Sunrise 6:47 AM   Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 1:34 AM   Moonset 12:20 PM

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GMZ230 Bays And Waterways From Baffin Bay To Port Aransas- 1059 Am Cdt Tue Apr 5 2022
Rest of today - Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. Tonight - Southeast wind around 10 knots shifting south after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight. Wednesday - Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Patchy fog in the morning. Wednesday night - North wind 20 to 25 knots. Bays choppy to rough. Thursday - Northeast wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Thursday night - Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday - North wind 10 to 15 knots shifting southeast in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday night - Southeast wind 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bays choppy. Saturday - South wind 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy. Saturday night - Southeast wind around 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.

GMZ200 327 Pm Cdt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
moderate onshore winds will result in seas increasing to 3 to 5 feet by Thursday. Winds and seas are then forecast to decrease through Friday. A mainly weak to moderate onshore flow will persist through the weekend and into early next week.

FXUS64 KCRP 012057 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX Issued by National Weather Service Melbourne FL 357 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Current through Thursday night)
Issued at 353 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Southeast surface winds have promoted increasing moisture across the region with afternoon dew points observed in the low to mid 70s.
Convection has been slow to initialize this afternoon with only a few light radar returns across northern portions of the CWA Early afternoon CAM guidance continues to suggest scattered to possibly numerous showers and storms developing this afternoon into the evening. Of note, guidance has shifted activity more northward than morning model runs and greatest focus of initialization now resides along the north central CWA border, generally after 21Z. SPC Mesoanalysis tools continue to suggest a favorable environment for strong to severe storms with surface based CAPE values between 3,500- 4,000 J/kg and DCAPE values greater than 1,000 J/kg. However, the threat continues to remain conditional with models continuing to indicate a warm layer between 850-700mb. Of note, SPC has included a 2% probability of a tornado north of a line from La Salle to Aransas counties where effective layer STP values are greater than 2. In addition, strong to severe storms developing this evening will be capable of strong to damaging wind gusts and frequent cloud to ground lightning. There is a low risk of severe hail. Most convection is forecast to move north and west of the local CWA after 0Z with a few hints of a lingering storm across portions of Webb county into late evening.

Overnight, guidance has hinted at the potential for fog development across the coastal waters, advecting into the Coastal Plains. Any fog development is forecast to lift through sunrise. Into the afternoon, enough low level moisture remains in place on Thursday to support widely isolated showers and lightning storms during the afternoon (PoPs ~20%). High temperatures range the low to mid 90s across much of Brush country and the Rio Grande Plains. Temperatures mostly in the mid to upper 80s along the Coastal Plains and eastward.

LONG TERM
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 353 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

A series of mid level shortwaves pass overhead through the period.
Model soundings indicate a dry mid layer generally persisting into early next week with limited moisture around 850mb. Mostly dry conditions are forecast through the period with any mention of precip limited to the Rio Grande Plains Friday and Saturday afternoon (PoP ~ 20%). Temperatures widely ranging the 90s across Brush country and the Rio Grande Plains late this week, warm to 100 degrees by Monday. Along the coastal plains and eastward, highs in the mid 80s to low 90s follow a gradual warming trend each afternoon.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

MVFR CIGs continue at the TAF sites though some improvement to CIGs is expected as cloud cover begins to thin from ALI to CRP and VCT. Isolated SHRA/TSRA are forecast to begin in the next few hours, delayed some by lingering clouds early this afternoon.
TEMPOs/AMDs may be needed as any TS approach the sites, mainly from KCOT to KVCT. Breezy to gusty winds continue closer to the coast (around 15 kt with gusts near 25 kt).

Storms may linger after 09z and approach VCT closer to 12z Thu. If this scenario is realized, additional changes to the TAF will be necessary, but confidence remains low at this time.

MARINE
Issued at 353 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Small craft should exercise caution tonight for onshore winds of 15- 20 kts across the offshore waters. Onshore flow continues on Thursday, building seas to 4-6 ft. Seas gradually subside Thursday night through Friday as onshore flow falls to 8-12 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 75 87 76 89 / 10 10 0 0 Victoria 74 87 73 87 / 30 20 10 10 Laredo 76 95 75 98 / 20 10 0 20 Alice 74 90 74 92 / 20 20 0 10 Rockport 75 85 75 85 / 10 10 10 0 Cotulla 75 92 75 97 / 30 20 0 20 Kingsville 75 88 75 90 / 10 20 0 10 Navy Corpus 76 85 77 86 / 10 10 10 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ245- 342>347-442-443-447.

High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for TXZ345-442- 443-447.

GM...None.

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Corpus Christi
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:34 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:45 AM CDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:20 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:04 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:11 PM CDT     0.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Corpus Christi, Texas (2) (expired 1999-07-23), Tide feet

Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:20 AM CDT     -1.81 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 02:32 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:17 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:43 AM CDT     1.81 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:19 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:06 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:02 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots

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Corpus Christi, TX,