Thursday, February21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ingleside on the Bay, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 6:25PM Thursday February 21, 2019 4:07 PM CST (22:07 UTC) Moonrise 8:56PMMoonset 8:41AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ230 Bays And Waterways From Baffin Bay To Port Aransas- 331 Pm Cst Thu Feb 21 2019
Tonight..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth to slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers. Patchy fog after midnight.
Friday..East wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. Patchy fog. A chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East wind 10 to 15 knots shifting south after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Patchy fog. A slight chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots shifting northwest in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Saturday night..North wind 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Sunday..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Sunday night..East wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Monday..East wind around 10 knots. Bays slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Monday night..East wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. A chance of showers.
Tuesday..East wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. A chance of showers.
Tuesday night..East wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ200 331 Pm Cst Thu Feb 21 2019
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters.. A weak to moderate northeast flow is expected tonight. The flow will shift to onshore during the day Friday as a warm front moves inland. Scattered showers, and a couple of isolated Thunderstorms, will be possible Friday and Friday night. Patchy sea fog is expected to develop over the bays and near shore waters by Friday morning as the warm front approaches the coast. Areas of fog may result in reduced visibilities for much of Friday through Saturday morning until a cold frontal passage. Moderate southerly winds are expected Saturday morning before the front moves through, with moderate offshore winds behind the front. Wind speeds should diminish slightly during the afternoon. Drier conditions are expected for Sunday, but more rain chances are expected on Monday as a weak to moderate onshore flow returns to the area.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ingleside on the Bay, TX
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location: 27.79, -97.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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Fxus64 kcrp 212202
afdcrp
area forecast discussion
national weather service corpus christi tx
402 pm cst Thu feb 21 2019

Short term (tonight through Friday night)
A stationary front with a weak coastal low remains just east of
the offshore waters. Stratus persists across most of the eastern
half of the forecast area as warm, moist air moves over the cooler
low-level air mass. Patchy drizzle light rain will remain possible
tonight as the frontal boundary begins to move back toward the
coast. The front will move inland late tonight and then northward
across the region during the day Friday. Patchy fog will likely
develop along the coast after the warm front's passage, and any
fog that develops should persist through Friday night and may
spread a bit farther inland as low-level southeasterly flow
increases.

A lead shortwave trough ejecting northeast out of northern mexico
ahead of a much stronger trough currently digging into the desert
southwest should provide enough ascent for more scattered
showers. There should also be enough instability for a couple of
isolated thunderstorms Friday afternoon and into Friday night,
especially across the northern half of the forecast area. Despite
the persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, the return of
southerly flow and warm air advection should allow temperatures to
warm to near or slightly above normal levels for Friday.

Long term (Saturday through Thursday)
Long term period starts out with a cold front pushing toward the
coast. The front should be moving into the area by 12z and is
expected to blast across the area from northwest to southeast,
reaching the coast by around 9am. NAM model is a bit faster, having
it almost through the CWA by 12z, but will go with the consensus,
being just a bit slower than that. A few showers will be possible in
the east as the front approaches the coast, but moisture will be
pretty limited and not expecting too much in the way of convection.

Will have sufficient CAPE northeast to include mention of possible
thunderstorm. Fog likely to still be in place at sunrise, but will
clear quickly with frontal passage. Expect any rain chances to be
done by noon... Or earlier. Drier air filters in quickly and should
have mainly sunny skies area wide in the afternoon. Reinforcing
ridge pushes in Sunday and will kick up winds a bit, but will also
help to keep dry conditions and mainly clear skies
model guidance diverges in details for mid-week. Both ECMWF and gfs
bring moisture back on Monday as a coastal trough develops, however
the ECMWF then pushes a weak front off the coast drying conditions
out again while the GFS lingers the trough keeping the humid
conditions in place. Both models indicate rain chances for Monday
night with overrunning pattern, but ECMWF dries it out more quickly.

Will hold on to lower end pops into Tuesday, thinking more toward
gfs side. Wednesday looks dry, but by Thursday quite a bit of
difference in guidance with the GFS very wet and ECMWF less wet, but
still painting qpf. Will stick with low end pops with low confidence
this far out.

Temperature wise, near normal temperatures expected Saturday with
highs in the mid 70s. While we will slow heating behind the front on
Saturday, it's not looking like we'll have a strong push of colder
air. Cooler temperatures Sunday and Monday, mainly lower 70s, then
slightly warmer for mid-week.

