Sunday, December17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orchid, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 5:31PM Sunday December 17, 2017 8:47 AM EST (13:47 UTC) Moonrise 6:23AMMoonset 5:21PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 343 Am Est Sun Dec 17 2017
Today..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 343 Am Est Sun Dec 17 2017
Synopsis..High pressure over the carolina coast this morning will shift east over the western atlantic. A trailing ridge axis will extend west across the florida peninsula early this week and produce favorable boating conditions. The ridge axis will settle across south florida Wednesday which will increase the offshore flow. A weak cold front is forecast to sag into the local atlantic waters Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday december 13th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 28 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 14 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orchid, FL
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location: 27.76, -80.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 170943
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
443 am est Sun dec 17 2017

Discussion
Above normal temperatures this week and little chance of rain...

Conditions appear favorable for morning fog Mon and tue...

today-tonight... High pressure centered near the carolina coastline
will shift offshore into the atlantic today with ridge axis settling
southward across the florida peninsula. The E SE flow that results
will lead to warming temperatures today, with highs reaching the mid
to upper 70s over much of the region. Some passing cirrus will
continue, with diurnal cumulus developing during the day, but skies
will generally be partly sunny. Airmass will remain dry, with no
rain chances in the forecast.

Into tonight main concern will be for late night fog development.

Winds will be light and skies mostly clear to partly cloudy which
will favor at least patchy fog after midnight as temperatures fall
into the 50s and low 60s. However MOS and local WRF guidance
indicate greater coverage of fog with localized visibilities a
quarter of a mile or less for much of the interior. Will therefore
include areas of fog mention after midnight over inland areas with
patchy fog closer to the coast.

Mon-sat... 00z gfs ECMWF remain in reasonable agreement showing an
extended period of mainly benign weather conditions for east
central fl. A strong mid level ridge of high pressure over the fl
straits cuba will keep warm dry conditions across the forecast
area through Wed as deeper moisture gets steered around the ridge
to the north of the area. Above normal high temps expected to
reach the lower 80s each day (with mid 80s possible) over the
interior. Light onshore flow will hold coastal sections to the
upper 70s Mon then offshore (sw) flow Wed should allow widespread
lower 80s with a few mid 80s possible along the coast given
enough solar heating. In fact, record highs may be threatened on
wed at dab mlb vrb where the record is 83f at each location. Low
temps will be mild in the low to mid 60s.

Meanwhile, a cut-off low over the desert SW is forecast to eject
e NE across the southern us early in the week. This feature will
weaken as it encounters confluent flow over the eastern us but it
should flatten weaken the ridge aloft enough to allow a weak cool
front to settle south into north central fl thu. Have maintained a
small 20 pop for showers osceola brevard northward on thu. This
is the best opportunity for rain this week. Not much, if any,
cooling is expected with this front then both models show the
ridge aloft rebuilding across the area Fri into Sat with above
normal temps continuing and rain chance too low to mention.

Aviation
Patchy ground fog will be possible across the area through early
Sunday morning, but guidance indicates better chance for fog,
especially patchy dense fog, will exist across the area into late
Sunday night. Tempo ifr MVFR conditions will occur with any fog
development. Otherwise it will remain dry withVFR conditions
expected most of today into the evening.

Marine
Today-tonight... High pressure north of the area will push offshore
of the carolina coastline, with ridge axis gradually shifting
southward across the florida peninsula. This will veer winds from
the E SE today to the S SE into tonight. Winds speeds will range
from 5-10 knots with seas 1-3 feet, leading to favorable boating
conditions across the waters.

Mon-thu... A trailing ridge axis will extend west across the
florida peninsula early this week and produce favorable boating
conditions with light winds and small seas Mon and tue. The ridge
axis will settle across south florida Wednesday which will
increase the offshore flow 10-15 knots. A weak cold front is
forecast to sag into the local atlantic waters Thursday and bring
isolated showers north of sebastian inlet.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 76 59 78 60 0 0 0 0
mco 79 59 82 61 0 0 0 0
mlb 78 60 79 61 0 0 0 0
vrb 79 59 79 60 10 0 0 0
lee 78 60 81 61 0 0 0 0
sfb 77 60 82 61 0 0 0 0
orl 78 61 82 62 0 0 0 0
fpr 78 59 79 60 10 0 0 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Weitlich
long term... .Kelly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 7 mi32 min WNW 2.9 67°F 67°F1025 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 18 mi47 min 73°F2 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 45 mi54 min 68°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 46 mi47 min N 1 G 1.9 60°F 67°F1025.6 hPa (+0.6)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 53 mi47 min ESE 9.7 G 12 74°F 77°F1023.9 hPa (+0.6)62°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 82 mi47 min E 14 G 16 74°F 75°F1024.4 hPa (+0.8)64°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL8 mi54 minN 07.00 miFair61°F61°F100%1023.6 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL18 mi54 minN 08.00 miFair60°F60°F100%1023.5 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N10N9N10NE7NE6NE8N10N7N5N5N4N6N5N4N5CalmNW3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW8SW6SW9S10S9SW10
G17
SW11SW6SW5S4SW4SW4W3W3CalmCalmW4SW3CalmCalmCalmW3NW4Calm
2 days agoCalmSW5SW4SW7SW9SW10SW8S8S6S6S6S6S7SW5SW5SW4SW4SW5S5W4SW4SW3SW4SW3

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:46 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:22 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:18 AM EST     0.21 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:46 PM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:20 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:30 PM EST     0.10 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.100.10.20.20.20.20.1-0-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1-0.100.10.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian Inlet bridge, Indian River, Florida
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Sebastian Inlet bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:41 AM EST     -1.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:23 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:11 AM EST     1.30 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:31 PM EST     -0.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:20 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:17 PM EST     0.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.50.10.71.11.31.20.90.4-0.2-0.6-0.9-0.9-0.7-0.30.20.60.70.70.4-0-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.