and will continue to meander south toward Lake Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast by this afternoon. North of the front, dry air will be pushing in from the north. It is along and south of the front where the highest rain chances will exist (30-50 PoP), especially this afternoon, along with the chance for a few lightning storms.
Some of the high resolution CAMs are lackluster in relation to convective activity later today. Thus, NBM guidance was regarded as too aggressive and high chance PoPs across the Treasure Coast seemed most reasonable for today. With that said, any storm that becomes established will have the potential to produce gusty winds and small hail. The Storm Prediction Center has placed areas near and south of Fort Pierce to Okeechobee under a Marginal Risk for severe storms today.
Sky conditions will gradually clear out from north to south behind the front, allowing locations around the Orlando metro and points north to warm into the low 90s. A handful of suburban/urban sites here may even reach the mid 90s by mid to late afternoon. Farther south, remaining clouds and rain chances will keep temperatures in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees. Winds become light and variable tonight, and there are subtle hints in the guidance for some overnight fog into Friday morning. However, more confidence will be needed to add fog into the forecast, so model trends will be monitored through the day. Temperatures late tonight are forecast to fall toward normal mid-May values, into the mid to upper 60s.
Friday-Saturday...Low pressure remains in place offshore the mid Atlantic/ northeast coast Friday and Saturday. An associated moisture boundary stretches from the western Atlantic into the northern Gulf, draped across the southern peninsula Friday morning.
The boundary gradually lifts northward through the day Friday, washing out as high pressure builds at the surface and aloft. A late afternoon sea breeze collision could support isolated showers and lightning storms on Friday with PoPs only ranging 10-20 percent.
Uncertainty exists in the PoP forecast Saturday due to model disagreements in available moisture. The GFS (PWAT ~ 1.6) promotes a drier solution compared to the ECMWF (PWAT ~ 1.9). The current forecast follows closer to a GFS solution and has nudged PoPs down slightly, now ranging 30-40 percent on Saturday. Dry air aloft due to ridging should limit convective growth, keeping any developing activity shallow.
Temperatures are forecast above seasonal values through the end of the week. Highs range the low 90s along the immediate coast on Friday, warming into the mid 90s across the interior. A few upper 90s cannot be ruled out in vicinity of Lake Okeechobee. Temperatures warm a degree or two into Saturday.
Sunday-Thursday...Mid level troughing and its associated surface feature dig across the southeast U.S. early next week, moving into the western Atlantic. Moisture increases ahead of a cold front passage Sunday night into Monday. Coverage of showers and storms builds on Sunday ahead of the cold front with PoPs increasing to around 60 percent across much of east central Florida. Chances for showers and storms then gradually dwindle each day with only an isolated mention Wednesday and Thursday. Afternoon temperatures are forecast to range the low to mid 90s Sunday and Monday, falling to range the upper 80s to low 90s Tuesday. Highs widely range the 90s again by Thursday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 400 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
VFR conditions are expected thru most of the TAF. MVFR CIGs this morning will improve to VFR everywhere after 14z-15z. A frontal boundary will sink south toward VRB/FPR this afternoon, with drier air and clearing sky conditions from TIX/MCO/ISM northward.
VCSH/VCTS were included along the southern reaches of the Treasure Coast, due to a higher chance for SHRA/TSRA after 18z. Drier conditions are forecast after 00z Fri. everywhere. Model trends will need to be monitored for patchy fog development early Fri.
morning.
MARINE
Issued at 400 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Today-Tonight...Favorable boating conditions are forecast outside of scattered showers and lightning storms. A frontal boundary draped across the Atlantic will sink south of Sebastian Inlet later this afternoon, confining higher rain chances to the adjacent Treasure Coast waters. West-northwest winds 10-15 kt decrease and turn out of the east-southeast late afternoon and early evening. Seas 2-3 ft this morning, becoming 1-2 ft this afternoon and evening.
Friday-Monday...Coverage of showers and lightning storms increases into the weekend as a cold front approaches the waters on Sunday.
Southerly winds around 10-15 kts veer southwest Saturday night, becoming northerly on Monday behind the cold front. Seas of 2-3 ft increase to 4-5 ft offshore Sunday night.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 400 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Today...Drier air is forecast to move into northern and interior portions of east central Florida later today. As a result, relative humidity values may fall into the mid to upper 30s.