Marine
Isolated to scattered showers will remain possible tonight through
early Saturday morning as a stalled frontal boundary approaches
the coast and moves inland. Isolated thunderstorms will also be
possible Friday afternoon through Saturday morning as a strong
cold front approaches. Patchy sea fog is expected to develop in
the bays and nearshore waters by Friday morning and will likely
persist through all of Friday and into Saturday morning.

The cold front will move offshore during the morning hours
Saturday, ahead of that front expect patchy fog in bays and
nearshore waters. Scec winds will be possible once the front moves
through. Another push of high pressure mid-week could bring a
moderate to strong wind once again.

Preliminary point temps pops
Corpus christi 60 73 65 78 50 20 30 20 10 0
victoria 57 72 63 75 47 30 50 40 30 0
laredo 59 75 60 77 47 20 20 10 0 0
alice 59 75 65 78 47 20 30 20 10 0
rockport 60 70 64 76 51 30 40 30 20 0
cotulla 56 73 59 74 43 20 30 30 10 0
kingsville 60 75 66 78 50 20 20 10 10 0
navy corpus 60 70 66 76 52 20 30 10 20 0

Crp watches warnings advisories
Tx... None.

Gm... None.

Cn 99... Short term
ph 83... Long term


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TAQT2 - 8775296 - Texas State Aquarium, TX 6 mi49 min 60°F 60°F1009.4 hPa
PACT2 - 8775792 - Packery Channel, TX 11 mi55 min NNE 9.9 G 12 59°F 60°F1010.3 hPa
NUET2 11 mi55 min NNE 8 G 9.9 60°F1010.3 hPa
RTAT2 - 8775237 - Port Aransas, TX 12 mi55 min NE 11 G 13 58°F 59°F1010.4 hPa
PTAT2 - Port Aransas, TX 13 mi67 min N 13 G 15 58°F 59°F1010.2 hPa (-1.4)55°F
ANPT2 14 mi55 min NNW 14 G 16 58°F 59°F1009.5 hPa
MQTT2 - 8775870 - Malaquite Beach (Corpus Christi), TX 15 mi55 min N 12 G 13 60°F 60°F1009.6 hPa
IRDT2 21 mi55 min 58°F 60°F1010.6 hPa
RCPT2 - 8774770 - Rockport, TX 21 mi55 min 58°F 1010.4 hPa
BABT2 - 8776604 - Baffin Bay; Point of Rocks, TX 35 mi55 min N 8.9 G 9.9 58°F 60°F1010.4 hPa
AWRT2 40 mi55 min N 9.9 G 15 57°F 58°F1010.7 hPa

Wind History for Port Ingleside, Corpus Christi Bay, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi Naval Air Station/Truax Field, TX7 mi71 minNNE 108.00 miOvercast60°F55°F84%1010.1 hPa
Mc Campbell, TX9 mi72 minNE 910.00 miOvercast61°F55°F83%1010.5 hPa
Port Aransas, Mustang Beach Airport, TX11 mi72 minN 1110.00 miOvercast59°F55°F89%1010.8 hPa
Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi International Airport, TX11 mi76 minNE 810.00 miOvercast63°F54°F73%1010.5 hPa
Rockport Aransas County Airport, TX24 mi74 minN 102.50 miFog/Mist58°F55°F90%1011 hPa

Wind History from NGP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E9E8E4E5E7E6NE10NE10NE10NE8N7N11NE11NE10NE11NE11NE11NE13NE14NE11N6NE6N10
1 day agoN13N14N14N10N10N10N10N10N15N17N19N19
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2 days agoNE15NE15NE18
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Tide / Current Tables for Corpus Christi, Texas (2) (expired 1999-07-23)
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Corpus Christi
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Thu -- 01:29 AM CST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:53 AM CST     0.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:01 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:41 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:04 PM CST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:24 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:56 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:24 PM CST     0.27 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.20.20.10.10.10.10.10.20.20.20.30.30.3

Tide / Current Tables for Aransas Pass, Texas Current
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Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:04 AM CST     0.25 knots Min Flood
Thu -- 02:31 AM CST     0.27 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 04:50 AM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:00 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:39 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:01 AM CST     -1.19 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:21 PM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:40 PM CST     0.95 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:23 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:55 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.20.30.30.2-0-0.4-0.7-1-1.1-1.2-1.1-1-0.6-0.20.30.70.90.90.80.70.50.30.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Corpus Christi, TX (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Corpus Christi, TX
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.