Saturday, June24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bear Creek, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 8:31PM Saturday June 24, 2017 8:00 PM EDT (00:00 UTC) Moonrise 6:12AMMoonset 8:11PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 240 Pm Edt Sat Jun 24 2017
Tonight..West winds around 10 knots then becoming north around 5 knots late in the evening, then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming south late in the morning, then becoming west early in the afternoon increasing to around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots early in the evening then becoming north around 5 knots, then becoming northeast around 5 knots after midnight then becoming variable less than 5 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming south around 5 knots late in the morning, then becoming west early in the afternoon then becoming northwest late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 240 Pm Edt Sat Jun 24 2017
Synopsis.. Surface high pressure will remain over the area bringing us a southeast to southwest flow for the next few days. With a weak pressure pattern supporting a typical summer afternoon for boaters with most showers occurring over land with heating of the day. However boaters should still watch out for a few storms in the gulf that could produce gusty winds and locally higher waves.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bear Creek, FL
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location: 27.76, -82.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 242337
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
737 pm edt Sat jun 24 2017

Aviation
Some brief MVFR CIGS vsby from shra tsra will be possible
at the terminal sites through 02z tonight, otherwiseVFR is
expected. West to northwest winds in the 6 to 8 knot range
early tonight will become light and variable after 02z.

Additional brief MVFR ifr CIGS vsbys will be possible after
17z on Sunday as shra tsra re-develop over the region.

Southeast winds at 4 to 6 knots early Sunday morning will
become southwest to west at 8 to 10 knots after 17z as the
west coast sea breeze develops and moves inland with higher
gusts possible in the vicinity of tsra.

Prev discussion issued 237 pm edt Sat jun 24 2017
short term (tonight through Sunday)...

ridge axis still overhead bringing a light flow to the area
with winds coming out of the south to southeast. The one
exception to that will be the nature coast which will see
winds more out of the southwest. Already starting to see a
few showers inland and also right along the coast. This
trend will continue as the seabreeze starts to develop and
march inland through the afternoon. The 12z roab out of tbw
showing a little more pw compared to yesterday. This will
bring a few more storms to the area this afternoon compared
to Friday. Biggest concentration of storms will be east of
i-75 in the afternoon and early evening hours. Areas that
avoid the storms in the afternoon will see temperatures
sour into the mid 90's.

Not much changing for our Sunday. The trend of seeing a
little bit more moisture each day will continue which will
result in a slight increase in storm activity again on
Sunday. Once again expect the better coverage to be in the
interior portions of the state.

Long term (Sunday night - Saturday)...

on Monday high pressure on the surface and aloft moves
southeast over the atlantic ocean as a mid level trough and
a weak cold front pushes southeast over north florida. This
pattern provides a southwest flow and deep layer moisture
over much of the peninsula. By Tuesday the front becomes
stationary over the north central peninsula. A moist and
unstable atmosphere will lead to numerous thunderstorms over
the peninsula with convection developing early along the
west coast. During the week the stationary frontal boundary
slowly weakens and the surface ridge builds in from the east
slowly decreasing afternoon thunderstorm coverage. With the
surface ridge building east-west across the northern part
of the state the dominant wind flow becomes southeast with
the pattern of afternoon thunderstorms continuing into the
weekend with seasonal temperatures.

Marine...

surface high pressure will remain over the area bringing us
a southeast to southwest flow for the next few days. With a
weak pressure pattern supporting a typical summer afternoon
for boaters with most showers occurring over land with
heating of the day. However boaters should still watch out
for a few storms in the gulf that could produce gusty winds
and locally higher waves.

Fire weather...

with moist southeasterly flow continuing into next week,
moisture content and relative humidity values will remain
well above critical levels. This combined with chances for
rain each day will prevent any fire weather concerns.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 78 89 77 90 10 30 30 40
fmy 75 92 76 91 40 30 40 50
gif 76 91 75 92 40 50 50 60
srq 77 87 76 88 10 10 20 30
bkv 75 89 74 91 10 40 30 50
spg 79 89 79 90 10 20 20 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Aviation... 57 mcmichael
short term marine fire weather... 27 shiveley
long term... 03 paxton


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLBF1 2 mi66 min WSW 8 G 9.9 86°F 1016.2 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 5 mi48 min WSW 7 G 9.9 87°F 87°F
MTBF1 10 mi42 min W 8 G 8.9 84°F 1017.3 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 11 mi42 min W 5.1 G 7 88°F 86°F1017.1 hPa
PMAF1 12 mi42 min 84°F 90°F1016.4 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 16 mi42 min W 8.9 G 11 84°F 87°F1017.3 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 19 mi48 min WSW 1.9 G 6
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 19 mi42 min WNW 7 G 8.9
MCYF1 19 mi42 min 88°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 27 mi66 min WNW 7 G 8.9 85°F 1017.8 hPa
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 42 mi90 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 85°F

Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Albert Whitted Airport, FL5 mi67 minW 810.00 miFair88°F72°F59%1016.2 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL10 mi67 minW 810.00 miFair87°F73°F63%1016.7 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL13 mi62 minWNW 410.00 miFair89°F75°F65%1017.2 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL18 mi65 minW 510.00 miOvercast90°F75°F63%1016.9 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL18 mi67 minW 510.00 miA Few Clouds89°F72°F57%1016.8 hPa

Wind History from SPG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW6NW3N4CalmCalmN3CalmS6N3CalmCalmSE7SE8SE7S4S6S86W8
G14
W10NW9NW7W8W7
1 day agoE7N6N11N4E9E9SE12SE12S15S13S11SE9SE8S7S7S6S4E4SW5SW7SW9SW7W9W8
2 days agoSW7SE10SE11SE11SE10S9SE12SE10SE11SE14S9S8S9S9S11S7S6S4S6W9SW8W11W8SW14
G17

Tide / Current Tables for Gulfport, Florida
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Gulfport
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:00 AM EDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:29 PM EDT     2.80 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:00 PM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.81.21.41.51.41.41.31.31.51.82.22.52.82.82.62.21.71.10.50-0.4-0.5-0.3-0

Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:41 AM EDT     1.17 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:06 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:53 AM EDT     -0.06 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:52 AM EDT     1.03 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:03 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:07 PM EDT     -1.64 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:09 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.81.11.210.60.30-0.10.10.30.70.910.90.50-0.6-1.1-1.5-1.6-1.5-1.2-0.7-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.