West-northwest winds will remain around or below 10 mph for a majority of the afternoon. Additional fire starts cannot be ruled out from Okeechobee to the Treasure Coast due to a chance for lightning storms.
Extended...Moisture and storm chances build into the weekend as a cold front approaches east central Florida on Sunday. Min RH values ranging the upper 30s to low 40s across the interior increase into the upper 40s to mid 50s ahead of the front. Drier air builds early next week, returning interior RHs to the low to mid 40s. Light southwest flow backs south-southeast as the east coast sea breeze develops Friday and Saturday. Winds increase to 10-15 mph on Sunday, veering north-northeast into Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 90 68 91 73 / 0 0 10 0 MCO 94 69 95 75 / 0 0 20 0 MLB 90 69 91 74 / 10 0 20 10 VRB 90 70 93 73 / 30 0 20 10 LEE 91 70 94 75 / 0 0 10 0 SFB 92 69 95 74 / 0 0 10 0 ORL 94 70 95 75 / 0 0 20 0 FPR 89 69 93 73 / 40 10 20 10
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 402 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
Issued at 400 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Today-Tonight...Activity on radar this morning is largely confined to the adjacent Atlantic waters, where isolated showers and a few storms have developed. Across east-central Florida, mostly dry conditions are present with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. A weak cold front is now bisecting the area and will continue to meander south toward Lake Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast by this afternoon. North of the front, dry air will be pushing in from the north. It is along and south of the front where the highest rain chances will exist (30-50 PoP), especially this afternoon, along with the chance for a few lightning storms.
Some of the high resolution CAMs are lackluster in relation to convective activity later today. Thus, NBM guidance was regarded as too aggressive and high chance PoPs across the Treasure Coast seemed most reasonable for today. With that said, any storm that becomes established will have the potential to produce gusty winds and small hail. The Storm Prediction Center has placed areas near and south of Fort Pierce to Okeechobee under a Marginal Risk for severe storms today.
Sky conditions will gradually clear out from north to south behind the front, allowing locations around the Orlando metro and points north to warm into the low 90s. A handful of suburban/urban sites here may even reach the mid 90s by mid to late afternoon. Farther south, remaining clouds and rain chances will keep temperatures in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees. Winds become light and variable tonight, and there are subtle hints in the guidance for some overnight fog into Friday morning. However, more confidence will be needed to add fog into the forecast, so model trends will be monitored through the day. Temperatures late tonight are forecast to fall toward normal mid-May values, into the mid to upper 60s.
Friday-Saturday...Low pressure remains in place offshore the mid Atlantic/ northeast coast Friday and Saturday. An associated moisture boundary stretches from the western Atlantic into the northern Gulf, draped across the southern peninsula Friday morning.
The boundary gradually lifts northward through the day Friday, washing out as high pressure builds at the surface and aloft. A late afternoon sea breeze collision could support isolated showers and lightning storms on Friday with PoPs only ranging 10-20 percent.
Uncertainty exists in the PoP forecast Saturday due to model disagreements in available moisture. The GFS (PWAT ~ 1.6) promotes a drier solution compared to the ECMWF (PWAT ~ 1.9). The current forecast follows closer to a GFS solution and has nudged PoPs down slightly, now ranging 30-40 percent on Saturday. Dry air aloft due to ridging should limit convective growth, keeping any developing activity shallow.
Temperatures are forecast above seasonal values through the end of the week. Highs range the low 90s along the immediate coast on Friday, warming into the mid 90s across the interior. A few upper 90s cannot be ruled out in vicinity of Lake Okeechobee. Temperatures warm a degree or two into Saturday.
Sunday-Thursday...Mid level troughing and its associated surface feature dig across the southeast U.S. early next week, moving into the western Atlantic. Moisture increases ahead of a cold front passage Sunday night into Monday. Coverage of showers and storms builds on Sunday ahead of the cold front with PoPs increasing to around 60 percent across much of east central Florida. Chances for showers and storms then gradually dwindle each day with only an isolated mention Wednesday and Thursday. Afternoon temperatures are forecast to range the low to mid 90s Sunday and Monday, falling to range the upper 80s to low 90s Tuesday. Highs widely range the 90s again by Thursday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 400 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
VFR conditions are expected thru most of the TAF. MVFR CIGs this morning will improve to VFR everywhere after 14z-15z. A frontal boundary will sink south toward VRB/FPR this afternoon, with drier air and clearing sky conditions from TIX/MCO/ISM northward.
