Thursday, April18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bear Creek, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 7:58PM Thursday April 18, 2019 12:22 PM EDT (16:22 UTC) Moonrise 6:21PMMoonset 5:44AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 929 Am Edt Thu Apr 18 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from Friday morning through late Friday night...
This afternoon..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming south around 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..South winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds around 20 knots then becoming southwest 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 40 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Bay and inland waters rough. Showers and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West winds around 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..West winds around 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Saturday night..Northwest winds around 15 knots then becoming north 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..North winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 929 Am Edt Thu Apr 18 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure will move east into the atlantic today as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Southeast winds around 10 knots this morning will become south to southwest and increase to around 15 knots this afternoon as the pressure gradient tighten across the area. Wind and seas will increase to 20 to 30 knots with frequent gusts to gale force later tonight through early Saturday as the cold front moves south through the waters. These increasing winds and seas will create very dangerous marine conditions on the gulf waters and all small craft operators are advised to remain in port. In addition to the increasing wind and seas widespread showers and scattered strong to severe storms will accompany the front on Friday. Drier conditions along with diminishing winds and seas are expected during the weekend and into early next week as high pressure builds in over the region.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bear Creek, FL
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location: 27.76, -82.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 181324
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
924 am edt Thu apr 18 2019

Severe storms possible on Friday...

Deteriorating marine conditions late tonight into Friday...

Coastal flooding possible on Friday...

Update
We have one more pleasant and warm day on tap before the stormy
weather moves in tomorrow. The latest surface observations
and satellite imagery are showing sunny skies and
temperatures already in the low to mid 70's. Temperatures
will continue to rapidly heat up with highs in the upper
80's to low 90's expected, which is 6-8 degrees above
average. Forecast is tracking well for now with no changes
needed.

Aviation
Vfr conditions will prevail through most of the period. Few sct sc
and ci will stream in from the gulf today. Cloud cover will be on
the increase after 09z tomorrow morning as a front approaches the
area. Some MVFR conditions will be possible toward the end of the
period with more low clouds streaming in. Winds will be out of the
south-southeast at 8-12 kts with some gusts near 20 kts this
afternoon, then increasing 15-20 with higher gusts after 09z
tomorrow morning.

Marine
High pressure has moved northeast between bermuda and nova scotia,
but still continues to ridge southwest over florida
producing a south-southeast wind flow around 15 knots over
the coastal waters through this evening. Winds shift to the
south and increase to around 20 knots early Friday morning
ahead of an approaching cold front moving in from the west,
which has prompted the issuance of a SCA for the coastal
waters north of englewood. Winds further increase to 20-25
knots with gale force gusts by mid morning on Friday for all
the coastal waters. Winds shift to the west then northwest
by early Saturday morning in the wake of this front
remaining near 20 knots through Saturday evening. Seas will
become rough by late Friday morning into the afternoon
building 7 to 10 feet off shore late Friday into Saturday
morning. These rough seas and onshore flow will produce
hazardous boating conditions as well as some coastal
flooding, high risk of rip currents and high surf along
local beaches. Conditions improve early Sunday into next
week as high pressure builds in over the area.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 88 73 82 63 0 20 90 30
fmy 88 73 84 65 10 20 80 70
gif 91 71 84 60 10 20 90 40
srq 86 73 81 65 0 20 90 40
bkv 91 70 84 59 0 20 90 30
spg 85 74 81 65 0 20 90 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk from late tonight through Sunday
morning for coastal charlotte-coastal hillsborough-
coastal lee-coastal manatee-coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Lake wind advisory from 10 am to 7 pm edt Friday for
coastal charlotte-coastal citrus-coastal hernando-
coastal hillsborough-coastal lee-coastal levy-coastal
manatee-coastal pasco-coastal sarasota-desoto-hardee-
highlands-inland charlotte-inland citrus-inland
hernando-inland hillsborough-inland lee-inland levy-
inland manatee-inland pasco-inland sarasota-pinellas-
polk-sumter.

High surf advisory from 10 am Friday to 10 pm edt Saturday
for coastal charlotte-coastal hillsborough-coastal
lee-coastal manatee-coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Coastal flood watch from late tonight through Friday
afternoon for coastal citrus-coastal levy.

Gulf waters... Small craft advisory from 3 am Friday to 8 pm edt Saturday
for coastal waters from englewood to tarpon springs
fl out 20 nm-coastal waters from tarpon springs to
suwannee river fl out 20 nm-waters from englewood to
tarpon springs fl out 20 to 60 nm-waters from tarpon
springs to suwannee river fl out 20 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 8 am Friday to 8 pm edt Saturday
for coastal waters from bonita beach to englewood fl
out 20 nm-waters from bonita beach to englewood fl
out 20 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 8 am Friday to 1 am edt Saturday
for charlotte harbor and pine island sound-tampa bay
waters.

Update aviation marine... 74 wynn
upper air... 42 norman
decision support... 25 davis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLBF1 2 mi88 min ESE 7 G 11 81°F 1015.1 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 5 mi46 min SSE 5.1 G 8 79°F 77°F1016.2 hPa
MTBF1 10 mi40 min SSE 11 G 13 78°F 1015.9 hPa67°F
GCTF1 11 mi40 min 78°F 1015.8 hPa67°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 11 mi40 min SSE 8.9 G 12 78°F 77°F1015.8 hPa
PMAF1 12 mi40 min 80°F 78°F1015.6 hPa
42098 16 mi52 min 76°F3 ft
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 16 mi46 min SE 8 G 12 78°F 77°F1015.7 hPa
MCYF1 19 mi34 min 80°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 19 mi34 min SSE 9.9 G 14
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 19 mi34 min ESE 8.9 G 12
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 27 mi88 min SSE 11 G 13 76°F 1016.8 hPa
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 42 mi52 min SE 12 G 16 75°F 74°F1015.9 hPa
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 47 mi88 min SSW 5.1 G 9.9 87°F 1016.2 hPa

Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Albert Whitted Airport, FL5 mi29 minSSE 810.00 miFair81°F69°F67%1015.1 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL10 mi29 minSSE 12 G 1910.00 miFair80°F66°F62%1015.6 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL13 mi26 minSSE 1010.00 miA Few Clouds82°F67°F62%1015.9 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL18 mi29 minSSE 11 G 1910.00 miA Few Clouds82°F66°F58%1015.8 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL18 mi27 minSSE 910.00 miOvercast82°F69°F66%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from SPG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E3N3NE3NE7NE5E8E9E9E15E18SE17SE17SE17SE15SE15SE12SE15SE15SE14SE14SE11SE8S8
1 day agoNE6NE6NE4N4NE4NE7NE6NE8N5N7E14E15E10E10E11E8E7SE8E7SE7SE8SE5SE5SE5
2 days agoNW8
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N10N12NW9N8N11N7N8N9N9N10N12NE13NE12NE11NE12NE13NE13NE10E8

Tide / Current Tables for Gulfport, Florida
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Gulfport
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:25 AM EDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:38 PM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:34 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.81.71.410.70.40.30.40.71.21.61.91.91.81.51.10.70.30.10.10.30.71.2

Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:01 AM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:06 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:03 AM EDT     -0.89 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:52 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:07 PM EDT     1.10 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:10 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:26 PM EDT     -1.21 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:40 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.90.50.1-0.4-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.40.10.60.91.110.60.1-0.5-0.9-1.2-1.2-0.9-0.40.20.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.