Friday, September21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bear Creek, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:28PM Friday September 21, 2018 11:19 AM EDT (15:19 UTC) Moonrise 4:44PMMoonset 3:07AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 1012 Am Edt Fri Sep 21 2018
This afternoon..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 1012 Am Edt Fri Sep 21 2018
Synopsis..Easterly flow will remain across the waters into next week, with a weak sea breeze forming along the coast each afternoon. In general, winds and seas will remain below headlines, but will be higher in or near showers and Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bear Creek, FL
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location: 27.76, -82.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 211231
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
831 am edt Fri sep 21 2018

Update
Tutt moving over S fl peninsula this morning as seen in wv
imagery while 12z tbw sounding showing increased ne-e flow
through the column. Continue to expect another hot and
humid day area wide with bay and gulf seabreezes pinned to
the coast and longer hours of mostly sunny skies and surface
heating. Heat index values of 100-105 are possible as well.

Late afternoon through evening convective pattern again
with best coverage around i-4 corridor and back to the
beaches from around the tampa bay area through the suncoast
and SW fl. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms with frequent
dangerous lightning the main threat but could have gusty
winds and street flooding as well for any outdoor Friday
evening activities.

Aviation
Vfr conditions this morning into the afternoon hours.

Afternoon seabreeze pinned to the coast or just over coastal
taf sites then sct-nmrs tsra will be possible at all sites
from after 18z through the evening with MVFR CIGS vsby and
gusty winds or brief ifr restrictions through 00-02z.

Prev discussion issued 302 am edt Fri sep 21 2018
discussion...

morning water vapor imagery and upper air analysis shows broad high
pressure over the southeast with a couple of weak retrograding lows-
one off the east coast of florida and the other moving into the
central gulf of mexico. At the surface, high pressure well to the
north of the region extends southward over the area, with easterly
flow in place.

For today, high pressure aloft over the southeast will start to
slide eastward as a weak low moves westward across the state.

Surface high pressure to our north will keep an easterly flow in
place across the region. Some relatively drier air will nose in to
the north-central peninsula from the northeast, keeping rain chances
a bit lower in those spots. Highest rain chances will be south of
the i-4 corridor along the coast, where easterly flow will meet with
a weak west coast sea breeze.

The weak low aloft will continue to shift farther westward this
weekend as the ridge over the atlantic extends back over the region
through next week. Surface high pressure will remain stretched from
the mid-atlantic region over the local area, keeping an easterly
flow in place. In general, we can expect fairly typical late
summertime conditions through the week, with warm and humid
conditions along with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Marine...

easterly flow will remain across the waters into next week, with a
weak sea breeze forming along the coast each afternoon. In general,
winds and seas will remain below headlines, but will be higher in or
near showers and thunderstorms.

Fire weather...

no fire weather concerns as relative humidity values will remain
above critical levels. A typical distribution of scattered showers
and thunderstorms can be expected. No significant fog is anticipated.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 91 76 90 76 40 10 50 30
fmy 91 75 90 75 70 40 40 40
gif 90 75 90 74 20 0 40 20
srq 89 76 89 75 60 30 50 40
bkv 91 73 90 73 30 10 40 20
spg 91 77 90 77 40 20 50 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Beach hazards statement through Monday evening for coastal
charlotte-coastal manatee-coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Gulf waters... None.

Update aviation marine fire weather... 25 davis
upper air... 27 shiveley
decision support... 74 wynn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLBF1 2 mi85 min E 2.9 G 8 86°F 1018.4 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 5 mi37 min 85°F 89°F1018.9 hPa
MTBF1 10 mi31 min 82°F 1018.8 hPa75°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 11 mi31 min 83°F 1019.1 hPa
GCTF1 11 mi31 min 82°F 76°F
PMAF1 12 mi31 min 83°F 89°F1018.6 hPa
42098 16 mi19 min 87°F2 ft
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 16 mi37 min 84°F 88°F1019.2 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 19 mi79 min ESE 2.9 G 6
MCYF1 19 mi31 min 87°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 27 mi85 min SE 7 G 8 82°F 1019.8 hPa
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 42 mi49 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 86°F1017.7 hPa
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 47 mi85 min E 5.1 G 8 85°F 1019.1 hPa

Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Albert Whitted Airport, FL5 mi86 minESE 910.00 miOvercast82°F78°F88%1018.6 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL10 mi86 minESE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F77°F88%1019.1 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL13 mi83 minSE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F76°F88%1019.6 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL18 mi84 minSE 5 mi0°F0°F%1019.6 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL18 mi86 minSE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F75°F77%1019.4 hPa

Wind History from SPG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6CalmE3E53SE4S3N6NE4NE16S17S4E7E7E10E9E10SE7E9E8E7E7E8E9
1 day agoSE3CalmSE3NW64NW7--N6N6N4SE15
G23
SE5Calm6E4E4SE4SE6SE6E4CalmSE3CalmE6
2 days agoS8S7S6SE3W6N7W5E5W5NW6NW6N5N4NE8E10E6SE8E3S4E5E3SE4SE4SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Gulfport, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.