VCSH/VCTS were included along the southern reaches of the Treasure Coast, due to a higher chance for SHRA/TSRA after 18z. Drier conditions are forecast after 00z Fri. everywhere. Model trends will need to be monitored for patchy fog development early Fri.
morning.
MARINE
Issued at 400 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Today-Tonight...Favorable boating conditions are forecast outside of scattered showers and lightning storms. A frontal boundary draped across the Atlantic will sink south of Sebastian Inlet later this afternoon, confining higher rain chances to the adjacent Treasure Coast waters. West-northwest winds 10-15 kt decrease and turn out of the east-southeast late afternoon and early evening. Seas 2-3 ft this morning, becoming 1-2 ft this afternoon and evening.
Friday-Monday...Coverage of showers and lightning storms increases into the weekend as a cold front approaches the waters on Sunday.
Southerly winds around 10-15 kts veer southwest Saturday night, becoming northerly on Monday behind the cold front. Seas of 2-3 ft increase to 4-5 ft offshore Sunday night.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 400 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Today...Drier air is forecast to move into northern and interior portions of east central Florida later today. As a result, relative humidity values may fall into the mid to upper 30s.
West-northwest winds will remain around or below 10 mph for a majority of the afternoon. Additional fire starts cannot be ruled out from Okeechobee to the Treasure Coast due to a chance for lightning storms.
Extended...Moisture and storm chances build into the weekend as a cold front approaches east central Florida on Sunday. Min RH values ranging the upper 30s to low 40s across the interior increase into the upper 40s to mid 50s ahead of the front. Drier air builds early next week, returning interior RHs to the low to mid 40s. Light southwest flow backs south-southeast as the east coast sea breeze develops Friday and Saturday. Winds increase to 10-15 mph on Sunday, veering north-northeast into Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 90 68 91 73 / 0 0 10 0 MCO 94 69 95 75 / 0 0 20 0 MLB 90 69 91 74 / 10 0 20 10 VRB 90 70 93 73 / 30 0 20 10 LEE 91 70 94 75 / 0 0 10 0 SFB 92 69 95 74 / 0 0 10 0 ORL 94 70 95 75 / 0 0 20 0 FPR 89 69 93 73 / 40 10 20 10
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SIPF1 | 7 mi | 170 min | 4.1 | 76°F | 75°F | 29.79 | ||
| 41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) | 18 mi | 39 min | 78°F | 2 ft | ||||
| 41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) | 45 mi | 39 min | 78°F | 2 ft | ||||
| TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 47 mi | 47 min | W 7G | 76°F | 84°F | 29.85 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KVRB VERO BEACH RGNL,FL | 7 sm | 41 min | W 05 | 4 sm | Clear | Mist | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.86 |
| KFPR TREASURE COAST INTL,FL | 18 sm | 41 min | calm | 3 sm | Overcast | Mist | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.86 |
Wabasso
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:41 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT 0.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:53 PM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 06:32 PM EDT 0.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:41 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT 0.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:53 PM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 06:32 PM EDT 0.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Wabasso, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -0.1 |
| 1 am |
| -0.1 |
| 2 am |
| -0.1 |
| 3 am |
| -0 |
| 4 am |
| 0 |
| 5 am |
| 0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.1 |
| 10 am |
| 0 |
| 11 am |
| -0 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| -0 |
| 4 pm |
| 0 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0 |
| 10 pm |
| -0 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.1 |
Sebastian Inlet bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:42 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 03:09 AM EDT 0.86 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 09:36 AM EDT -0.66 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 03:35 PM EDT 0.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:05 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:39 PM EDT -0.68 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:42 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 03:09 AM EDT 0.86 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 09:36 AM EDT -0.66 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 03:35 PM EDT 0.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:05 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:39 PM EDT -0.68 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sebastian Inlet bridge, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 0.9 |
| 4 am |
| 0.8 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 0.2 |
| 7 am |
| -0.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0.4 |
| 9 am |
| -0.6 |
| 10 am |
| -0.6 |
| 11 am |
| -0.5 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.5 |
Melbourne, FL,
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